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Irans Revolutionary Guard: Four "illegal" oil tankers attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz were intercepted in a joint missile and drone operation.On July 18, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that two oil tankers exploded and caught fire while passing through a mine-laying area in the southern part of the Strait of Hormuz. The statement emphasized that due to recent US military operations, the Strait of Hormuz is "completely closed," and oil and gas transport cannot proceed through the strait until the US ceases its military operations against Iran. Ships should avoid entering the mine-laying area. The statement did not specify the nationalities of the two oil tankers, the number of casualties, or the extent of damage.According to Iranian state television, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that two oil tankers exploded and caught fire after passing through a mine-torn shipping lane south of the Strait of Hormuz.On July 18, Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that its forces attacked US facilities in Bahrain, destroying a US unmanned surface vessel storage facility and striking an artificial intelligence center used to assist US forces in target acquisition. Iran stated that this action was a response to previous US attacks on Iranian infrastructure, including bridges, and warned that if the US continues to attack Iranian targets, Iran will expand its strikes to target US industrial, technological, and artificial intelligence-related assets in the Middle East.July 18th - According to US media reports on the 17th, the US government has notified Israel that it will send dozens more refueling aircraft to Israel, potentially escalating military operations against Iran. Axios, citing Israeli officials, reported that the US hopes to send dozens more refueling aircraft to Israel in the coming days, restoring the number to the level at the beginning of the US-Israel conflict with Iran in late February. The report stated that the US government has requested Israel to accept the additional refueling aircraft, and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will make the final decision. The US currently has approximately 30 refueling aircraft parked at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv, Israel, and a similar number at Ramon Airport in southern Israel. The report suggests that US President Trump appears intent on escalating the conflict to create sufficient disruption to force Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz and accept US demands on the nuclear issue. According to US and Israeli officials, Trump may order an escalation of the situation in the coming days.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.