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Futures News, August 6th: 1. Strong winds and rain are expected in the Philippine Islands. Influenced by the long-distance moisture transport from Typhoon Whale (No. 14) and Typhoon Dolphin (No. 13), along with the southwest monsoon, the central and northern Philippines will experience continuous heavy rainfall. This precipitation event is characterized by its long duration and large cumulative rainfall. Over the next three days, moderate to heavy rain is expected in the central and northern Philippines, with heavy to torrential rain in most parts of Luzon and Mindoro, and locally extremely heavy rain in northwestern Luzon. The cumulative rainfall in these areas is expected to be 80-150 mm, with some areas receiving 180-250 mm, and locally exceeding 300 mm in northwestern Luzon. Gale-force winds of level 6-8, with gusts of level 9-10, are expected in the central and northern Philippines and surrounding waters. In addition, over the next three days, moderate to heavy rain is expected in the central and northern parts of the Indochina Peninsula, northern and southwestern coastal areas of India, and Bangladesh, with localized torrential rain or heavy downpours, accompanied by short-duration heavy precipitation, thunderstorms, and strong winds. 2. High temperatures will persist across many parts of Asia, Europe, and North America. Over the next three days, influenced by a high-pressure ridge, parts of South Korea, southern Japan, southern Mongolia, central and western Southern Europe, eastern Central Europe, southern Eastern Europe, the Midwestern United States, and northern Mexico will experience temperatures above 35°C, with some areas exceeding 40°C. High temperatures in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, southern Afghanistan, central and southern Pakistan, southern Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia will reach 40-42°C, with some areas exceeding 45°C.US Vice President Vance: There is no disagreement with President Trump on the Iran issue, and we are working to implement his decisions.US Vice President Vance: Energy prices will fall, Iran will not have nuclear weapons, and we will be in a more advantageous position.U.S. Vice President Vance: The Iranians are tough to deal with, but their regime is fractured, and our mission is to achieve the best possible outcome for the American people.Artificial Intelligence: 1. Jeff Dean, a key figure in Googles AI efforts, leaves to found an AI startup. 2. Microsofts latest disclosure shows that its AI revenue primarily comes from OpenAI. 3. Meta launches its first programmable intelligent agent, Muse Code, which can work in conjunction with Muse Spark 1.2. 4. Cloudflare announces the launch of open-source "CloudflareOS": an open platform for AI agents and enterprise work. 5. Metas MUSE SPARK 1.1 model hacked into a companys system and made changes to its internal systems. Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Yu Chengdong: High memory prices may lead to large-scale price increases for mobile phones. 2. Reports indicate that Changxin rejected Apples price pressure, insisting on prices no lower than Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. 3. US media: Anthropic confirms it is building an internal chip team for Claude. 4. After distributing bonuses to employees, Samsung and SK Hynix pledged to increase shareholder returns. 5. SanDisk expects revenue of $10.3 billion to $10.8 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, compared to market expectations of $10.8 billion. Other: 1. Alibabas 2026 Yunqi Conference is scheduled to be held in Hangzhou from September 22nd to 24th. 2. Nikita Bier announced her resignation as head of the X product line, but will remain with the company as an advisor.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.