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The main contract of industrial silicon rose by more than 3% and is now quoted at 8,995 yuan/ton.On September 15, the overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; the 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; the 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; the January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; and the March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.According to futures data on September 15, overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.On September 15th, Pop Mart (09992.HK) plunged nearly 9% on Monday, its biggest drop since April, hitting its lowest level in over a month, after JPMorgan Chase downgraded its rating to neutral, citing a "lack of catalysts and unattractive valuation." This followed social media posts pointing to weak demand for its new "SKULLPANDA" product, and JPMorgans downgrade heightened market concerns about waning popularity. JPMorgan analysts Kevin Yin and others stated in a report: "Current valuations already reflect perfect expectations. Any minor fundamental disappointment or negative media coverage (such as falling pre-owned prices or third-party licensing issues) could trigger a share price decline." Although the stock has still risen over 180% this year, its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is now close to 23 times.On September 15th, the market generally expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, but uncertainty remained about the direction of the policy once it was implemented. Marc Giannoni, Barclays chief US economist, stated that with inflation remaining subdued, the FOMC will judge that downside risks to achieving its employment goals are increasing. He added that the Feds economic projections remained largely unchanged, but the dot plot indicated three rate cuts (each 25 basis points) this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term interest rate forecast remained unchanged at 3.0%.

GBP/USD falls from a five-month high to 1.2200 as traders await NFP data from the United States

Alina Haynes

Dec 02, 2022 15:47

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GBP/USD reverses direction from yesterday's strongest levels since late June, as markets stabilise in front of Friday's critical US employment report for November. As of press time, despite this, the intraday low for the Cable pair is approaching 1.2230.

 

In addition to pre-NFP anxiety, the recent decline in the quote may also be ascribed to the market's modest pessimism and poorer UK statistics.

 

S&P 500 Futures decline 0.30 percent intraday to 4,070, mirroring market mood as US 10-year Treasury yields bounce from a 10-week low to 3.53 percent as of press time.

 

Potentially responsible are worries about the decline of the Initial Public Offering (IPO) markets. According to industry experts presenting at the Reuters NEXT conference, "a global slowdown in initial public offerings due to heightened market volatility and a regulatory cloud over fresh listings from China has created pent-up demand that might lead to an IPO boom in 2023."

 

The Business Times of Singapore stated that the United Kingdom's house prices dropped 1.4% in November, which was greater than the 0.2% reduction that had been forecast. In contrast, record-high fresh food inflation and a rise in the UK's final S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI statistics for November appear to pose a challenge to GBP/USD bears.

 

The Bank of England's (BOE) hawkish forecasts and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) recent dovish forecasts for its next move are on the same path. Moreover, weak US inflation and economic activity figures weigh on the US Dollar, keeping GBP/USD bulls bullish.

 

The November US jobs report will be crucial for GBP/USD buyers in light of negative data forecasts and fears of additional Greenback losses. As a result, the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) number is expected to decline from 261K to 200K, while the unemployment rate may remain unchanged at 3.7%. It should be noted that a likely decline in Average Hourly Earnings for the relevant month could potentially weigh on the DXY.

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