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May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold fell in the latest intraday trading, with a corrective bearish trend dominating in the short term. Furthermore, with prices trading below the 50-day EMA, negative pressure continues to strengthen, increasing downside risk. On the other hand, spot gold prices remain firmly above the key support level of $4500, showing strong positive momentum limiting the decline, especially after the overbought condition was digested. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a positive signal, providing more room for spot gold to show stronger positive performance in the short term.May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures exhibited strong volatility in the latest intraday trading, with prices rising at one point in an attempt to recover some of the previous losses and restore some technical balance. This cautious rebound was mainly due to a slight easing of the clearly oversold condition shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), providing temporary support for the current price movement. Despite the limited improvement, negative pressure continues to dominate oil price movements. Previously, prices had broken below the upward channel that had been dominating its short-term trading. Furthermore, WTI crude oil futures remain below the 50-day EMA, continuing to face negative and dynamic pressure, which also increases the possibility of further declines in the short term.On May 22, UBS issued a research report stating that CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) is a pioneer in AI-driven drug discovery and development (AIDD) among leading pharmaceutical companies, and is the worlds largest AIDD platform licensor by total transaction value. The bank believes that CSPCs leading position in cutting-edge technologies such as AI has not yet been fully reflected in its valuation. With a series of licensing (BD) transactions finalized, the downside risks of its traditional business have been largely priced in, and the companys organic revenue (excluding licensing revenue) is expected to recover to 3.8% year-on-year growth in 2026 (compared to a 16.5% year-on-year decline last year). UBS upgraded CSPCs rating from Neutral to Buy, maintaining its target price of HK$10.9. UBS pointed out that CSPC has currently reached four licensing or collaboration agreements related to the AIDD platform, with a total transaction value of US$27.7 billion, making it the worlds largest AIDD platform licensor. The collaboration with AstraZeneca (AZN.O) is the most significant, validating the value of its AIDD platform. The bank expects the company to have several catalysts in the future, including the first quarter 2026 results to be announced on May 27, and the disclosure of clinical trial data for key R&D assets such as SYS6010 and KN026.May 22nd, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures fell in recent intraday trading, encountering resistance near the EMA50 moving average, causing prices to pull back and ending previous upward attempts. This move also confirmed a break below the short-term uptrend line, further strengthening the recent bearish technical structure. On the other hand, some positive signals have emerged as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) entered deep oversold territory, which should help prices stabilize and attempt to absorb some selling pressure.On May 22, it was reported that the Republican leadership in the U.S. House of Representatives decided on May 21 to postpone a vote on a bill that would limit President Trumps power to use force against Iran, sparking protests from Democrats.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.