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Market news: Microsoft (MSFT.O)’s (MSFT.O) data center site selection in East Africa has been delayed due to a disagreement with the Kenyan government over the company’s demand for guaranteed payments.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas April CPI year-on-year rate, Chinas April M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending); US April existing home sales (annualized). ② Events: US Treasury Secretary Bessenter visits Japan, meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister, Bank of Japan Governor, and Finance Minister. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Germanys final April CPI month-on-month rate, Germanys May ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones May ZEW economic sentiment index; US April NFIB small business confidence index, US ADP employment change for the week ending April 25, US April unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US April seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US April seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US April unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate. ② Events: Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions from April monetary policy meeting deliberation committee members; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams participates in a panel discussion on monetary policy; JD.com earnings call. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (May 12) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (May 12) - bid-to-cover ratio, US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 8; Japans March trade balance; Frances Q1 ILO unemployment rate, Frances final April CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone Q1 GDP annual rate (revised), Eurozone Q1 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate (preliminary), Eurozone March industrial production month-on-month rate; US April PPI annual rate, US April PPI month-on-month rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; Chicago Fed President Goolsby participates in a Q&A session hosted by the local Chamber of Commerce; IEA releases monthly oil market report; Alibaba earnings call; Tencent earnings call; 2028 FOMC voting member and Boston Fed President Collins speaks at the Boston Economic Club. 4. Thursday: ① Data: UK Q1 GDP annual rate (preliminary), UK March three-month GDP monthly rate, UK March manufacturing output monthly rate, UK March seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK March industrial production monthly rate; Canada March wholesale sales monthly rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending May 9, US April retail sales monthly rate, US April import price index monthly rate, US March business inventories monthly rate, US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending May 8. ② Events: 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participates in a discussion hosted by the local chamber of commerce; Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan participates in a dialogue on the energy industry. 5. Friday: ① Data: US May New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US April industrial production monthly rate; China April total electricity consumption year-on-year (pending), China April total electricity consumption (pending). ② Events: Powells term as Federal Reserve Chairman ends; Cleveland Fed President Hammark, a 2026 FOMC voting member, delivers opening remarks at an online discussion on central bank independence; Fed Governor Barr speaks; and New York Fed President Williams, a permanent FOMC voting member, participates in a discussion. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending May 15.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: I will depart on Monday for a series of brief meetings in Japan and South Korea.May 10 - According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Irans response to the US proposal to end the war has been delivered through Pakistan.On May 10th, it was reported that the secondary market trading price of the Global Chip LOF (Listed Open-Ended Fund) was significantly higher than its net asset value (NAV), exhibiting a substantial premium. On May 8th, 2026, the funds closing price in the secondary market was 4.050 yuan, while as of May 6th, 2026, the funds NAV was 2.9526 yuan. Investors are hereby solemnly reminded to closely monitor the premium risk in the secondary market trading price and make investment decisions prudently. Blind investment may result in significant losses. To protect investors interests, the fund will be suspended from trading starting May 11th, 2026, and will resume trading at 10:30 AM on May 11th, 2026. Redemption services will continue as usual during the suspension period.

The USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates at 0.94 prior to US five-year inflation projections

Alina Haynes

Dec 08, 2022 15:27

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During the Tokyo session, the USD/CHF pair is oscillating near the round-level barrier of 0.9400 as investors await the release of the United States' five-year consumer inflation forecasts for more direction. The Swiss franc is attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.9410, but the risk-on mentality stops the US Dollar from advancing further.

 

In the framework of the risk appetite theme, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is hitting resistance close to the significant level of 105.20. In the meantime, 10-year US Treasury yields have attempted to recover after falling to approximately 3.40 percent on Wednesday. The yield on long-term US Treasury bonds has rebounded to approximately 3.45%.

 

The growing unpredictability around the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook has caused market participants to feel anxious. As a result of favorable U.S. economic data, investors anticipate future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve to combat rising inflationary pressures. Moreover, it will compel a recession, as businesses will lower or maintain their current level of economic activity in response to rising interest liabilities.

 

At a Goldman Sachs financial conference, Bank of America (BoA) CEO Brian Moynihan informed investors that the United States economy will see "moderate contraction" in the first quarter of 2023.

 

Friday's release of US Consumer Inflation Expectations for the Next Five Years will continue to be closely monitored by investors.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors are shifting their focus to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate announcement scheduled for next week. As inflationary pressures are moderately over the target rate, it is predicted that SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would continue to loosen monetary policy. This week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate fell to 2.1%, which is lower than the previous data of 2.0% and the consensus estimate of 2.2%.