• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
French industrial production rose 0.1% month-on-month in June, below the expected 0.3% and the previous reading of -0.10%.Frances June industrial production figures will be released in ten minutes.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Geopolitical tensions eased again, and overnight London spot gold rose 0.57%, while SHFE gold closed up 0.87%. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns, causing oil prices to fall rapidly. Additionally, the US June JOLTS job openings fell more than expected. Gold may maintain a bottoming-out trend in the short term, with attention focused on Fridays non-farm payroll data. On the macroeconomic front, US June JOLTS job openings fell to 7.36 million from 7.54 million in May, below the expected 7.45 million, indicating a relatively stable labor market. The president of the Philadelphia Fed, a 2026 voting member of the Federal Reserve, stated that he remains open to the direction of monetary policy, and whether core inflation can continue to decline is a key factor in his judgment. Geopolitically, US-Iran negotiations continued to release easing signals, and expectations for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz increased. While the US-Iran geopolitical situation continued to ease, the US dollar weakened, and although gold performed relatively strongly, it still exhibited a weak bottoming-out trend, failing to give the market stronger confidence. This may stem from investors apprehension about the upcoming non-farm payroll data.Japans Topix index rose 2%.SpaceX shares fell 7% on Tradegate, roughly in line with its after-hours performance on the US stock market.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

66.png

 

Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.