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Futures News, May 6th: The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have led to fluctuating crude oil prices, while gasoline and diesel demand remains sluggish. News regarding fuel oil has limited directional guidance for market trading. From a supply and demand perspective, fuel oil supply has tightened slightly after major refineries scheduled for maintenance. Refineries have increased production to support prices, but fuel oil processing margins have been squeezed, causing both prices to decline. Downstream traders willingness to purchase at high prices has been dampened. Furthermore, under the guidance of supply guarantee policies, local refineries are operating relatively steadily, ensuring stable fuel oil supply and maintaining sales pressure. Considering all factors, the fuel oil market is experiencing mixed signals from both news and supply and demand perspectives. It is expected that fuel oil negotiations this week will see some areas remain stable or stagnant, while others will experience narrow fluctuations.The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 26 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 26 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.As of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures fell 1.28%, and US natural gas futures fell 0.39%.On Wednesday, May 6, the Hang Seng Index opened 131.04 points higher, or 0.51%, at 26,029.65; the Hang Seng Tech Index opened 42.01 points higher, or 0.85%, at 4,971.69; the H-share Index opened 55.51 points higher, or 0.64%, at 8,786.0; and the Red Chip Index opened 4.95 points higher, or 0.11%, at 4,411.37.Hang Seng Index futures opened 0.51% higher at 25,934 points, a premium of 40 points.

The USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates at 0.94 prior to US five-year inflation projections

Alina Haynes

Dec 08, 2022 15:27

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During the Tokyo session, the USD/CHF pair is oscillating near the round-level barrier of 0.9400 as investors await the release of the United States' five-year consumer inflation forecasts for more direction. The Swiss franc is attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.9410, but the risk-on mentality stops the US Dollar from advancing further.

 

In the framework of the risk appetite theme, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is hitting resistance close to the significant level of 105.20. In the meantime, 10-year US Treasury yields have attempted to recover after falling to approximately 3.40 percent on Wednesday. The yield on long-term US Treasury bonds has rebounded to approximately 3.45%.

 

The growing unpredictability around the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook has caused market participants to feel anxious. As a result of favorable U.S. economic data, investors anticipate future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve to combat rising inflationary pressures. Moreover, it will compel a recession, as businesses will lower or maintain their current level of economic activity in response to rising interest liabilities.

 

At a Goldman Sachs financial conference, Bank of America (BoA) CEO Brian Moynihan informed investors that the United States economy will see "moderate contraction" in the first quarter of 2023.

 

Friday's release of US Consumer Inflation Expectations for the Next Five Years will continue to be closely monitored by investors.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors are shifting their focus to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate announcement scheduled for next week. As inflationary pressures are moderately over the target rate, it is predicted that SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would continue to loosen monetary policy. This week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate fell to 2.1%, which is lower than the previous data of 2.0% and the consensus estimate of 2.2%.