EUR/USD
1.14169
-0.030%
Gold
4030.89
-0.539%
Oil
79.310
0.201%
USD/JPY
162.368
0.066%
GBP/USD
1.33872
-0.024%
GBP/JPY
217.370
0.040%
Real-time News
Market news: The EU and the US have shared a list of goods for which tariffs are proposed to be reduced.EU Trade Commissioner Šefčovič: The goal is to bring the EU-India trade agreement into effect in 2027.On July 15th, the Peoples Bank of China released data showing that at the end of June, outstanding RMB loans reached 282.63 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. Experts analyze that my country is currently in a critical stage of deep industrial restructuring and the transformation of growth drivers. The slowdown in loan growth does not signify a weakening of financial support, but rather a natural result of the financial system adapting to economic transformation and upgrading, and a necessary process for high-quality financial development. Looking at a longer timeframe, for many years, my countrys social financing structure has been dominated by loans. However, with the rapid development of the financial market, in 2025, the increase in bond and equity financing exceeded the increase in loans for the first time, becoming the core supporting force for financing supply. Experts believe that this trend will continue in the long term, and a diversified financing system will continue to provide strong and effective financial support for the real economy.On July 15th, Derek Halpenny of MUFG Bank stated in a report that the Canadian dollar could fall if the Bank of Canada dampens expectations of a rate hike this year in its policy decision. He suggested the Bank of Canada might signal that it will maintain current interest rates, thus refuting market pricing in a rate hike before the end of the year. He believes Bank of Canada Governor Macklem might acknowledge the risk of rising inflation due to the Iran conflict, but given the currently relatively mild underlying inflation, he might also hint at room to wait. Halpenny added that trade uncertainty and increased stock market volatility due to concerns about AI could also weigh on the Canadian dollar.On July 15th, European Central Bank staff noted in an article that geopolitical uncertainty has led to decreased loan demand from Eurozone companies exporting to the US, and credit conditions have become more stringent. Economists Petra Köhler-Ulbrich and others wrote on Wednesday that European automakers are among the hardest hit by tariffs and are now facing stricter credit standards, further exacerbating their existing structural problems. They stated that in other cases, banks have maintained credit conditions but strengthened monitoring of relevant companies. They believe the impact of trade tensions on credit conditions will peak between April and October 2025. The economists wrote, “This impact diminishes later in the year as trade sentiment improves with the initial trade framework agreement reached between the US and the EU in the summer, coupled with easing policy uncertainty.” The article did not mention the recent tensions stemming from the US-Iran conflict but highlighted the challenges this risk poses to economies struggling to revive growth. Policymakers are weighing this threat against inflation risks and preparing for next weeks interest rate decision.
