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February 3rd - Todays interest rate hike was a difficult decision for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), as it had just cut rates last August. The RBA had previously bucked the trend of other economies, deliberately keeping rates low for an extended period to prevent soaring unemployment. Now, it becomes the first major central bank to return to a rate-hiking path since the pandemic began. Some economists had predicted that the RBA might wait for more data, given recent slowing monthly inflation data and the strengthening Australian dollars potential to "cool" the economy. Domains chief economist, Nicola Powell, stated that while the rate hike would reduce borrowers ability to finance their homes, it would also weaken the upward momentum in the housing market. Assuming lenders fully pass on the cost of the rate hike, a borrower with a $600,000 loan would see their monthly payment increase by approximately $90. The focus now shifts to the tone set by Governor Bullock at the post-meeting press conference. Economists are currently uncertain whether the RBA will continue with rate hikes or if this is a one-off event.February 3 - The Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.85%, in line with market expectations, after holding rates steady for three consecutive days.The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) set its interest rate at 3.85% on February 3, in line with expectations and down from 3.60% previously.On February 3rd, DBS Bank senior economist Radhika Rao stated in a report that the Indian market is poised for a rebound following the announcement of the US-India trade agreement. She noted that high tariffs were a major factor dragging down market sentiment over the past quarter, while the agreement is "undoubtedly a significant boon to the real economy and exports," and will also boost financial market sentiment. Rao added that textiles, gems and jewelry, engineered products, leather, and chemical products are expected to be the main beneficiaries. She wrote that considering the punitive tariffs previously imposed for purchasing Russian oil, the reduction from 50% to 18% effectively brings Indias tariff levels close to those of most Southeast Asian countries.According to sources, Republican leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives are planning to vote next week on a key bipartisan housing bill.

As the BOJ advocates a dovish approach, AUD/JPY is receiving buying activity near 90.50

Daniel Rogers

Dec 29, 2022 11:50

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY pair is anticipating a respite in the corrective move to about 90.50. Previously, the risk barometer sank progressively after failing to continue its advance past the crucial resistance level of 91.00. As the continuing of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) supportive stance has caused volatility in the Japanese yen, it is anticipated that the cross would experience a recovery move.

 

Meanwhile, the AUD/USD is exhibiting symptoms of abandoning its downward momentum, and the AUD/JPY is expected to follow suit.

 

As numerous nations enforce Covid safety restrictions on Chinese travelers, the Australian Dollar is expected to suffer complex price changes. After the lifting of lockdown restrictions and rapid reopening of the economy, the incidence of covid infections in China has grown dramatically. Health officials in the United States indicated that travelers from China will be forced to undergo COVID-19 testing.

 

The Chinese economy has already abandoned traveler quarantine laws. The hospital staff considers the current period as the busiest they have ever witnessed, citing the sharp spike in Covid-19 cases. The goal of the economy's reopening was to eliminate supply chain interruptions; yet, it appears that the economy's quick recovery has increased supply chain bottlenecks.

 

As reported by Reuters, on the Tokyo front the BOJ reiterated that the broadening of the yield band was meant to resolve market inefficiencies in 10-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) and is not a prelude toward an exit from ultra-accommodative policy. This may result in greater yen depreciation in the future.