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On April 12, local time, the third round of talks between Iran and the United States in Islamabad concluded. Iran described this round as the "last chance" to reach a framework agreement. Since April 11, the two sides had a busy schedule, consulting late into the night, with all parties vying for the temporary ceasefire window and intensifying their maneuvering. However, sharp differences remained on three core issues: control of the Strait of Hormuz, unfreezing overseas assets, and uranium enrichment. Outside the negotiating table, the US military announced mine-clearing operations in the Strait of Hormuz, while the Israeli Prime Minister declared that he would continue to strike Iran and its proxies. With the ceasefire window closing, diplomatic maneuvering and military actions are escalating simultaneously, and the situation in the Middle East is at a crossroads between war and peace.April 12 - According to a statement released by the Iranian government early this morning (April 12) via social media, negotiations with the United States will continue despite some remaining differences. Iranian state television reported that the third round of talks between Iran and the United States concluded earlier, with expert teams from both sides attending and exchanging texts again.Iranian government: Despite some remaining differences, negotiations will continue.According to Iranian state television, Iranian and US delegations are exchanging negotiating texts.April 12th - According to a report by a journalist from the Italian newspaper *La Repubblica*, as of 01:57 Islamabad time (04:57 Beijing time), US-Iran negotiations were still ongoing. The two sides had been staying in the same room at the Serena Hotel for nearly 10 hours, with several breaks (including dinner). Both sides are strongly determined to reach an agreement. A framework has been established covering regional security, humanitarian reconstruction (encompassing various aspects), and the freezing of funds. The sticking point is the Strait of Hormuz. This is precisely where other regional and global players could play a decisive role.

Despite an increase in US official oil stock statistics, WTI extends its rebound to near $79.00

Daniel Rogers

Dec 30, 2022 11:20

 截屏2022-12-29 下午4.54.13_1024x576.png

 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have continued their recovery move over the important resistance level of $78.50 during the Tokyo morning session. As a result of supply concerns due to a prohibition on oil sales from Russia to G7 nations and the European Union and anticipation of a recovery in demand predictions in China as a result of reopening steps, the oil price experienced buying activity around $77.00.

 

Russia has no intention of supplying fossil fuels at prices lower than those prevailing on the market, therefore oil supply is projected to remain a key concern. Without a question, western nations are actively seeking alternatives to Russia to meet their oil demand, but their reliance on Russian oil will keep them in agony in the medium run.

 

Meanwhile, the sheer velocity of reopening steps by the Chinese government in Beijing has caused short-term chaos owing to a sharp increase in the number of infections; however, Covid-19 may have reached its peak and the economy will restore its forward momentum.

 

According to a letter from Goldman Sachs economists, "For oil prices, we remain bullish on oil prices in the immediate future given the possibility for increasing China demand, and reduced supply growth from US shale due to discipline/tight service markets, and OPEC+ quota reduction."

 

The United States Energy Information Administration (EIA) stated on Thursday, for the week ending December 23, that the oil price rebounded following a short decline due to an increase in oil stockpiles. The official US agency reported an increase of 0.718,000 million barrels in oil inventories, whereas the market had anticipated a decrease of 1.52 million barrels.

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