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On August 16th, according to a report by the U.S. military newspaper Stars and Stripes on the 14th, the U.S. Navy recently discovered an unidentified drone at its largest base in Italy and implemented base-wide security measures. The report stated that the small drone was discovered on the 13th at a support point at the U.S. naval base, prompting security forces to take precautionary measures. Before and after the drones discovery, the U.S. naval base issued a brief shelter-in-place order at a location approximately 13 miles (21 kilometers) from the incident site. It is currently unclear whether this shelter-in-place order was related to the drone discovery, or whether a similar order was issued at the support point.August 16th - At 12:10 PM Beijing time on August 16, 2026, my country successfully launched 24 low-Earth orbit satellites for its satellite internet service using a Long March-12 carrier rocket from the Hainan Commercial Space Launch Site. The satellites successfully entered their predetermined orbits, and the launch mission was a complete success.According to the Jerusalem Post: The Israel Defense Forces killed senior Hezbollah commander Abu Hassan Alaa in a weekend attack on the Deir Zahrani region in southern Lebanon.August 16th - The 2026 Wenchang International Aerospace Forum will be held in Wenchang, Hainan from August 24th to 26th, showcasing the latest achievements of Hainans aerospace industry. The forum aims to seize the new opportunities presented by the industrialization of reusable rockets, gather global aerospace resources, and help strengthen the rocket, satellite, and data chains, as well as the "aerospace+" industry, building a comprehensive and multi-layered aerospace industry ecosystem. Hainan will fully promote the implementation of key projects, accelerate the formation of high-density, high-reliability, and low-cost commercial launch capabilities, and efficiently support the "hundreds of rockets, thousands of satellites" mission.August 16th - According to Indonesian rescue official Shafii, as of 9:00 AM on the 16th, the death toll from the 7.7 magnitude earthquake in Indonesia has risen to 51. According to the China Earthquake Networks Center, a 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Flores Island, Indonesia, on the morning of the 15th local time, with a focal depth of 20 kilometers. The tsunami warning triggered by the earthquake has been lifted. According to the Chinese Consulate General in Denpasar, the earthquake caused minor injuries to three Chinese citizens.

As Oil Bulls Relax And US Inflation Is Monitored, USD/CAD Recovers Around 1.3350

Daniel Rogers

Feb 13, 2023 14:42

 USD:CAD.png

 

The USD/CAD rebounds from a five-week low. After a solid employment report and an increase in oil prices, Loonie bears joined the market. Before the release of the US CPI, aggressive Fed comments and good US data test sellers.

 

After falling the most in five weeks the previous day, the USD/CAD is fluctuating around the middle of the 1.3300s in the early Asian session on Monday. Ahead of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the Loonie/U.S. dollar pair exhibits market consolidation amid mixed US signals.

 

After a strong Canadian employment report and a rise in WTI crude oil prices, the Loonie pair dropped the most since the beginning of January.

 

WTI crude oil reached a new monthly high of $80.48 the day before, despite market rumors that Russia may reduce oil production by 500,000 barrels in March to counter European penalties.

 

The Net Change in Employment for January in Canada increased to 150K from 15K expected and 69.2K revised. The unemployment rate was 5.0%, not 5.1%.

 

As evidenced by BoC Governor Tiff Macklem's dovish comments, the stronger Canadian employment report makes it tougher for the Bank of Canada to pause its rate hike trajectory, benefiting USD/CAD bears.

 

Nevertheless, preliminary US University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment for February increased to 66.4 from 65.0 anticipated and 64.9 previously. This month, the UoM announced that inflation forecasts for the coming year jumped to 4.2% from 3.9% in January and 4.4% in December. UoM said that long-term inflation estimates (5-year) stayed at 2.9% for the third consecutive month and remained within a narrow band of 2.9% to 3.1% for 18 of the last 19 months. Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics adjusted the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) from -0.1% to 0.1% based on revised seasonal adjustment variables.

 

Recent contradicting statements from Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin and the US-China dispute over "unidentified objects" appear to challenge sentiment and boost the USD due to its safe-haven status.

 

S&P 500 Futures decrease as interest rates on US Treasury bonds increase, benefiting the US Dollar and USD/CAD buyers ahead of critical US inflation data.

 

Due to reports of a Fed policy shift, USD/CAD traders should monitor risk catalysts before to the January US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Tuesday.


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