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On June 24, the Bank of Korea reiterated its hawkish stance, stating that rising housing prices, expanding household debt, and increased leveraged investment could exacerbate financial imbalances, necessitating further interest rate hikes at an appropriate time. The Bank of Koreas semi-annual Financial Stability Report, released Wednesday, noted that despite increased domestic and international uncertainties, the South Korean financial system remained generally stable thanks to strong economic growth, resilient financial institutions, and sound external payments. However, the report warned that the risk of financial imbalances could further increase as housing prices in Seoul and surrounding areas accelerate and investors become increasingly reliant on leveraged asset purchases. Furthermore, while banks and other financial institutions maintain capital and liquidity buffers, credit risks for vulnerable borrowers and businesses continue to rise. The report stated, "The Bank of Korea will maintain the benchmark interest rate at 2.5% from the second half of 2025, but considering inflationary pressures, economic conditions, and financial stability risks, it believes it is necessary to raise the policy rate at an appropriate time."Futures News, June 24th - According to foreign media reports, data released by the Petroleum Institute of Japan (PAJ) on Wednesday showed that as of the week ending June 20th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories were 9,757,338 kiloliters, an increase of 33,755 kiloliters from the previous weeks 9,723,583 kiloliters. Refinery operational capacity utilization was 80.3%, compared to 81.9% the previous week. Refinery design capacity utilization was 70.5%, unchanged from the previous week. Due to changes in Japans petroleum product supply structure, the Petroleum Institute of Japan has suspended the release of weekly inventory details for gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, and diesel.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at 10:53 a.m. on June 24 in Dongchuan District, Kunming City, Yunnan Province (26.00 degrees north latitude, 103.13 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.Goldman Sachs maintains its Q4 2026 gasoline profit forecasts for the U.S. and Europe at $23 and $13 per barrel, respectively.Goldman Sachs: Diesel margins in the U.S. and Europe are expected to fall to $46 and $31 per barrel, respectively, by the fourth quarter of 2026.

As investors anticipate US Services PMI, the USD/JPY pair falls to around 134.00

Daniel Rogers

Dec 05, 2022 14:09

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The USD/JPY pair attempted to surpass the immediate barrier of 134.50 during the Tokyo session. As investors anticipate fresh momentum from U.S. Services PMI data, the asset is expected to remain on tenterhooks. As Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers do not expect the current rate of interest rate hikes to continue, the risk profile remains favorable.

 

Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, was quoted by Reuters as saying on Friday, "We will likely have a little higher Fed policy rate peak even as we slow the pace of rate hikes."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is hovering near its immediate support level of 104.50 and is likely to test Friday's low at 104.40. In the context of a significant decline in the desirability of safe-haven assets, the risk appetite theme is likely to continue exerting pressure on US Dollar bulls.

 

In the interim, 10-year US Treasury rates have increased after falling below 3.50 percent during the Asian session, as market sentiment turns cautious prior to the release of US Services PMI data. The projected economic statistics is 55.6, a decline from the previous report of 54.4.

 

The New Orders Index is expected to rise from 56.5 to 58.5 on the US Services PMI spectrum. This indicates that future demand will be robust, which might de-anchor short-term inflation expectations and ruin the risk-on profile.

 

On the Tokyo front, Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Haruhiko Kuroda stressed the potential of a decrease in inflation beginning in CY2023. This may encourage the BOJ to continue easing monetary policy in order to keep inflation near the 2% target. Total Household Expenditures statistics will be of the utmost relevance in the future. The economic data are projected to increase annually by 3.4%, up from 2.3% in the previous report.