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U.S. 10-year Treasury futures climbed 21 ticks, while 30-year Treasury futures rose 1 big tick.European and American stock index futures rose, with S&P 500 futures extending gains to 0.95% and Nasdaq futures up 1.43%; Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose 1.1% and German DAX 30 futures rose 1.1%.May 25th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures have continued to decline in recent intraday trading, constrained by negative pressure from prices consistently trading below the EMA50 moving average. Bearish momentum has further strengthened, causing prices to break below a major short-term bullish trendline. This negative technical signal increases the likelihood of further declines. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite the price easing from its previous oversold condition, continues to release negative signals, providing more technical space for the market to deepen its decline in the short term, with bearish momentum still dominating.May 25th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures fell, mainly due to the previous break below a key short-term uptrend line. Current prices remain under pressure below the 50-day EMA, limiting any potential for a sustained short-term rebound. Simultaneously, prices have also broken below the $99.00 support level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), after escaping oversold territory, is releasing negative signals, further increasing downward pressure in the current market structure.Global Chip LOF (501225): This fund will be suspended from trading from the opening of the market on the afternoon of May 25, 2026 until the close of the market on the same day. During the suspension period, the redemption business of this fund will continue as usual.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

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Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.