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August 23 (Xinhua) -- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said during a meeting with media representatives on the 23rd that Ukraine is not yet in a position to hold elections during wartime, and that holding elections under the current circumstances would pose a significant danger of national disintegration. According to media reports, former Defense Minister Andriy Fedorov, who was dismissed by Zelenskyy, recently released a video calling for wartime elections in Ukraine, stating that the country is facing a governance crisis. Zelenskyy responded that day, saying that during the ongoing conflict, various parties have been pressuring Ukraine to hold wartime elections, but the prerequisite for such elections is that partner countries can provide Ukraine with specific conditions to ensure their safe and legal conduct. This would allow frontline Ukrainian soldiers and millions of Ukrainian citizens fleeing the war to participate in the elections safely, without the threat of attack.August 23 - The bond market has recently sent a clear signal to Treasury Secretary Bessant: dont try to sweep $40 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds under the rug and pretend everything is fine. Bessant announced plans to increase long-term Treasury repurchases this fall, pledged to use the Treasurys vast "toolbox" to support the market, and discussed upcoming measures to curb the ever-expanding U.S. debt burden. John Arnold, a former Enron energy trader, billionaire, and founder of the philanthropic venture capital firm Arnold, said the summers bond market turmoil may ultimately be just "another quickly subsided episode," but the bigger concern is that the lack of change in the U.S. fiscal situation will persist until it finally triggers a crisis. Tracy Chan, a global portfolio manager at Brandiwin, said she is very nervous because Bessant has failed to curb long-term Treasury yields. The bond markets performance suggests that bond vigilantes still dont trust him. Bessant needs to do more to convince investors that the Trump administration is serious about U.S. fiscal issues, but talking about increasing revenue through tax increases or austerity measures before the November midterm elections will be unpopular.On August 23, according to the Wall Street Journal, Russian military officers flew from St. Petersburg to the Kaliningrad exclave last month. Western intelligence officials said these officers oversaw mobilization preparations and procedures for the regions residents, including specific details on how to house, supply, and arm mobilization personnel. Intelligence officials stated that the planning exercises in Kaliningrad were just one of many nationwide drills designed to prepare for a "call to arms." Officials said the Kremlin has not yet decided whether to actually carry out such an operation, and a decision is likely to be made after the parliamentary elections at the end of September. However, despite the slow and costly progress, Putins determination to seize the entire Donbas region of eastern Ukraine may force him to take action. Kaliningrad, the location of last months mobilization test exercises, has recently received increasing attention. Western intelligence officials have warned that the exclave could play a role in Moscows military plans.August 23 – According to the Jerusalem Post and Al Mayadeen TV, a senior Iranian official stated that Iran has been invited to join the Mecca Mutual Defense Agreement established earlier this month by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. The invitation has not yet been officially confirmed by the Iranian Foreign Ministry or any of the three parties to the agreement. Mehdi Rahimi, head of the Islamic Consultative Conference News Agency, stated that Iran has received an invitation to join the Mecca Agreement, and the matter is under review. Rahimi added that countries in the region are "moving in the direction of seeking a regional security umbrella," and called this a victory for Iran, as it has long been advocating for this.On August 23, Syrian Transitional Government Foreign Minister Shibani stated in an interview with Reuters on the 22nd that Syria expects to resume negotiations with Israel soon on a security agreement, hoping the agreement will facilitate Israels withdrawal from Syrian territory. Shibani said that negotiations between Syria and Israel on a security agreement have been stalled since the outbreak of the US-Israel-Iraq conflict this year, but he anticipates they will resume. The United States is pressuring Israel to return to dialogue. Shibani also stated that the Syrian Transitional Government "currently does not trust Israel," but the current priority is to stop Israeli attacks, therefore "confidence-building measures" are needed. Communication between Syria and Israel was severed after the attack on Syrias Abu Zukur airbase on August 18.

The USD/CHF exchange rate fluctuates at 0.94 prior to US five-year inflation projections

Alina Haynes

Dec 08, 2022 15:27

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During the Tokyo session, the USD/CHF pair is oscillating near the round-level barrier of 0.9400 as investors await the release of the United States' five-year consumer inflation forecasts for more direction. The Swiss franc is attempting to surpass the immediate resistance level of 0.9410, but the risk-on mentality stops the US Dollar from advancing further.

 

In the framework of the risk appetite theme, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is hitting resistance close to the significant level of 105.20. In the meantime, 10-year US Treasury yields have attempted to recover after falling to approximately 3.40 percent on Wednesday. The yield on long-term US Treasury bonds has rebounded to approximately 3.45%.

 

The growing unpredictability around the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy outlook has caused market participants to feel anxious. As a result of favorable U.S. economic data, investors anticipate future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve to combat rising inflationary pressures. Moreover, it will compel a recession, as businesses will lower or maintain their current level of economic activity in response to rising interest liabilities.

 

At a Goldman Sachs financial conference, Bank of America (BoA) CEO Brian Moynihan informed investors that the United States economy will see "moderate contraction" in the first quarter of 2023.

 

Friday's release of US Consumer Inflation Expectations for the Next Five Years will continue to be closely monitored by investors.

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors are shifting their focus to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate announcement scheduled for next week. As inflationary pressures are moderately over the target rate, it is predicted that SNB Chairman Thomas J. Jordan would continue to loosen monetary policy. This week, the Swiss Unemployment Rate fell to 2.1%, which is lower than the previous data of 2.0% and the consensus estimate of 2.2%.