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The API crude oil inventory data for the week ending June 5 will be released in ten minutes.On June 10th, the Federal Reserve issued a statement announcing that the results of its annual bank stress tests will be released at 4:00 AM Beijing time on June 25th. This year, 32 large banks underwent stress tests by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. The test scenarios included a severe global recession, with increased stress in the commercial and residential housing markets as well as the corporate debt market. These stress test results will not affect the capital requirements for large banks. Previously, in February, the Board announced that it would maintain the current stress test capital buffer requirements until 2027, at which time new requirements could be calculated based on loss estimation models incorporating public feedback.Citigroups chief financial officer: The U.S. economy and consumers have shown resilience.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 86.04 points, or 0.17%, to close at 50,872.05 on Tuesday, June 9; the S&P 500 fell 19.20 points, or 0.26%, to close at 7,386.53; and the Nasdaq Composite fell 250.84 points, or 0.97%, to close at 25,678.82.On June 10, Irans Deputy Foreign Minister told Al Jazeera that the U.S. Apache helicopter that crashed in the Strait of Hormuz yesterday was not a target of a deliberate attack by Iran, and denied that Iran was behind the incident. However, he also pointed out that given the current highly tense regional situation, such incidents could also be "intentionally orchestrated."

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.