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On April 4, the Yangtze River Delta Railway ushered in the peak of passenger flow during the Qingming Festival. It is expected to send 4.1 million passengers today, 365,000 more than the same period last year, an increase of about 9.8%, and is expected to set a new record for single-day passenger volume. This years Qingming Festival railway transportation will start from April 3 to 7. The Yangtze River Delta Railway is expected to send 17.6 million passengers in 5 days, with an average daily passenger flow of 3.52 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%.The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."

GBP/USD falls from a five-month high to 1.2200 as traders await NFP data from the United States

Alina Haynes

Dec 02, 2022 15:47

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GBP/USD reverses direction from yesterday's strongest levels since late June, as markets stabilise in front of Friday's critical US employment report for November. As of press time, despite this, the intraday low for the Cable pair is approaching 1.2230.

 

In addition to pre-NFP anxiety, the recent decline in the quote may also be ascribed to the market's modest pessimism and poorer UK statistics.

 

S&P 500 Futures decline 0.30 percent intraday to 4,070, mirroring market mood as US 10-year Treasury yields bounce from a 10-week low to 3.53 percent as of press time.

 

Potentially responsible are worries about the decline of the Initial Public Offering (IPO) markets. According to industry experts presenting at the Reuters NEXT conference, "a global slowdown in initial public offerings due to heightened market volatility and a regulatory cloud over fresh listings from China has created pent-up demand that might lead to an IPO boom in 2023."

 

The Business Times of Singapore stated that the United Kingdom's house prices dropped 1.4% in November, which was greater than the 0.2% reduction that had been forecast. In contrast, record-high fresh food inflation and a rise in the UK's final S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI statistics for November appear to pose a challenge to GBP/USD bears.

 

The Bank of England's (BOE) hawkish forecasts and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) recent dovish forecasts for its next move are on the same path. Moreover, weak US inflation and economic activity figures weigh on the US Dollar, keeping GBP/USD bulls bullish.

 

The November US jobs report will be crucial for GBP/USD buyers in light of negative data forecasts and fears of additional Greenback losses. As a result, the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) number is expected to decline from 261K to 200K, while the unemployment rate may remain unchanged at 3.7%. It should be noted that a likely decline in Average Hourly Earnings for the relevant month could potentially weigh on the DXY.

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