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On April 12, US President Trump issued a new threat to Iran, saying, "At the appropriate time, we will be fully ready and our military will end the remaining forces in Iran."April 12 - Explosions and gunfire were heard in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, on April 12 local time.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at 21:27 on April 12 in Zizhong County, Neijiang City, Sichuan Province (29.67 degrees north latitude, 104.88 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.1. Monday: ① Data: US March existing home sales (annualized); China March M2 money supply (annualized). ② Events: OPEC releases monthly oil market report; International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank hold spring meetings until April 17; Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda visits the US from April 13 to 18 to attend G20 and IMF meetings. ③ Earnings: Goldman Sachs. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US March NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; US March PPI (year-on-year); US March PPI (month-on-month); China March trade balance (in USD); China March trade balance. ② Events: Federal Reserve Board hosts "Strengthening the US Economy through Rural Investment: Working Forum"; IEA releases monthly oil market report; IMF releases World Economic Outlook report. ③ Holiday: National Stock Exchange of India closed. ④ Earnings: JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending April 10; final French March CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone February industrial production month-on-month rate; Canadian February wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US April New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US March Import Price Index month-on-month rate, US April NAHB Housing Market Index. ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases total electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; Bank of England Governor Bailey participates in a panel discussion at Columbia University; 2027 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsby participates in a panel discussion before the Semafor 2026 World Economic Conference; Fed Governor Barr delivers opening remarks at a working forum hosted by the Fed Board of Governors; Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Fed Governor Barr participate in a fireside chat at the Fed Board of Governors working forum; ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech. ③ Earnings Reports: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, ASML. 4. Thursday: ① Data: Australias seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in March; Chinas first-quarter GDP year-on-year, Chinas March retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year, Chinas March industrial value-added year-on-year; UKs three-month GDP month-on-month in February, UKs February manufacturing output month-on-month, UKs seasonally adjusted goods trade balance in February, UKs February industrial production month-on-month; Eurozones final March CPI year-on-year rate, Eurozones final March CPI month-on-month rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 11, US April Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, US March industrial production month-on-month, US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending April 10. ② Events: Federal Reserve Governor Bowman speaks at the Institute of International Finance Forum; the Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book on economic conditions; Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks on global economic imbalances on the sidelines of an IMF meeting; the National Bureau of Statistics releases its monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 major and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the operation of the national economy; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams speaks; the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting is held. ③ Earnings Report: TSMC. 5. Friday: ① Data: Eurozone February seasonally adjusted current account, Eurozone February seasonally adjusted trade balance. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending April 17. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks.On April 12, local time, US President Trump posted on social media that the US-Iran talks had reached an agreement on "most issues," but failed to reach an agreement on the key issue of "nuclear weapons." Trump said the US had been briefed on the talks, which lasted approximately 20 hours, but Iran "was unwilling to give up its nuclear ambitions." Trump stated that the US would continue to push for negotiations, but was "fully prepared." He reiterated that Iran "will never possess nuclear weapons."

Hang Seng Index, ASX200, Nikkei 225: Bulls Deliver Friday Support

Jimmy Khan

Mar 03, 2023 14:49


Industry Snapshot

Asian stock markets had a positive start, with the Hang Seng Index, ASX 200, and Nikkei 225 all rising.

Despite a tightening labor market and a sharp rise in labor costs, US economic data failed to push risky assets into the red. Initial applications for unemployment decreased from 192k to 190k, and unit labor expenses increased by 3.2% in Q4 compared to Q3's 2.0%. The more aggressive Fed interest rate track to achieve goal inflation was backed by the most recent labor market data.


Bostic, a member of the FOMC, softened the impact by emphasizing the need for gradual increases in interest rates. Bostic wants to raise rates by 25 basis points later this month, allaying concerns about a 50-basis point increase.


The Dow Jones and S&P 500 both saw increases of 1.05% and 0.76% on Thursday, while the NASDAQ Composite Index increased by 0.73%. The US Futures, however, predicted a more tense Friday session. This morning, the NASDAQ mini fell by 34 points while the Dow mini lost 36 points.


Later today, the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data and several FOMC members' remarks may revive Fed Fear. Support for risky assets would be put to the test by a further uptick in service sector activity and a steep rise in the ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index combined with aggressive Fed comments. Logan, Bowman, and Bostic, members of the FOMC, will speak today.