• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas July RatingDog Manufacturing PMI; Switzerlands July CPI (MoM); Frances July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Germanys July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Eurozones July Manufacturing PMI (Final); UKs July Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July ISM Manufacturing PMI; US June Construction Spending (MoM). ② Holiday: Toronto Stock Exchange closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US June Trade Balance; US June JOLTs Job Openings; US June Factory Orders (MoM). ② Event: FMS 2026 Flash Memory Summit held August 4-6, attended by storage giants such as Samsung and SK. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; Chinas July RatingDog Services PMI; Frances June industrial production month-on-month; Frances July services PMI final reading; Germanys July services PMI final reading; Eurozones July services PMI final reading; UKs July services PMI final reading; Eurozones June PPI month-on-month; US July ADP employment change; US July S&P Global Services PMI final reading; US July ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserves for the week ending July 31. ② Events: Saudi Aramco releases its official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. ③ Earnings Reports: AMD, SpaceX (Tuesday after US stock market close). 4. Thursday: ① Data: Switzerlands July seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones June retail sales month-on-month; US July Challenger job cuts; US initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1; US July global supply chain stress index; US June wholesale sales month-on-month; US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 31. ② Event: SoftBank Group releases its Q1 2026 earnings report. 5. Friday: ① Data: Frances Q2 ILO unemployment rate; Germanys June seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month; Germanys June seasonally adjusted trade balance; UKs July Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Frances June trade balance; Switzerlands July consumer confidence index; Canadas July employment change; US July unemployment rate; US July seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls; US July average hourly earnings year-on-year; US July average hourly earnings month-on-month; US July New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Chinas July trade balance in US dollars; Chinas July foreign exchange reserves; Chinas July trade balance. ② Events: 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musaleem speaks on the US economy and monetary policy; 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending August 7. 7. Sunday: ① Data: Chinas July CPI year-on-year rate.On August 2nd, Abdullah Bandar al-Etabi, Assistant Professor of International Affairs at Qatar University, stated that it is too early to judge the direction of the situation following Trumps latest statement regarding Iran. In this game, neither side has shown any sign of backing down on their respective positions. Taking the Strait of Hormuz as an example, Iran has not softened its stance, and the threat of a wider conflict remains. However, the latest developments have bought more time for diplomacy. There is now more time for Iran to cooperate with regional countries to reach some kind of arrangement on the Strait of Hormuz issue and get diplomacy back on track.On August 2nd, the Department of Urban Construction of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a special meeting with relevant provincial and municipal officials to discuss the prevention of gas safety accidents. The meeting emphasized that gas safety is a matter of vital interest to the people, and the accidents exposed significant weaknesses in the gas safety work of the relevant provinces and cities. The relevant provinces and cities must learn profound lessons from these accidents, draw inferences from one instance to others, and take targeted measures to improve their local gas safety management. The meeting also required that relevant provinces and cities comprehensively strengthen the special campaign to rectify urban gas safety, expedite the implementation of systems such as bottled liquefied petroleum gas delivery to households and on-site safety inspections, and accelerate the elimination of safety hazards related to cylinders, pipes, stoves, and valves at the user end. They should continue to leverage the role of the special task force for urban gas safety rectification, further promote the comprehensive rectification of the entire gas safety "one-stop" service, and accelerate the establishment and improvement of a long-term mechanism for gas safety management.The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) has expressed concern over attacks on energy infrastructure.The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) met on Sunday to emphasize the importance of protecting international sea lanes to ensure the continued flow of energy.

WTI struggles to prolong its two-day uptrend below $78, as negative sentiment undermines expectations for China-led oil demand

Daniel Rogers

Mar 02, 2023 15:46

66.png

 

Following a two-day uptrend that reached the greatest levels in a fortnight, the price of WTI crude oil fluctuates between $77.80 and $90 early Thursday.

 

The recent struggles of the black gold may be related to the contradictory signals encircling China and the Oil equities. However, negative sentiment and the resurgence of the US Dollar appear to be the quote's greatest obstacles to the upside.

 

In addition, higher-than-anticipated US inventories weigh on the energy benchmark. The weekly data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) indicates a 1.165M increase in Oil inventories, compared to the expected 0.45M increase and the previous level of 7.648M.

 

The willingness of US President Joseph Biden to continue pumping the markets with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and the absence of offers for Russian Oil also exert downward pressure on the price of WTI crude oil.

 

The latest New York Times (NYT) headlines suggest a potential rift between the United States and China at the important event. According to the news, "China is urging the start of peace talks, and some Group of 20 nations may support that notion when they meet in India, but U.S. officials contend Russia would not negotiate in good faith."

 

It should be noted, however, that the recent uptick in China activity data and optimistic remarks from the dragon nation's policymakers keep black gold purchasers optimistic. China's Minister of Human Resources recently stated, "China's employment will continue to increase this year and remains stable overall." On Wednesday, China's Finance Minister Liu He expressed a willingness to increase the country's fiscal expenditure while noting that the foundation of China's economic recovery remains fragile.

 

However, hawkish remarks from policymakers of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB) highlighted the need for additional rate hikes to combat inflation issues, which exerted downward pressure on the price of oil.

 

In response to these events, 10-year US Treasury bond yields surpassed 4% for the first time since early November 2022, while 2-year yields ascended to their highest levels since June 2007 by flashing 4.91%. The increase in US Treasury bond yields reflects the market's concerns, which in turn have impacted on bulls on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures, and WTI bulls recently. Consequently, S&P 500 Futures were down 0.5 percent as of press time despite the varied closing of Wall Street benchmarks.

 

Moving on, G20 updates could be combined with comments from central bankers and secondary US data to amuse Oil traders.