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On August 24th, according to the latest data from OpenRouter, the total global AI large-scale model usage last week (August 17th to August 23rd) reached 93.3 trillion tokens, a 23.9% increase week-on-week. Among the listed AI large-scale models, Chinese AI large-scale models saw a weekly usage of 40.48 trillion tokens, a 9.88% increase week-on-week; while US AI large-scale models saw a weekly usage of 9.66 trillion tokens, a 5.85% decrease week-on-week. Chinese large-scale models have surpassed the US in weekly usage for seventeen consecutive weeks, firmly holding the top spot globally. Last week, Chinese AI large-scale models occupied four of the top five spots in global usage. DeepSeek-V4-Flash official version ranked first for the third consecutive week, with a weekly usage of 11.6 trillion tokens, a 4% increase week-on-week. An anonymous model codenamed Ox Alpha broke into the top two, with a weekly usage of 11.6 trillion tokens. According to OpenRouter, Ox Alpha was launched on August 20th. Its context window has approximately 1.048 million tokens, and the maximum output length is 131,000 tokens. It also supports text, image, and video input and is available for free during the preview period.On August 24th, according to the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Hydrological Center, from 8:00 AM on August 23rd to 8:00 AM on August 24th, moderate to heavy rain fell in parts of Wuzhou, Fangchenggang, Chongzuo, Guigang, Nanning, and Yulin, with some areas experiencing torrential to extremely heavy rain. Affected by upstream water flow and heavy rainfall in the region, 20 stations on 15 rivers, including the Zuojiang River and its tributaries Heishui River and Pingxiang River, the Mingjiang River and its tributaries Gongan River, Pailian River, Sizhou River, Pinger River, and Beilun River, experienced floods exceeding warning levels by 0.07 meters to 6.96 meters. The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Hydrological Center continued to issue a red flood warning at 8:00 AM on August 24th, urging relevant units and the public in the riverside areas of Chongzuo, Nanning, and Guigang to strengthen precautions and take timely evacuation measures.On August 24th, Goldman Sachs reiterated that if Persian Gulf liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports fail to increase further, maintaining European TTF gas prices at €65 per megawatt-hour will not be sufficient for Europe to effectively manage its inventory during the winter. If LNG exports via the Strait of Hormuz do not improve, European gas prices (TTF) will need to rise further to curb Asian LNG demand, thereby releasing more cargoes to Europe and helping to maintain its gas inventory levels. Goldman Sachs estimates that in a scenario where Middle Eastern energy exports do not gradually return to normal until 2027, TTF gas prices for December 2026 delivery may need to rise to over €100 per megawatt-hour (assuming normal average winter temperatures), 110% higher than the banks baseline scenario of €50 per megawatt-hour, to more significantly curb Asian LNG demand.On August 24th, Joseph Carson, former chief economist at AllianceBernstein, questioned why U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent had kept his excellent plan to reduce the national debt so secret. He suggested the reason might be that Bessent simply didnt have such a plan, and the Trump administration would continue to promote a misleading narrative to try and convince the market that he did. Carson added that Bessent doesnt control U.S. federal spending, as that power belongs to Congress. Without congressional approval, Bessent cannot change tax policy.According to the Wall Street Journal, sources familiar with the matter revealed that California is expected to require Paramount to divest some of its cable television channels and pledge to keep its film studios independent from Warner Bros. ahead of the merger between Paramount and Warner Bros.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.