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SenseTime (00020.HK): It is expected to record a profit of approximately RMB500 million to RMB700 million in the first half of the year, compared with a loss of approximately RMB1.48927 billion in the same period last year.On August 16, the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) reported that Iranian Army Commander-in-Chief Amir Hatami announced a $30,000 reward for the capture or killing of U.S. soldiers. The reward will reportedly be given to any Iranian soldier who comes from "the Iranian people."On August 16, Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) announced that in the first half of the year, thanks to the full contribution of newly acquired assets and the continued optimization of mature mines, gold production increased by 44% year-on-year to approximately 27.3 tons; revenue and profit attributable to owners of the parent company increased by 100% and 179% year-on-year, respectively, and net cash flow from operating activities increased significantly by 331% year-on-year.On August 16, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that Ukrainian forces attacked the "Kamensky Joint Enterprise" in Rostov Oblast, Russia, a Russian military-industrial complex. The Ukrainian side stated that a fire broke out at the target site, and the extent of the damage and the results of the operation are still being verified. The Ukrainian military stated that this military-industrial enterprise is a major Russian military-industrial enterprise, producing solid rocket fuel for the "Hurricane," "Tornado," and "Tornado-S" multiple rocket launcher munitions, as well as related fuels for various missile systems and air-to-ground weapons. On August 16, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a 24-hour combat report stating that Russian forces had taken control of two settlements: Pershomalievka in the Donetsk region and Kudyevka in the Kharkiv region. The report stated that Russian air defense forces shot down 14 guided bombs, 1 US-made HIMARS rocket, 9 Flamingo long-range cruise missiles, and 1,478 fixed-wing drones. This is the highest number of Ukrainian drones shot down in a single day as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense to date.On August 16th, according to a report by Axios, citing three sources familiar with the matter, in mid-May, US negotiators encountered a problem when attempting to reach an agreement with Iran to end the war: they were unsure whether the Iranian representatives across the negotiating table truly represented the countrys powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The report stated that, therefore, Trump administration officials took an unusual approach—bypassing Iranian negotiators and contacting the IRGC leadership directly. The person chosen by the US to oversee this secret communication channel was Nechirvan Barzani, the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. He possessed an extremely rare advantage: the trust of both the US and the IRGC leadership. This incident highlights that a key reason for the difficulties in US-Iran negotiations lies in Washingtons inability to ascertain who truly holds decision-making power in Iran. The US and Iran did ultimately reach a memorandum of understanding, but it quickly collapsed.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.