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On July 4, the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff reported that the South Korean military controlled a North Korean person who crossed the military demarcation line on the evening of the 3rd. The South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff stated that after the South Korean military found the relevant personnel in the area of the military demarcation line in the central and western parts of the country on the evening of the 3rd, they tracked and monitored them, carried out induced operations, and then controlled the relevant personnel. At present, the relevant departments are investigating them. The Joint Chiefs of Staff also stated that as of now, the North Korean army has no special movements.According to a Reuters poll: 31 of 37 economists believe the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut the cash rate to 3.60% on July 8, while six believe the rate will remain unchanged. The median forecast of economists shows that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut the cash rate to 3.10% by the end of 2025 (down from 3.35% in the May survey).Japanese government officials: Japans household spending growth in May was the fastest year-on-year since August 2022, and the month-on-month growth rate was the highest since March 2021.Trump praised U.S. Treasury Secretary Besant, U.S. Senate Republican leader Thune and U.S. House Speaker Johnson for the passage of the "Big, Beautiful Act."Japans total household spending in May was 4.7% year-on-year, in line with expectations of 1.20% and the previous value of -0.10%.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.