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July 4th - US President Trump: The US economy is booming! The stock market just recorded its best quarterly performance since my last term. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones indices all surged, and Americans 401(k) retirement accounts continued to grow. My tax cuts for working families have put more money in American pockets. The US trade deficit continues to narrow, and exports have hit record highs for several consecutive months. The US is building, producing, and selling at an unprecedented pace. The trillions of dollars in new investment attracted under my administration mean more factories, more jobs, and more opportunities for the American people. This is victory. Americas "golden age" has begun, and this is just the beginning!July 4th - The Fujian Provincial Government recently issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for Digital Fujian," further detailing the development goals and key tasks for the construction of Digital Fujian during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. The plan proposes that by 2030, the provinces level of digital and intelligent development will reach a leading position domestically, continuously consolidating its advantages in areas such as market-oriented allocation of data elements, industrial digitalization, digital government construction, and the digital and intelligent development environment, making Digital Fujian a benchmark for the construction of Digital China. Specifically, it aims to achieve an average annual growth rate of over 8% in the added value of the core digital economy industries over the next five years.Artificial Intelligence: 1. Alibaba has completely banned Claude Code internally due to the risk of backdoor implantation. 2. Hanwha Group: Will invest 55 trillion won in South Korea to build satellite, space launch vehicle, and defense AI data centers. Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Samsung and SK Hynix are reportedly leading the demand for substrate manufacturers to lower prices. 2. Kioxia delivered samples of its new generation of flash memory chips to AI data centers. 3. Samsung reportedly received over 10 trillion won in AI chip foundry orders from Meta. 4. Samsung plans to raise DRAM prices by 20% in the third quarter; manufacturers say they have already received notification. 5. Infineons worlds largest power semiconductor factory, with an investment of 5 billion euros, has started production ahead of schedule. New Energy Vehicles: 1. Three departments: Starting next year, pure electric commercial vehicles and plug-in hybrid/range-extended vehicles will be required to pay vehicle and vessel tax. 2. China Passenger Car Association: Retail sales of passenger cars in China reached 1.651 million units in June, a year-on-year decrease of 21%. 3. According to Teslas (TSLA.O) official Weibo account, the number of Teslas global Superchargers has exceeded 80,000, with 2,700 new units added in the second quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 17%. Other: 1. TrendForce: Memory prices in the third quarter are expected to increase by 13-18% quarter-on-quarter, supported by AI servers. 2. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has decided to establish a Quantum Information Standardization Technical Committee to be responsible for the formulation and revision of industry standards. 3. According to Yonhap News Agency: The head of the Korea Aerospace Administration stated that South Korea plans to launch a lunar lander before 2030. 4. South Korea, together with Samsung, SK, and other companies, launched a 312 trillion won investment plan, focusing on the semiconductor and aerospace industries.July 4th - Q: Could you please explain the main considerations for revising the E-commerce Law? A: First, its necessary to promote win-win development for platform enterprises and operators/workers within the platforms. Second, its necessary to maintain a fair and competitive market environment. E-commerce platform operators are important participants in online market governance, possessing the dual attributes of operators and managers. Its necessary to revise the E-commerce Law to improve the legal liability system for platforms, solidify their primary responsibilities, encourage them to strengthen compliance, and drive related business entities to jointly create a healthy online market environment. Third, its necessary to promote high-quality economic development. A standardized and orderly market order is an important guarantee for the healthy development of various business entities in the platform economy. Its necessary to revise the E-commerce Law to improve the regulatory mechanism, enhance regulatory methods, and strengthen regulatory effectiveness from a legislative perspective, guiding various business entities in the platform economy to shift from "traffic-first" to "innovation-driven," and from "price-driven" to "quality-driven," better promoting the development of new productive forces and serving the overall high-quality development strategy. Fourth, its necessary to expand high-level opening-up. E-commerce is one of the key areas for steadily expanding institutional opening-up and holds an important position in global digital economy competition. It is necessary to amend the E-commerce Law to improve and add provisions on open cooperation, industry self-regulation, countermeasures against foreign countries, consultation and dispute resolution, so as to further expand the opening up of the e-commerce sector and create a favorable legal environment for the orderly overseas expansion of my countrys e-commerce.On July 4th, SemiAnalysis, a leading research firm specializing in semiconductor and AI infrastructure, published an article stating that the proportion of memory in hyperscale data center capital expenditures has sparked considerable discussion, especially after Micron Technologys earnings report last week. Some market participants are alarmed by how high this proportion might be next year. The firm stated that after releasing its initial views at the end of February, many clients questioned its 30% figure: "Memory only accounts for a dozen percentage points of the server BOM. How can overall capital expenditure be so high?" In May, after prices rose even faster than expected, SemiAnalysis directly responded that, combining DRAM, NAND, and HBM, memory expenditures in Nvidia systems will exceed 30% by the end of 2026 and surpass 40% in 2027. The firm expects the market to gain a fuller understanding of this trend in the coming months.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.