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On January 12th, the Israeli Prime Ministers Office announced via social media that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated at the start of his weekly government meeting that Israel is closely monitoring the situation in Iran. That afternoon, Netanyahu convened consultations with his senior advisors and several ministers on security issues. The Israeli security cabinet is scheduled to hold a plenary meeting on the 13th.January 12th - Bond investors overall bets on the Federal Reserves policy path and the direction of the US Treasury market in 2026 appear to have room for further expansion. Last Fridays non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, maintaining market expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This result confirms market expectations that short-term Treasury bonds (most sensitive to monetary policy) will outperform long-term Treasury bonds this year, widening the yield spread between the two. This strategy, known as the "steepening trade," was one of the most popular bond trades for most of last year and continues to work at the start of 2026. Pramod Atrouli, fixed-income portfolio manager at Capital Group, stated, "There are many scenarios over the next 12 to 24 months that are very favorable for the yield curve steepening trade." An analysis of 25 of the largest actively managed core bond funds by JPMorgan shows that, historically, these funds still have a high exposure to this trade.According to Iranian state media, Iran summoned the British ambassador after protesters tore down the Iranian flag from the Iranian embassy building in London.Market news: Home Depot and Google Cloud have jointly launched the Agentic AI tool to help customers and employees transform projects from "how to do it" to "completed".Domestic News: 1. The "Tianma-1000" unmanned transport aircraft successfully completed its maiden flight. 2. Shanxi Province issued consumption subsidies for home appliances and digital smart products in 2026. 3. Hong Kongs new budget will be announced on February 25. 4. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC): Focusing on cracking down on major, malicious, and key illegal activities, and severely punishing all kinds of malicious illegal activities. 5. Chinese Embassy: Due to scheduling conflicts, Wang Yis planned visit to Somalia on January 9 has been postponed. 6. Wang Yi held a telephone conversation with the Somali Foreign Minister: Opposing Somalilands collusion with the Taiwan authorities to seek independence. 7. National Business Work Conference: In 2026, efforts will be accelerated to cultivate new growth points in service consumption and optimize the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. International News: 1. A curfew has been imposed in Narathiwat Province in southern Thailand. 2. Israeli forces are reportedly planning a new round of attacks on the Gaza Strip. 3. British officials: The possibility of Britain deploying troops to Greenland cannot be ruled out. 4. South Korean Presidential Office: Will investigate the truth behind North Koreas claim of a "drone intrusion" and release the results promptly. 5. Iranian President: The government endorses peaceful protests and is willing to meet with protest groups. 6. Danish Parliament Chief: It would be "foolish" to go to war over Greenland. 7. Israel demands the EU designate Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." 8. US Media: Trump received a briefing on options for striking Iran but has not yet made a final decision; the government is considering multiple options for intervention in Iran. 9. Trump again pressures Cuba, threatening that if Cuba does not reach an agreement soon, it will face a situation of "zero oil and zero funds" flowing into Cuba. 10. Iranian Parliament Speaker warns Trump that any attack would lead Iran to consider Israel and US bases in the region as "legitimate targets" and strike them.

AUD/JPY declines below $90.00 as market focus shifts to China's official PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Dec 30, 2022 11:32

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The AUD/JPY pair has abandoned the psychological support at 90.00 during the Asian session. As a spike of Covid-19 instances in China drives other countries to implement severe safety procedures for Chinese immigrants, the risk barometer has detected a sell-off. An increase in the number of Covid cases in China has a negative impact on the Australian currency, since more supply chain disruptions may limit trade activity.

 

In an effort to alleviate supply chain constraints, the declaration that China will reopen in January 2023 has generated new difficulties. Major nations are requiring negative Covid reports on Chinese immigration in order to safeguard themselves from the outbreak. During a briefing on Thursday, the head epidemiologist at China's Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) warned that Covid is expected to spread over the holiday season.

 

In addition to the Covid scenario, investors are concerned about China's official PMI data, which will be revealed next weekend. The consensus forecast for the Manufacturing PMI from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is 49.2, up from the previous reading of 48. Non-Manufacturing PMI is forecast to outperform the previous report by a wide margin, as the current economic data is anticipated to be 51,4 versus 46,7.

 

Australia is China's most important trading partner, and economic uncertainty in China leads the Australian Dollar to fluctuate.

 

The Japanese Yen is gaining ground in Tokyo despite the beginning of funds-supplying operations against pooled collateral by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday. On January 4, the Bank of Japan will provide around one trillion yen at zero percent interest.

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