• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Bloomberg Equity Indexes: SpaceX will be included in the large-cap segment of the Bloomberg Global Equity Indexes at the close of trading on June 24, 2026.① Iran 1. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Iran and the US should jointly safeguard Lebanons territorial integrity. 2. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Tehrans interactions with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will require approval from the Iranian parliament and a decision from the Supreme National Security Council. 3. Acting Iranian Defense Minister: The armed forces are on high alert; any new provocations or miscalculations by aggressors will be met with a stronger response than ever before. ② US 1. Vance: A de-escalation mechanism for the Lebanese conflict has been established. 2. Vance stated that Iran has agreed to invite IAEA inspectors for a return visit, which was refuted by Iran. 3. Trump stated that Iran will agree to accept weapons inspections to ensure its long-term "nuclear integrity." 4. US officials stated that the US has established a "monitoring mechanism" for the situation in Lebanon. 5. Trump: If Iran does not comply with the agreement, I will take necessary measures. ③ Israel 1. Israel stated that it will continue to take action to destroy military facilities in southern Lebanon. 2. Israeli Prime Minister: The Israel Defense Forces can operate freely in southern Lebanon to counter threats. ④ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Qatar and Pakistan Joint Statement: The first round of high-level talks between the US and Iran has concluded, and all parties have finalized a 60-day roadmap. 2. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Technical talks between Iran and the US have begun in Switzerland. 3. Irans chief negotiator: An agreement on unfreezing $12 billion in Iranian assets has been finalized. 4. Vance said the Swiss negotiations were productive, but warned, "Dont trust anyone." 5. Iranian President: Iran will never yield to excessive demands. ⑤ Strait of Hormuz 1. British media: More than 400 ships waited in the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran-US consultations. 2. Iranian Parliament Speaker: The Strait of Hormuz will be managed according to the mechanism established by Iran. 3. Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC): The maritime security threat level in the Strait of Hormuz has been downgraded to "moderate." 4. Irans chief negotiator: An agreement has been reached to establish communication channels regarding the passage of ships in the Strait of Hormuz. ⑥ Other Circumstances 1. The Iranian President will visit Pakistan on Tuesday. 2. The U.S. Treasury Department issued a 60-day temporary general license authorizing Iran to sell oil. 3. It is reported that Iran exported 30 million barrels of crude oil in the week before the U.S. sanctions waiver. 4. Hezbollah leader: Will respond to any Israeli aggression. Federal Reserves Goolsby: Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs approach is to reduce speculation on interest rates and reduce forward guidance; I quite agree with this approach.Federal Reserves Goolsby: In my view, we need to determine whether this inflation will continue.Federal Reserves Goolsby: Evidence is needed to prove that this inflation is temporary; inflation in the services sector is slightly worrying.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

66.png

 

Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.