EUR/USD 1.14224
-0.047%
Gold 4112.94
-1.870%
Oil 72.583
-1.785%
USD/JPY 161.685
0.067%
GBP/USD 1.32316
-0.128%
GBP/JPY 213.940
-0.052%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The SC crude oil futures contract fell 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 490.00 yuan per barrel.On June 23, Deutsche Bank lowered its gold price forecast by up to 22% as investors grew increasingly cautious about the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy and investment demand for the precious metal dried up. Michael Hsueh, a research analyst at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a report that he now expects gold to reach $4,300 per ounce in the third quarter, a reduction of more than one-fifth from his previous forecast; and $4,800 in the fourth quarter, a reduction of 17%. This still implies that gold prices will continue to rise from the current level of around $4,110 per ounce, but the bullish sentiment is significantly weaker than before. Deutsche Bank shifted to a more cautious outlook, following Goldman Sachs move last week, which lowered its year-end gold price target by $500 to $4,900 per ounce. Hsueh stated that the Feds repricing, coupled with resilient US macroeconomic data, were the main factors driving gold prices lower. The banks fourth-quarter target is based on the assessment that the Fed will continue to maintain unchanged interest rates, but if there are three to four rate hikes, gold prices could fall to around $3,800. Continued outflows from gold ETFs indicate that this traditionally supportive factor for gold prices is "significantly absent." On the positive side, the only remaining strong pillar is central bank demand, and we expect this trend to continue for some time.Nasdaq 100 futures fell more than 2%, S&P 500 futures fell 1.08%, and Dow Jones futures fell 0.36%.Sources indicate that Nissan halted development of its electric Qashqai SUV early last year. Even if the project is restarted, the model is not expected to launch until the next decade.Japanese chip stocks continued their decline, with Kioxia shares falling 14% and SoftBank Group shares dropping nearly 10%.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

66.png

 

Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.


Suggestion