• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
February 2nd - With Kevin Warshs nomination as Federal Reserve Chairman, market focus has abruptly shifted from short-term interest rates to the Feds $6.6 trillion balance sheet and its fundamental role in the market. Zach Griffiths, Head of Investment Grade Bonds and Macro Strategy at CreditSights, noted, "He has consistently been a vocal critic of the Feds balance sheet expansion." Warsh hopes to fundamentally reverse the trend of asset expansion and push for other reforms. However, this move will face complex challenges, directly impacting not only long-term interest rates but also the core markets upon which large global financial institutions rely for daily interbank lending. If policymakers agree to shrink the balance sheet, the transmission effect in the market could lead to a conflict between the Feds and the governments goals of reducing long-term borrowing costs. This could force the Treasury or other US agencies to become more deeply involved in market management, which will face even greater challenges given the continued rise in total borrowing demand and the already over $30 trillion national debt. PGIM points out that if Warshs predictions are true, then the pressure to regulate will shift to the Treasury.February 2nd - On February 1st local time, US President Trump, answering reporters questions about Iran at Mar-a-Lago, stated his hope that "a deal can be reached." Responding to Iranian Supreme Leader Khameneis warning that a US strike would trigger a regional war, Trump said that if a deal cannot be reached, "then well see if he (Khamenei) is right." Trump emphasized to reporters that the US has deployed "the worlds largest and most powerful ships" in the region. Earlier that day, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that Iran "remains confident" of reaching an agreement with the US on the nuclear issue.Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.

How to Use a MACD Crossover to Enter Trades

Larissa Barlow

Mar 24, 2022 17:54

While many traders seek chances to trade amid tumultuous market situations, the significance of timing cannot be overstated.

 

The purpose of this article is to educate traders about the MACD crossover and to explain how it can be utilized effectively in Forex trading.

What Is The Macd Crossover

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is a technical indicator that measures the market's momentum and direction by comparing the difference between two exponential moving averages. When the MACD line and the signal line intersect, the MACD crossover occurs, frequently signalling a change in the market's momentum/trend. The MACD is regarded as a very accurate indicator, particularly in trending markets.


 image.png 

 

The MACD is composed of the following components:

 

The MACD line (blue line) is the difference between two exponential moving averages (often 12 and 26 days or weeks) and is frequently referred to as the quicker line.

 

The signal line is often a nine-period exponentially smoothed average of the MACD line; it is sometimes referred to as the slower line.

 

MACD lines swing above and below a zero line, lending the MACD oscillator characteristics.

 

The histogram is made up of vertical lines indicating the spread between the two MACD lines.

Forex Trading With The Macd Crossover

Three advantageous strategies to employ the MACD crossover in a forex trade:

  • MACD crossing as a cue for entry

  • Divergence is used to calculate momentum, with crossing serving as confirmation.

  • MACD crossover for signal filtering

1. MACD crossing as a cue for entry

By validating the direction of the trend prior to making a trade, a good entry strategy can boost the likelihood of success.

 

When the MACD line crosses over the signal line in the direction of the trend, this is the most often utilized entry signal.

 

When the MACD line crosses ABOVE the signal line and is below the zero line, a bullish signal is present. When the crossover occurs, traders may confirm the start of an upward trend by waiting for the MACD line to pass above the zero line before initiating a long position.

 

Similarly, when the MACD line crosses BELOW the signal line and is above the zero line, a bearish signal is present. Confirmation, once again, occurs when the MACD line passes below the zero line.

2. Using divergence to establish a trend with confirmation by crossing

Divergence may be highly beneficial for analyzing the trend's momentum during periods of high volatility or strong moving markets.

 

Divergence may be described as a break in the relationship between price movement and an indicator. Divergence can be observed on the GBP/NZD 2 hour chart below, as the market is making new highs while the MACD indicator is making lower highs. Divergence is frequently a sign of reversal, indicating that the trend is losing momentum.

 

When this occurs, traders may utilize the subsequent crossing to validate the onset of a market correction/reversal before initiating an opposite-direction position.

 

image.png 

3. Using the MACD crossover to select signals based on their trend direction

Traders who think that 'the trend is your friend' may find the MACD crossover to be an advantageous tool for filtering signals in the trend direction.

 

A trader can spot an upward trend by looking for crossovers that occur when the price chart shows higher highs and lower lows. Another indicator of an upward trend is the MACD line's (blue line) distance from the zero line. When the MACD line is higher than the zero line, the trend is upward. Traders that follow the trend will seek for buying opportunities only when the trend is upward. The inverse conditions would apply to traders seeking to sell.

MACD Frequently Asked Questions

Can you see a MACD crossing occurring?

Anticipating a MACD crossing (or any other movement, for that matter) is not encouraged. The MACD is a lagging indicator, which means that it is based on historical data on price activity. While the MACD crossing is an excellent indicator to employ in trending markets, trading with the anticipation of a crossover is dangerous due to the fact that trending markets are prone to times of high volatility.

Which time window is the most appropriate for the MACD crossover?

The MACD crossover may be employed on any time frame, however the time frame used is frequently determined by the type of trader. Multiple time frames are frequently advantageous since they provide a more comprehensive perspective of the market. A longer time period may be utilized to examine the general trend, but a shorter time period frequently accelerates the frequency of signals.