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On May 19th, futures market news reported that recent rainy weather in producing areas has limited corn shipments for most traders, leading to a temporary tightening of effective supply. Some companies have slightly raised prices to encourage purchases. While some traders in producing areas still have sales needs after the weather improves, downstream companies are focusing on the new wheat harvest and awaiting relevant policy grain auctions, resulting in weak enthusiasm for corn purchases. However, the trading sector is supported by costs and has limited acceptance of low prices; therefore, mainstream market prices are expected to remain stable in the near term.Hong Kong-listed auto stocks fluctuated and weakened, with NIO-SW (09866.HK) falling more than 5% in the afternoon, Li Auto (02015.HK) falling more than 4%, and XPeng Group (09868.HK), Leapmotor (09863.HK) and others following suit.May 19th Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot silver prices fell in recent intraday trading after failing to break through the $78.35 resistance level, which remained firm, causing prices to retreat again. This movement occurred against the backdrop of a clear corrective bearish wave dominating the market in the short term. Meanwhile, the 50-day moving average (EMA) continues to exert negative dynamic pressure on prices, with spot silver prices consistently below it, further reducing the likelihood of a full rebound in the short term. Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has begun to show a negative crossover after the price action became extremely overbought, indicating a bearish divergence signal, which increases the probability of continued selling pressure and further declines.May 19th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices have been volatile in recent intraday trading, attempting to accumulate upward momentum to help break through the key resistance level of $104.00. Under the influence of the dominant short-term bullish trend, prices continue to benefit from trading above the 50-day EMA, providing dynamic support and enhancing the possibility of further gains. This performance is attributed to the easing of overbought conditions previously indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is now beginning to release new positive signals supporting the upward price movement. This further strengthens the positive momentum around the price and increases the probability of attempting to break through the current resistance level.May 19th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures have experienced significant volatility during recent trading sessions, primarily constrained by the solid support at the key resistance level of $109.00. Currently, the price is attempting to accumulate upward momentum to break through this resistance and continues to trade above the 50-day EMA, further strengthening the short-term bullish trend and overall stability. Simultaneously, the price is moving along a support trendline, further solidifying the upward bias. Furthermore, after the previous overbought condition eased, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has begun to show a positive golden cross signal. If momentum continues to strengthen, this signal is expected to provide support for further price increases.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.