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On May 24, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao met with UNCTAD Acting Secretary-General Reno Mareno in Suzhou on May 23. Mareno was in China to attend the APEC Trade Ministers Meeting. The two sides exchanged views on the global economic and trade situation and deepening practical cooperation. Wang Wentao emphasized that the 15th Five-Year Plan outlines a grand blueprint for Chinas future development and makes important arrangements for expanding high-level opening-up, upholding the multilateral trading system, and practicing genuine multilateralism. China is willing to work with all parties, including UNCTAD, to jointly promote the building and maintenance of a fair, just, open, inclusive, and win-win international economic and trade order.According to Ukrainian media: Explosions have been heard again in Kyiv.On May 24th, Mehdi Tajé, president of the Iranian Football Federation, announced on the 23rd that, with FIFAs approval, the Iranian national football teams training base for the World Cup would be moved from the United States to Mexico. In a statement released to the media by the Iranian Football Federation, Tajé said that due to difficulties obtaining visas, the Iranian national team requested FIFA to change its World Cup training base from Tucson, Arizona, to Tijuana, Mexico, and that preparations in Tijuana have been completed. Tijuana is located on the US-Mexico border, approximately 20 kilometers from San Diego, a city in Southern California.May 24th - According to AXIOS, a US official revealed the main contents of the agreement that the US and Iran are about to sign. However, it remains unclear whether the agreement can lead to a lasting peace deal while also meeting Trumps nuclear demands. The US official stated that the White House hopes to resolve the final differences in the next few hours and announce the agreement on Sunday. However, this is not yet finalized. The official provided a detailed summary of the current draft, most of which has been confirmed by other sources close to the negotiations. Iran has not yet confirmed these details, but has also stated that an agreement is close to being reached. ① Main contents: The two sides will sign a memorandum of understanding, valid for 60 days, which can be extended by mutual agreement. During the 60-day period, the Strait of Hormuz will be open without tolls, and Iran agrees to clear its mines deployed in the strait to allow free passage for ships. In exchange, the US will lift the blockade on Iranian ports and issue some sanctions waivers, allowing Iran to freely sell oil. Iran hopes for an immediate unfreezing of funds and a permanent lifting of sanctions, but the US has stated that this will only be achieved after concrete concessions are made. ② Nuclear issue still pending negotiation: The US official stated that the draft memorandum of understanding includes Irans commitment to never seek nuclear weapons and negotiations on suspending its uranium enrichment program and clearing its stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Two sources familiar with the matter said that Iran, through mediators, verbally promised the US the range of concessions it was willing to make regarding suspending uranium enrichment and abandoning nuclear materials. US troops mobilized in recent months will remain in the region for 60 days and will only withdraw if a final agreement is reached. ③ Lebanon ceasefire: The draft memorandum of understanding also clarifies that the war between Israel and Lebanon will end. The US official stated that this will not be a "unilateral ceasefire," and Israel will be allowed to take action to stop Hezbollah if it attempts to rearm or incite attacks.Polish military: Military air operations conducted in Polish airspace in connection with Russian strikes in Ukraine have ceased. No violations of Polish airspace have been recorded.

The USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates at 0.94 prior to US five-year inflation projections

Alina Haynes

Dec 08, 2022 15:27

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During the Tokyo session, the USD/CHF pair is oscillating near the round-level barrier of 0.9400 as investors await the release of the United States' five-year consumer inflation forecasts for more direction. The Swiss franc is attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.9410, but the risk-on mentality stops the US Dollar from advancing further.

 

In the framework of the risk appetite theme, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is hitting resistance close to the significant level of 105.20. In the meantime, 10-year US Treasury yields have attempted to recover after falling to approximately 3.40 percent on Wednesday. The yield on long-term US Treasury bonds has rebounded to approximately 3.45%.

 

The growing unpredictability around the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook has caused market participants to feel anxious. As a result of favorable U.S. economic data, investors anticipate future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve to combat rising inflationary pressures. Moreover, it will compel a recession, as businesses will lower or maintain their current level of economic activity in response to rising interest liabilities.

 

At a Goldman Sachs financial conference, Bank of America (BoA) CEO Brian Moynihan informed investors that the United States economy will see "moderate contraction" in the first quarter of 2023.

 

Friday's release of US Consumer Inflation Expectations for the Next Five Years will continue to be closely monitored by investors.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors are shifting their focus to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate announcement scheduled for next week. As inflationary pressures are moderately over the target rate, it is predicted that SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would continue to loosen monetary policy. This week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate fell to 2.1%, which is lower than the previous data of 2.0% and the consensus estimate of 2.2%.

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