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1. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed slightly higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.36% to 50,644.28 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.02% to 7,520.36 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.07% to 26,674.73 points. Procter & Gamble rose more than 3%, and Boeing rose more than 2%, leading the Dow Jones. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 0.47%, Facebook rose more than 3%, and Amazon rose more than 2%. 2. The three major European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX fell 0.03% to 25,177.80 points; the French CAC40 rose 0.43% to 8,207.89 points; and the UK FTSE 100 rose 0.13% to 10,505.01 points. 3. US Treasury yields were mixed. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.32 basis points to 4.033%, the 3-year Treasury yield rose 0.30 basis points to 4.084%, the 5-year Treasury yield rose 0.73 basis points to 4.177%, the 10-year Treasury yield fell 0.19 basis points to 4.483%, and the 30-year Treasury yield fell 0.82 basis points to 5.012%. 4. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 4.77% at $89.41 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 3.92% to $92.88 per barrel. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 1.05% to $4454.90 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 2.25% to $74.89 per ounce. 6. London base metals fell across the board. LME tin fell 0.36% to $54,550.0/ton, LME nickel fell 0.44% to $18,890.0/ton, LME lead fell 0.67% to $2,001.0/ton, LME zinc fell 0.72% to $3,507.5/ton, LME copper fell 0.79% to $13,516.0/ton, and LME aluminum fell 1.23% to $3,627.5/ton.US President Trump: Soon, the United States and Armenia will jointly launch the Trump Road to International Peace and Prosperity, which will transform the South Caucasus and help our excellent American energy companies gain direct access to the United States from Central Asia.Sources in Bandar Abbas, Iran, said they heard three or four explosions in the distance, sounding from the same direction as the explosions that occurred a few nights earlier.According to the Wall Street Journal, Google (GOOG.O) employees have been charged with insider trading on the prediction market Polymarket.Conflict Updates: 1. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister called for an end to Russian attacks on Kyiv. 2. Five Ukrainian provinces experienced power outages due to a new round of Russian attacks. 3. A Russian Black Sea port caught fire after being attacked by a Ukrainian drone. 4. A local governor stated that a missile was shot down in the southern Russian city of Taganrog. 5. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported capturing Vozdvizhevka in the Uzaporizhzhia region and Khraniv in the Ukrainian Kharkiv region. 6. Ukrainian General Andriy Biletsky believes that Russian forces in Ukraine are exhausted and unable to achieve significant breakthroughs. Other Updates: 1. Russian and Iranian diplomats were prevented from attending the UN. 2. Zelensky wrote to Trump stating that Ukraine faces a severe shortage of air defense equipment. 3. Ukrainian President Zelensky rejected a proposal for Ukraine to gain partial membership in the EU. 4. Turkish President Erdogan sought to meet with Trump during the World Cup to discuss NATO issues. 5. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Speaks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, reiterating Europes full support for Ukraine. 6. Kremlin: The EU pretends to want to negotiate with Russia on the Ukraine issue, but in reality it is only pushing Ukraine to continue fighting.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.