• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On April 26, according to the Wall Street Journal, in order to simplify the negotiations on reciprocal tariffs, US negotiating officials plan to use a new framework developed by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), which lists major categories of negotiations, such as tariffs and quotas, non-tariff trade barriers, digital trade, product origin principles, economic security and other commercial issues. In these categories, US officials will put forward specific requirements for individual countries, but people familiar with the matter emphasized that this document may also be adjusted at any time. People familiar with the matter said that the United States initial plan is to negotiate with 18 major trading partners in turn over the next two months. The initial plan is to alternately participate in the talks with six countries per week for three weeks (six countries in the first week, another six countries in the second week, and another six countries in the third week) until the deadline of July 8. If US President Trump does not extend the 90-day suspension period he set by then, those countries that cannot reach an agreement will begin to face reciprocal tariffs.On April 26, after the United States announced additional tariffs on goods from many countries, Peruvian business people expressed concerns that the US governments extreme measures would disrupt the global trade order and may even trigger a global economic recession. Alvaro Barrenechea Chavez, vice president of the Peruvian-Chinese Chamber of Commerce, said that the negative impact of the US tariff policy has begun to emerge and hoped that the US government would rethink. Recognizing the importance of countries working together to promote development, I think this is the best way to become a true "world citizen."Market news: Musks xAI company plans to raise about US$20 billion in a financing round.Conflict situation: 1. Ukrainian top commander: Russia tried to use air strikes as a cover to increase ground attacks, but was repelled by Ukraine. 2. Ukrainian Air Force: Russia launched more than 103 drones in the night attack on Ukraine. 3. Local officials said Ukraine launched an attack in the Belgorod region of Russia, killing two people. 4. The local governor said that Russia launched an attack on the Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine, killing one person and injuring eight people. Peace talks: 1. Trump: ① The situation between Russia and Ukraine is gradually becoming clear, and they are "very close" to reaching an agreement. ② Ukraine is unlikely to join NATO. ③ Ukraine has not yet signed the rare earth agreement and hopes that the agreement can be signed immediately. ④ It is foreseeable that the United States will conduct commercial cooperation with Ukraine and Russia after reaching an agreement. 2. Russian Foreign Minister: Russia is "ready to reach an agreement on Ukraine." 3. Russian Presidential Assistant Ushakov: Russia and the United States will continue to maintain active dialogue. 4. Russian Presidential Assistant: Putin discussed the possibility of resuming direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine with the US envoy. 5. The differences between the United States, Europe and Ukraine are clear. The documents show that European countries and Ukraine have raised objections to some of the US proposals to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict. 6. Market news: As part of the peace agreement, the United States asked Russian President Putin to abandon the demilitarization requirement. Other situations: 1. President of Hungarys OTP Bank: We hope to return to all business areas in Russia after the (Russia-Ukraine) conflict ends. 2. Ukrainian President Zelensky: US ground forces are not necessary for Ukraine. 3. Trump said Crimea will remain in Russia, Zelensky: Never recognize it. Agreeing with Trumps view, Crimea cannot be recovered by force. 4. NATO Secretary-General Rutte met with Trump and senior US officials to discuss defense spending, NATO summit, and the Ukrainian conflict.Rising global trade risks, overall policy uncertainty and the sustainability of U.S. debt top the list of potential risks to the U.S. financial system, according to the Federal Reserves latest financial stability report released on Friday. This is the first time the Fed has conducted a semi-annual survey on financial risks since Trump returned to the White House. 73% of respondents said that global trade risks are their biggest concern, more than double the proportion reported in November. Half of the respondents believe that overall policy uncertainty is the most worrying issue, an increase from the same period last year. The survey also found that issues related to recent market turmoil have received more attention, with 27% of respondents worried about the functioning of the U.S. Treasury market, up from 17% last fall. Foreign withdrawals from U.S. assets and the value of the dollar have also risen on the list of concerns.

As US economic data is reviewed, XAU/USD slips off $1,740 support-turned-resistance

Daniel Rogers

Aug 30, 2022 11:47

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.12.51_1024x576.png

 

During Tuesday's Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) retests its intraday low near $1,736 after a failed rebound off the one-month low. In doing so, metal prices take cues from the most recent comeback of the U.S. dollar from its intraday low and justify the challenges to market mood originating from China and the central bankers' front.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded from the daily low to 108.81 after reversing from a new 19-year high the day before. In doing so, the dollar's index against the six main currencies appears to validate the market's fears of higher interest rates despite the imminent economic downturn, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell had previously suggested.

 

It is important to note that rumors of an escalation in Sino-American tensions over Taiwan also impose downward pressure on the XAU/USD exchange rate, primarily since Beijing is one of the world's largest commodities consumers. The news further strengthens the dollar's appeal as a safe haven. Politico has reported that the Biden administration will ask Congress to authorize a $1.1 billion arms sale to Taiwan. Prior to it, the movement of US boats in the Taiwan Strait and the visits of American diplomats to Taipei provoked China.

 

In contrast, the most recent news from Bloomberg regarding the Eurozone's ability to combat the energy issue appears to challenge the XAU/USD bearish. "The European Union is on track to fulfill its gas storage filling goal two months ahead of schedule as the EU prepares for a harsh winter with Russia limiting supplies and surging energy prices ravaging the continent," Bloomberg reported.

 

Monday saw the consolidation of recent market movements amid a light economic calendar and contradictory Fed commentary. In spite of this, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index increased to -12.9 from -20.2, as anticipated, and -22.6 previously. Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, claimed that people now comprehend how serious we are about bringing inflation back to 2%.

 

Following a two-day uptrend to reestablish the monthly high, the 10-year US Treasury yields fall to 3.10% amidst these plays. With this, intraday gains for S&P 500 Futures are reduced.

 

Moving forward, the August US Consumer Confidence and statements from Fed speakers are highlighted as the primary drivers to watch for additional impetus. In his Jackson Hole speech, Fed Chair Powell voiced concern over economic slowdown and labor market pressures. Consequently, Friday's US employment report will garner a great deal of attention.