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On August 21, HSBC issued a report lowering its target price for Pop Mart (09992.HK) by 19% to HK$136.5 from HK$168.9, while maintaining a "Hold" rating. The main reason for the downward revision of its earnings per share forecast was the disappointing first-half results. HSBC stated that the banks previous downgrade to "Hold" was due to the limited earnings visibility after adjustments for Labubus intellectual property products. Second-quarter revenue in 2026 was lower than the banks expectations, with overseas markets experiencing a larger-than-expected decline compared to the previous quarter. Following the 2026 forecast adjustment, HSBC maintained its 2026 and 2028 revenue/earnings CAGR forecasts for Pop Mart at 16% and 20% respectively, but lowered its 2027 and 2028 earnings forecasts by 16% and 18% respectively. The banks current earnings forecasts for 2026 and 2027 are 27% and 23% lower than the market consensus, respectively.On August 21, at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office, Liao Min, Vice Minister of Finance, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, the Ministry of Finance will place greater emphasis on improving the effectiveness and precision of fiscal macro-control. Focusing on the policy objectives of stabilizing growth, employment, and expectations, the Ministry will increase counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments. While maintaining the necessary deficit size and expenditure intensity, it will also strive to optimize the expenditure structure and concentrate financial resources to ensure the fulfillment of major national strategic tasks. We will further focus on investing in people, reasonably increasing the proportion of public service expenditures in fiscal expenditures, particularly expanding development space by meeting peoples livelihood needs.On August 21, the State Council Information Office held a press conference this morning on the theme of "Starting the 15th Five-Year Plan," where officials from the Ministry of Finance introduced the relevant situation regarding leveraging the role of proactive fiscal policy to promote high-quality economic and social development. Liao Min, Vice Minister of Finance, stated that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period, we will strive to build a stronger, more stable, balanced, and sustainable fiscal system to provide a solid fiscal guarantee for achieving decisive progress in basically realizing socialist modernization. In summary, this means striving to achieve six "further" goals: further strengthening fiscal strength; further optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditure, with more fiscal spending shifting towards investment in people, supporting domestic consumption, and enhancing the endogenous driving force of the domestic economic cycle; further improving the effectiveness of fiscal macro-control; further deepening fiscal and tax system reform; further improving the level of scientific fiscal management; and further mitigating risks in key fiscal areas.On August 21, the Russian Pacific Fleet announced on social media that a mixed strike force of the Pacific Fleet conducted missile launch training against simulated enemy ships in waters near the Southern Kuril Islands (known as the Northern Territories in Japan), and all targets were successfully hit. The post stated that the missile cruiser Varyag launched Vulcan anti-ship missiles, the nuclear-powered submarine Omsk launched Granit cruise missiles, and the Bastion shore-based anti-ship missile system launched Onyx anti-ship missiles. The training targets were more than 300 kilometers from the launch sites. The Russian side did not mention the timing of the training exercise. Separately, according to a report by Kyodo News on August 21, regarding Russias missile launch training near the disputed islands between Japan and Russia, Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi told the media in Oman on August 20, during his visit there, that "strengthening military capabilities in the Northern Territories violates Japans position and is unacceptable."August 21 – According to the 2026 APEC Customs and Business Dialogue, in the first seven months of this year, Chinas total import and export volume with other APEC economies reached 18.03 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21%. Currently, the Asia-Pacific region accounts for more than 60% of the global economy and its total trade volume is close to half of the global total. The growth rate of Chinas import and export with other APEC economies in the first seven months of this year was higher than the overall level of Chinas merchandise trade during the same period, demonstrating the enormous potential of regional economic cooperation.

Brazil crypto law back on agenda as FTX collapse sends shockwaves

Cory Russell

Nov 18, 2022 16:21

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This is because unregulated digital currencies are now much more of a problem as a result of FTX's demise.


Following the fall of FTX, formerly the darling of the industry, Brazilian crypto enthusiasts are pleading with lawmakers to approve a bill intended to strengthen oversight of the sector. This is because unregulated digital currencies are now much more of a problem as a result of FTX's demise.


The regulation had been "sort of inactive" during the election season, according to Roberto Dagnoni, a key executive at SoftBank-backed exchange Mercado Bitcoin, but it now needed to be a priority.


If the FTX debacle has a silver lining, it is that the law is now given priority, he told Reuters on Tuesday. Some players have been exempt from the current restrictions, thus they are free to act whatever they like. Much would change if this bill passed.


The bill, which was approved by the senate earlier this year and is now awaiting action by the lower chamber, would require all locally active cryptocurrency providers to have a physical presence in the nation and require the disclosure of any suspicions of money laundering and other criminal activity. For violations, the text lists fines and possibly jail.


According to research from 2022 Chainalysis, Brazil is one of the top 10 most active markets worldwide for cryptocurrencies.


The previous leader of the nation's blockchain association, Fernando Furlan, expressed hope that the FTX scandal would be "a push enough" to approve the law.


Furlan continued, saying that while though the law's stricter reporting requirements may make it more difficult for smaller organizations and so-called "dot com" crypto exchanges to function, this was a worthwhile trade-off.


It's a terrific regulation, he continued, "if it benefits Brazilian investors."


The measure might be passed faster than originally anticipated.


Lower House Speaker Arthur Lira was quoted by the newspaper Folha de So Paulo as indicating last week that the house was prepared to vote on the measure before the year ended.


In a public panel, the head of Brazil's securities regulator said that "it is vital that we start having laws" for cryptocurrencies and that the legislation "is very close."


However, given the 2023 financial concerns that have gained precedence since Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's electoral victory, some important players doubt the bill would be passed so swiftly.


FTX declared bankruptcy last week and is being investigated by American authorities amid claims that $10 billion in customer assets were transferred from the cryptocurrency exchange to FTX founder Sam Bankman-trading Fried's firm Alameda Research. Lira did not immediately respond to a request for comment.


In Latin America, FTX did not have a major presence.


Mercado Bitcoin, which is mostly operating in Brazil and Portugal, has no exposure to FTX, according to Dagnoni, who also noted that the company has created its own custody solution to store customer assets.


In spite of widespread withdrawals, he continued, his exchange had even had "net positive" volume flows.


He stated, "I think people are distinguishing between the asset and poor management.