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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

As investors forecast Eurozone GDP, the EUR/GBP exchange rate fluctuates around 0.8370

Daniel Rogers

Jul 29, 2022 10:59

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The EUR/GBP pair is fluctuating in a narrow range between 0.8366 and 0.8380 in the early Tokyo session. The asset saw a robust buying response on Friday after hitting a fresh three-month low of 0.8346 on Thursday. A buying response often indicates that traders perceived the asset as a value bet and built up sizeable long holdings. On the downside, the cross is displaying indications of fatigue, and a rebound is anticipated close to the round-number resistance level of 0.8400.

 

During today's session, investors will pay close attention to data on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the Eurozone. The market believes that annual economic estimates may drop from 5.4 percent to 3.4 percent. While the quarterly GDP will drop from 0.6 percent in the prior report to 0.2 percent. The shared currency's bullish indication can be destroyed by a repetition of the same event.

 

Consumer attitudes are negatively impacted by growing fears of an energy catastrophe in the eurozone. Natural gas consumption will undoubtedly rise as Winter draws near, which is marked by a rise in energy demand. The eurozone administration is looking for candidates who can fulfill the region's high energy demand, but the search will take some time.

 

Investor focus will shift to the Bank of England's interest rate announcement on the British front (BOE). Interest rates are anticipated to climb further under Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England given that the inflation rate has reached 9.4% and doesn't appear to be nearing its peak. Pricing pressures in the UK are constantly increasing and may soon hit double digits.


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