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On September 16, Assistant Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Greg Hunt, stated that the central bank is "very close" to returning inflation to the midpoint of its 2%-3% target range, while the economy is nearing full employment. "We are monitoring the situation and will remain on the sidelines," Hunt said at an industry event in Sydney on Tuesday. "The committee will formulate policy accordingly. While its impossible to predict the future completely, for now we want to maintain the status quo." The RBA will hold its next meeting on September 29-30, and most economists and traders expect it to maintain the cash rate at 3.6%. Economists generally predict the bank will cut interest rates for the fourth time this year in November, followed by another cut early next year, bringing the terminal rate to 3.1%.On September 16th, in response to a users question about whether the Macrohard project was being advanced, Musk replied, "We are indeed spray-painting the words MACROHARD on the roof of the Colossus II supercomputing cluster in Memphis, large enough to be seen from space." Musk had previously stated that he was planning to establish a pure AI software company called Macrohard. The name was a bit of a joke, but the project itself was real. At the time, he also explained, "Given that software companies like Microsoft dont produce physical hardware themselves, it should be feasible to fully simulate it using AI."SK On announced on September 16th the completion of a pilot plant for all-solid-state batteries at its Future Technology Center in Yucheng District, Daejeon, South Korea. This pilot production line will primarily be used to provide trial products to customers and systematically evaluate and verify product quality and performance. The approximately 4,628-square-meter facility will be used by SK On to develop sulfide-based all-solid-state batteries, with some production lines also developing solid-state lithium metal batteries. SK On plans to commercialize all-solid-state batteries in 2029, a year ahead of its original target of 2030.Futures News, September 16th. Economies.com analysts latest view today: WTI crude oil futures prices have risen in recent intraday trading, thanks to their stable trading above the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA50), which has provided effective support for the intraday rebound attempt. Nevertheless, the dominant downtrend remains in effect in the short term, and prices are trading along a suppressive trendline, which limits the upward momentum and weakens the possibility of a continued rebound. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown negative technical signs after reaching clear overbought territory, suggesting the risk of a short-term weakening of upward momentum.Superstar Legend (06683.HK) rose in the afternoon and is now up 1.25%, after falling 4.5% earlier. The company announced the acquisition of approximately 1.17% of the shares of the National Stadium Co., Ltd.

The Dollar Index's Top-to-Bottom Reversal Indicates a Potential Momentum Shift

Drake Hampton

Apr 11, 2022 10:52

On Friday, the US Dollar fell versus a basket of foreign currencies after gaining more than 100 points for the first time in over two years. It reached a high of 100.20 during the session, its highest level since May 2020.

 

Despite the fact that it formed a potentially bearish closing price reversal top, it ended the week up 1.3 percent. Throughout the week, the dollar index was mostly supported by a rise in US Treasury yields and a weaker Euro.

 

The June US Dollar Index closed at 99.753 on Friday, down 0.007 or -0.01 percent. The Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund ETF (UUP) closed at $26.68, an increase of $0.01 or 0.02%.

 

On Friday, the US Treasury 10-year yield surpassed 2.7 percent for the first time in three years, aided by the likelihood of more aggressive Federal Reserve tightening. Additionally, this week's release of the Fed's March meeting minutes revealed that "many" members were prepared to raise rates in future months in 50-basis-point increments.

 

In other news, the Euro was under pressure as the election battle between President Emmanuel Macron and far-right contender Marine Le Pen tightened in France, the Euro Zone's second-largest economy. Macron continues to lead polls.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. However, Friday's closing price reversal top implies that momentum is about to move downward.

 

A move above 99.745 will confirm the price reversal top at the close. This could initiate a 2-3 day adjustment. A break of 100.200 will invalidate the chart pattern and suggest the resumed uptrend. The primary trend will revert to the downside upon a break of 97.730.

 

Minor values range from 97.730 to 100.200. The nearest support level is at its 50% level, or pivot, of 98.965.

 

The critical support level is the long-term Fibonacci retracement level around 98.200.

Scenario of the Bear

Persistent movement below 99.975 indicates the existence of sellers. Taking out 99.745 will confirm the price reversal top at the close. If this generates sufficient downside momentum, expect the selling to extend towards the minor pivot at 98.965.

Scenario of Bullishness

Sustaining a move over 99.975 indicates the presence of buyers. The initial objective on the upside is 100.200.

 

If 100.200 is breached, the closing price reversal top will be invalidated, signaling the resumption of the uptrend. If buying is sufficiently strong, we may see an acceleration to the upside, with the next big objective of 100.560 – 100.930.

 

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