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Ukraine claims the attacked factory in Bryansk produces components for military electronic warfare systems.The Ukrainian military has attacked a Russian microelectronics factory in Bryansk.On July 7th, European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Leon Panetta stated that even as the US and Iran approach a lasting peace agreement, the ECB is still grappling with an uncertain economic situation. Speaking at a conference in Rome, Panetta said that while the US-Iran negotiations could lead to energy prices falling below the ECBs June forecast, "the outlook remains fragile." He stated, "Upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth continue to coexist. This requires continued monitoring of geopolitical developments, energy markets, supply chains, wages, and inflation expectations. It also requires monetary policy to avoid committing to a predetermined path." Panetta also noted that the current conflict is one of a series of increasingly frequent supply shocks that could alter how policymakers respond in the future to ensure inflation reaches the 2% target in the medium term.On July 7th, the State Financial Regulatory Commission (SFC) and the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Government jointly issued "Several Measures to Accelerate the Construction of Shanghai International Reinsurance Center." These measures emphasize strengthening the primary responsibilities of insurance institutions, urging them to establish and improve internal control and compliance management systems, and enhancing the management of operational risks and cross-border capital flows. The measures also aim to enhance the regulatory effectiveness of the SFC, improve prudential regulatory rules in the reinsurance sector, and strengthen supervision of solvency, related-party transactions, and business finances. Support will be given to the Shanghai Financial Regulatory Bureau to research and establish a monitoring system adapted to reinsurance risks, improving the penetration and effectiveness of risk monitoring for cross-border reinsurance and on-exchange transactions, and maintaining the safe and stable operation of the Shanghai International Reinsurance Center. Finally, the measures leverage the auxiliary regulatory functions of the reinsurance registration and trading center to improve the quality and efficiency of reinsurance supervision.July 7th Futures News: On July 7th, the Shanghai Futures Exchanges energy and chemical warehouse receipts and changes are as follows: 1. Pulp futures warehouse receipts: 288,584 tons, an increase of 2,417 tons compared to the previous trading day; 2. Pulp futures mill warehouse receipts: 20,000 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 3. Offset paper futures warehouse receipts: 1,557 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 4. Offset paper futures mill warehouse receipts: 6,640 tons, unchanged compared to the previous trading day; 5. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 336 tons. 6. Petroleum asphalt futures warehouse receipts: 9310 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Petroleum asphalt futures factory warehouse receipts: 15970 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 8. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 2961000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 10. Low-sulfur fuel oil futures factory warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day.

The USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates at 0.94 prior to US five-year inflation projections

Alina Haynes

Dec 08, 2022 15:27

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During the Tokyo session, the USD/CHF pair is oscillating near the round-level barrier of 0.9400 as investors await the release of the United States' five-year consumer inflation forecasts for more direction. The Swiss franc is attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.9410, but the risk-on mentality stops the US Dollar from advancing further.

 

In the framework of the risk appetite theme, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is hitting resistance close to the significant level of 105.20. In the meantime, 10-year US Treasury yields have attempted to recover after falling to approximately 3.40 percent on Wednesday. The yield on long-term US Treasury bonds has rebounded to approximately 3.45%.

 

The growing unpredictability around the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook has caused market participants to feel anxious. As a result of favorable U.S. economic data, investors anticipate future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve to combat rising inflationary pressures. Moreover, it will compel a recession, as businesses will lower or maintain their current level of economic activity in response to rising interest liabilities.

 

At a Goldman Sachs financial conference, Bank of America (BoA) CEO Brian Moynihan informed investors that the United States economy will see "moderate contraction" in the first quarter of 2023.

 

Friday's release of US Consumer Inflation Expectations for the Next Five Years will continue to be closely monitored by investors.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors are shifting their focus to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate announcement scheduled for next week. As inflationary pressures are moderately over the target rate, it is predicted that SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would continue to loosen monetary policy. This week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate fell to 2.1%, which is lower than the previous data of 2.0% and the consensus estimate of 2.2%.