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On June 28th, Gavekal Research stated in a report: "In 2025, the market is widely concerned that Trump will weaken the independence of US monetary policy, nominate a political puppet as Federal Reserve Chairman, force the Fed to cut interest rates, and cause inflation to remain persistently above the Feds 2% target." "Developments over the past seven months have made this scenario unlikely." These developments include the appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed and the re-election of 11 of the 12 regional Fed presidents. At Warshs first meeting earlier this month, the Fed emphasized its commitment to price stability, surprising some market participants who had expected a more dovish stance from the new chairman.On June 28, US President Donald Trump nominated Lance Schroyer to be the new Director of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Trump stated that Schroyer, a former Oklahoma State Trooper and US Marine, has extensive experience working with ICE and is adept at combating illegal immigration and deporting undocumented immigrants. Trump also urged the Senate to confirm Schroyers nomination as soon as possible.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a 5.6-magnitude earthquake off the coast of Aragua, Venezuela.June 28th - According to Politico, on February 28th, when US and Israeli warplanes attacked Iran, Israeli officials initially believed the alliance was entering a golden age. However, four months later, they are preparing for a future where Israel is more isolated than ever before. US Vice President Vance told Israel last week that it has virtually no friends left in the world and should not attack its only remaining powerful ally. But according to seven sources, including US and Israeli officials, Israels problems extend far beyond Vance; Vance is merely a symbol of the new normal where Israels status as a US ally no longer takes precedence over any other country. The tensions between the two sides are palpable. One source revealed that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu was scheduled to visit Washington five times in 2025. This year, however, he only visited once, in February, and telephone contact has significantly decreased.Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: We are close to controlling 70% of the Gaza Strip and surrounding Hamas.

EUR/GBP Rebounds from 0.8400 on ECB-BOE Divergence

Larissa Barlow

Apr 26, 2022 10:06

The EUR/GBP pair is reversing course from 0.8400, following a precipitous plunge from Monday's high of 0.8440. The pair has remained firmer in recent trading days, despite the European Central Bank's (ECB) President's speech at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) meeting adopting a dovish position.

 

The ECB's officials do not anticipate a rate hike until its Asset Purchase Program is completed (APP). The central bank has stressed the importance of lowering growth expectations in light of the Ukraine crisis and a large decline in household real income due to increasing energy costs and commodities prices. The circumstances need a stagflationary situation in the eurozone. Meanwhile, investors are focused on Wednesday's speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde. The speech will set the stage for the monetary policy narrative that will be dictated in the policy announcement.

 

Meanwhile, Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey rekindled fears of increasing inflation in the pound area during his testimony on Thursday. As per his directive, investors should begin bracing for a further increase in inflation, which might result in higher interest rates.

 

Although the ECB's Christine Lagarde's speech on Wednesday will be crucial, investors will also be focused on Thursday's eurozone Consumer Confidence report. Euro Consumer Confidence is -16.9, unchanged from its previous close.

EUR/GBP

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