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On October 25th, local time, Sudans Rapid Support Forces (RSF) announced their control of Bara, a major city in North Kordofan State, central Sudan. The statement stated that the RSF launched a full-scale offensive against the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)-held city, inflicting thousands of casualties and injuring hundreds, ultimately securing full control of the city. The statement also stated that retaking Bara is a significant step toward full control of the Kordofan region. The SAF has yet to respond to the statement.Pakistans Defense Minister: We see Afghanistans desire for peace, but failure to reach an agreement will mean open war.On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.

Dow touches record, S&P 500 notches 6-day win streak

Eden

Oct 25, 2021 13:56

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Stock indexes mostly rose worldwide on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average touching a record intraday high, as more companies reported earnings that beat analysts' expectations, while oil prices jumped.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.03 points, or 0.4%, ending at 35,609.34, after earlier trading above it 35,625.40 Aug. 16 closing high and carving out a fresh intraday record at 35,669.69 in the process.


The S&P 500 added 16.56 points, or 0.4%, finishing at 4,536.19, after earlier topping its Sept. 2 closing high at 4,536.95.


The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 7.41 points, or 0.1%, ending at 15,121.68 and snapping a 5-day win streak.


The market climbed a wall of worries over the last two months. Fears over the delta Covid surge, supply chain hiccups, a China property crisis, the Federal Reserve signaling the removal of stimulus and surging inflation reports rattled investors.


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Photo: CNBC


Stocks making the biggest moves


Biogen (BIIB) — The drug maker’s stock rose 2.2% in the premarket after the company beat estimates on the top and bottom lines and raised its full year forecast. Biogen earned an adjusted $4.77 per share for the quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.11 per share. The company is still optimistic about prospects for its Alzheimer’s drug Aduhelm, despite slower than expected adoption.


Novavax (NVAX) — The drug maker’s shares tumbled 26.1% in the premarket following a Politico report saying it was having trouble meeting Food and Drug Administration quality standards for its Covid-19 vaccine.


Verizon (VZ) — Verizon beat estimates by 5 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.41 per share, though revenue was slightly below Street forecasts. Verizon also increased its full-year guidance, as growing 5G adoption boosts sales.


Netflix (NFLX) — Netflix reported quarterly earnings of $3.19 per share, beating the Refinitiv consensus estimate of $2.56 per share, with revenue in line with forecasts. Netflix added 4.4 million new subscribers during the quarter, exceeding expectations, but it did forecast current quarter earnings below consensus.


United Airlines (UAL) — United lost an adjusted $1.02 per share for the third quarter, smaller than the loss of $1.67 per share that Wall Street had anticipated. United said the spread of the Covid delta variant has slowed, but not derailed, its recovery. 


IBM — The tech company saw its stock dropping more than 5% in extended trading following a revenue miss in the third quarter. its top two business segments — global services and the Cloud & Cognitive Software business — fell short of estimates.


Tesla — Shares of the electric vehicle company edged lower in after-hours trading even after the company posted earnings and revenue in the third quarter that beat expectations. The record results were driven by improved gross margins of 30.5% on its automotive business and 26.6% overall, both of which are records for at least the last five quarters.


What drove the market?


Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA, said the market was continuing its rally from last week, which he said started with a weaker-than-expected producer prices reading and better-than-expected bank earnings.


“That kicked off this rally,” Stovall said. “I think it’s a combination of earnings. It is month-over-month changes in inflation that looks like it is peaking out and the effect of the Covid variant is slowing down.”


Stovall pointed out that the S&P 500 could also hit a record high soon, which would be a bullish sign for the market going forward.


“History shows that stock market advances following the recovery from pullbacks recorded an average price gain of 8.4% over the following 98 calendar days before slipping into a new decline of 5% or more. Favorable seasonal factors should also help power the market to additional new highs,” Stovall said about the S&P 500.


Verizon was one of the biggest gainers in the Dow, jumping 2.4% after earnings topped estimates for the third quarter. The telecom giant raised its forecast because of growing 5G adoption. Biogen shares edged lower even after it beat estimates on earnings and revenue and raised its full-year guidance.


More than 70 S&P 500 components report earnings this week and so far reports are going very well. Third-quarter earnings are on pace for a 35% increase from a year ago, according to Earnings Scout. IBM, Tesla, CSX and Las Vegas Sands are among the names set to report after the market closes.


“We believe that the stock market has more to climb in this bull market and that some of the Covid headwinds are receding even as inflation increasingly becomes a headwind, because many companies continue to have pricing power, which should preserve corporate profits,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.


Giorgio Caputo, senior investment analyst at JO Hambro Capital Management, said that while the economy appears to be moving past its earlier “air pocket” tied to global coronavirus cases and severe supply-chain bottlenecks, that tapering of bond purchases by the Fed will be important.


“We are going to be going through the removal of $120 billion of monthly liquidity that’s been coming into markets,” he told MarketWatch. “That’s the mother of all buyback plans.”


“If there’s one thing to be mindful of, and respect, it’s the power of liquidity,” Caputo said.


In economic data, the Fed’s latest Beige Book survey of economic conditions released Wednesday pointed to a U.S. economy that still is growing at a solid pace, but labor shortages and supply-chain bottlenecks that have been restraining growth and triggering higher inflation.