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July 19 – U.S. Central Command announced that it completed another round of strikes against Iran at 11:30 p.m. (Eastern Time) on July 18, under the direction of the Commander-in-Chief. In the eighth consecutive night of airstrikes, Central Command forces successfully targeted Iranian military coastal surveillance and air defense facilities, naval combat capabilities, and missile and drone storage sites, in an effort to continue weakening Irans military capabilities. The U.S. military also targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces, following their July 17 attack on U.S. service members in Jordan. Currently, more than 50,000 U.S. military personnel, both men and women, are deployed in the Middle East, maintaining a high level of vigilance, focus, lethality, and readiness.According to the New York Post: US President Trump stated that the US strikes prevented Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. He added that if Iran is not stopped, the region could descend into a wider conflict.July 19 – According to Irans Mehr News Agency, the Iranian militarys public relations department stated that, in response to repeated enemy aggression and attacks on bridges, infrastructure, and demilitarized zones, hours earlier, during the sixteenth phase of Operation Lightning, the Iranian military launched a large-scale drone strike against a US terrorist army ammunition depot at Camp Adir in Kuwait, as well as Patriot radar and air defense radar used by the invading forces at the Ali Salim base in Kuwait. Camp Adir is a key US military base, located 104 kilometers from the Iranian border, and serves as a crucial support and reorganization center for the US military. Disrupting the bases operations will significantly impact US support operations in the region.According to the Iranian news agency IRNA: A magnitude 5 earthquake with a depth of 12 kilometers struck the city of Sarand in Khuzestan province, Iran, a few minutes ago, according to a report from the Earthquake Center of the University of Tehran.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a 5.6-magnitude earthquake in central Peru.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.