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August 22nd - Analysts say US President Trump is attempting to achieve what tens of thousands of bombs and missiles failed to do: force Iran to end the war according to US conditions by imposing a new round of sanctions, a naval blockade, and increased economic pressure on Irans trading partners. However, this old approach of "forcing Iran to submit" has a fatal flaw: Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has effectively controlled the Strait of Hormuz and has repeatedly launched large numbers of attack drones towards the Persian Gulf. The Revolutionary Guard is largely immune to economic pressure and has ample means of retaliation. A key turning point in this round of US action is Monday, when Treasury Secretary Bessant will announce details of a new plan. This plan aims to shift the conflict from mutual airstrikes in the Middle East to comprehensive economic isolation. However, if the new economic pressure proves effective, Iran is likely to retaliate with military strikes, targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf coast, attempting to drive up oil prices, increase the cost of US action, and force Trump to change course again.According to Fox News, U.S. Trade Representative Greer stated that there are no plans for new negotiations with Canada.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: He discussed the air defense shortage with French President Macron, and Macron agreed to expedite the delivery of the latest French equipment.Syrian Foreign Ministry: Israel’s continued attacks have exacerbated tensions and instability.The Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Israels attack on Beitkin, a suburb of Damascus, constituted a violation of national sovereignty.

The USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates at 0.94 prior to US five-year inflation projections

Alina Haynes

Dec 08, 2022 15:27

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During the Tokyo session, the USD/CHF pair is oscillating near the round-level barrier of 0.9400 as investors await the release of the United States' five-year consumer inflation forecasts for more direction. The Swiss franc is attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.9410, but the risk-on mentality stops the US Dollar from advancing further.

 

In the framework of the risk appetite theme, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is hitting resistance close to the significant level of 105.20. In the meantime, 10-year US Treasury yields have attempted to recover after falling to approximately 3.40 percent on Wednesday. The yield on long-term US Treasury bonds has rebounded to approximately 3.45%.

 

The growing unpredictability around the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook has caused market participants to feel anxious. As a result of favorable U.S. economic data, investors anticipate future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve to combat rising inflationary pressures. Moreover, it will compel a recession, as businesses will lower or maintain their current level of economic activity in response to rising interest liabilities.

 

At a Goldman Sachs financial conference, Bank of America (BoA) CEO Brian Moynihan informed investors that the United States economy will see "moderate contraction" in the first quarter of 2023.

 

Friday's release of US Consumer Inflation Expectations for the Next Five Years will continue to be closely monitored by investors.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors are shifting their focus to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate announcement scheduled for next week. As inflationary pressures are moderately over the target rate, it is predicted that SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would continue to loosen monetary policy. This week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate fell to 2.1%, which is lower than the previous data of 2.0% and the consensus estimate of 2.2%.