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The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 89 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 89 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: I will not comment on specific foreign exchange levels.July 24th - Marcel Thieliant, Chief Economist for Asia at Capital Economics, stated that preliminary Japanese Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data indicates the countrys economy continues to recover from the impact of energy cost shocks. The Japanese economy remains resilient and still foreshadows a sharp acceleration in inflation. The composite PMI rose slightly to a four-month high of 53.1 in July from 52.8, consistent with a GDP growth rate of approximately 1.5%, above trend. Thieliant added that this improvement is difficult to explain, as both the services and manufacturing PMIs weakened. He believes this may be because Japan is finally beginning to benefit from stronger demand for artificial intelligence-related products.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The U.S. Treasury Departments foreign exchange report referenced the U.S.-Japan joint statement, which stated that excessive exchange rate volatility is undesirable.On July 24th, futures markets for crude oil opened slightly lower, with the SC crude oil main contracts gains narrowing to 5%, and low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) and fuel oil gains falling below 2%. Huatai Futures believes that geopolitical factors remain the main driver of recent oil price surges, including the renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the shutdown of CPC terminals, and Houthi attacks on Red Sea oil tankers. However, the physical market has been relatively restrained recently. Apart from a significant rebound in the discount for Middle Eastern crude oil, discounts in Europe, West Africa, and Latin America have remained relatively stable without a sharp rise. This differs significantly from the market conditions in March and April of this year. Currently, the physical market is not short of oil, and there has been no panic buying. This is mainly due to sluggish Chinese imports and the fact that other countries import demands are largely met. The nearly 80 million barrels of cargo held up when the Strait of Hormuz reopened also acted as a buffer for the market. Currently, there is a significant divergence between paper and physical markets, indicating that the current upward trend is mainly driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – 200 Day EMA Comes Into the Picture Again

Jimmy Khan

Nov 17, 2022 17:04

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The 200-Day EMA is barely above in the E-mini contract, therefore it's possible that the S&P 500 will continue to experience problems in this area despite initial attempts to rally during the trading session. The 4000 level is currently the focus of our attention because it is a level that obviously has a big, round, psychologically significant number. Another breakdown can occur if we fall below the 3900 level.


Keep in mind that the earnings season has been a bit of a mixed bag. We also need to pay close attention to the Federal Reserve because, in my opinion, the market has been overly optimistic about the possibility of the Federal Reserve slowing down.


To be really honest, I believe they will keep suppressing demand in an effort to lower inflation.


Remember that the inflation rate in the US is slightly under 8%, making their target over 4 times higher. Additionally, there is a myth being propagated that suggests consumers may have to deal with "greater inflation." That is not true.


In the end, I believe you will continue to see a lot of volatility, but it is also important to note that following the CPI report, we immediately went straight up in the air and have since practically stagnated. It has no meaningful follow-through, in other words. I'm definitely keeping an eye out for a chance to start fading because it might be the main tell on this chart right now. We need some sort of stimulus, though, for prices to rise as high as 4200 if we break above the highs.