EUR/USD 1.16863
-0.220%
Gold 4532.01
-1.417%
Oil 102.183
4.821%
USD/JPY 160.075
0.289%
GBP/USD 1.34877
-0.220%
GBP/JPY 215.911
0.077%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
White House official: Trump has discussed with oil companies plans to extend the blockade of Iran for several months if necessary.1. Wells Fargo: Still expects the Fed to cut rates twice this year, by 25 basis points, in September and December respectively. 2. ANZ: The Fed is very likely to restart its rate-cutting cycle in the third quarter of this year, most likely at the September meeting. 3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September and December, and believes the possibility of a rate hike this year is very small. 4. Bank of America: Downside risks to economic growth lead us to continue to predict a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year. 5. TD Securities: By the September decision, the market will have accumulated enough evidence to support the Feds gradual return to an easing cycle. 6. Standard Chartered: Once Warshs nomination is confirmed, the Fed will likely shift its focus to reviving the weak job market and resuming rate cuts. 7. Commerzbank: In the medium to long term, the Fed will be unable to resist pressure from the US president and may cut rates for the first time by the end of the year, followed by two more rate cuts in 2027. 8. Danske Bank: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout the summer and eventually resume rate cuts in September and December. 9. Barclays: If inflation falls as expected, the Fed is expected to gain sufficient confidence to begin easing policy around September. 10. ING: Maintains its forecast that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, in September and December. 11. BNY Mellon: Assuming the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the Fed will cut rates twice in the fourth quarter.April 29 - International crude oil futures continued to climb as the standoff in the Middle East is expected to drag on, with the US and Iran continuing their respective blockades of the Strait of Hormuz. "The continued stalemate in negotiations between the US and Iran makes it increasingly unlikely that supplies through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal in the short term," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com, in a report. She added, "The market is no longer just anticipating risk, but a prolonged period of supply disruption."With the 60-day deadline approaching, US Republicans are discussing whether to authorize a war against Iran.According to Saudi media outlet alhadath, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not received an invitation to travel to Washington.

The Dollar Index's Top-to-Bottom Reversal Indicates a Potential Momentum Shift

Drake Hampton

Apr 11, 2022 10:52

On Friday, the US Dollar fell versus a basket of foreign currencies after gaining more than 100 points for the first time in over two years. It reached a high of 100.20 during the session, its highest level since May 2020.

 

Despite the fact that it formed a potentially bearish closing price reversal top, it ended the week up 1.3 percent. Throughout the week, the dollar index was mostly supported by a rise in US Treasury yields and a weaker Euro.

 

The June US Dollar Index closed at 99.753 on Friday, down 0.007 or -0.01 percent. The Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund ETF (UUP) closed at $26.68, an increase of $0.01 or 0.02%.

 

On Friday, the US Treasury 10-year yield surpassed 2.7 percent for the first time in three years, aided by the likelihood of more aggressive Federal Reserve tightening. Additionally, this week's release of the Fed's March meeting minutes revealed that "many" members were prepared to raise rates in future months in 50-basis-point increments.

 

In other news, the Euro was under pressure as the election battle between President Emmanuel Macron and far-right contender Marine Le Pen tightened in France, the Euro Zone's second-largest economy. Macron continues to lead polls.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. However, Friday's closing price reversal top implies that momentum is about to move downward.

 

A move above 99.745 will confirm the price reversal top at the close. This could initiate a 2-3 day adjustment. A break of 100.200 will invalidate the chart pattern and suggest the resumed uptrend. The primary trend will revert to the downside upon a break of 97.730.

 

Minor values range from 97.730 to 100.200. The nearest support level is at its 50% level, or pivot, of 98.965.

 

The critical support level is the long-term Fibonacci retracement level around 98.200.

Scenario of the Bear

Persistent movement below 99.975 indicates the existence of sellers. Taking out 99.745 will confirm the price reversal top at the close. If this generates sufficient downside momentum, expect the selling to extend towards the minor pivot at 98.965.

Scenario of Bullishness

Sustaining a move over 99.975 indicates the presence of buyers. The initial objective on the upside is 100.200.

 

If 100.200 is breached, the closing price reversal top will be invalidated, signaling the resumption of the uptrend. If buying is sufficiently strong, we may see an acceleration to the upside, with the next big objective of 100.560 – 100.930.

 

Our economic calendar contains a complete listing of today's economic happenings.

Suggestion