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According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), in the week ending May 19, crude oil speculators increased their net long positions in WTI crude oil by 15,017 contracts, reaching 110,348 contracts.Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.49% at 25,430 points in overnight trading, a discount of 176 points.The U.S. Treasury Department reported that foreign investors purchased $5.629 billion in 3-year Treasury securities in the latest bi-weekly reporting period, down from $6.834 billion in the previous month; $6.230 billion in 10-year Treasury securities, up from $5.789 billion in the previous month; and $2.767 billion in 30-year bonds, up from $2.313 billion in the previous month.The U.S. Treasury Department reported that investment funds purchased $29.332 billion in 10-year Treasury securities in the latest bi-weekly reporting period, up from $28.103 billion in the previous month; $18.340 billion in 30-year bonds, up from $16.415 billion in the previous month; and $41.636 billion in 3-year Treasury securities, down from $42.810 billion in the previous month.May 23 - According to the Wall Street Journal, global investor sentiment was high today, pushing the S&P 500 index on track for its eighth consecutive week of gains. Driven by the ongoing hype surrounding artificial intelligence, aerospace, and other emerging technologies, U.S. stocks rose, potentially enabling the S&P 500 to record its longest weekly winning streak since December 2023. Asian and European stock markets also rose in tandem.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.