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August 20th - The Federal Reserve meeting minutes made no mention of any support for interest rate cuts, indicating a significant shift in the Feds policy discussions over the past year. At the beginning of last year, the market expected the Fed to be able to lower borrowing costs this year as inflation slowed. However, price pressures have continued to accumulate, especially after the Trump administration joined Israel in its war against Iran. Nearly six months into the conflict, oil and gas shipments through the strategic Strait of Hormuz remain restricted. Recent data shows a slight cooling in inflation, while businesses unexpectedly cut jobs in July, leading the market to expect the Fed to keep policy rates unchanged at its September 15-16 meeting. This data leaves Fed officials divided on whether a rate hike is needed to further curb inflation, but at the same time, officials are more cautious about the strength of the labor market and the risks to achieving the full employment goal. Because Warsh has consistently refused to discuss the path of monetary policy during his tenure, the market lacks clear guidance from the Fed Chairman.August 20 - According to a report on the Russian news channel website on the 19th, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak stated that Russia has begun importing fuel and has passed necessary regulations to allow the production of some low-emission fuels.On August 20th, the minutes of a Federal Reserve meeting revealed that Fed officials have begun discussing some of the broader issues that Warsh wanted to push for, including potential reforms to the Feds operations. Participants considered the upcoming review of the Feds balance sheet management an "opportunity for comprehensive discussion." However, "many" participants at the meeting "reaffirmed that the primary means of adjusting the stance of monetary policy should be changing the target range for the federal funds rate," rather than changing the size of the Feds asset holdings. Warsh also requested "comments from the Committee" on whether the Fed should reduce the number of annual policy meetings from the current eight to six, allowing for the accumulation of two full months of data between each meeting. The minutes stated that no decision has been made on this issue, and the meeting schedule for 2026 will not change as a result.EU Energy Commissioner Jørgensen: The electricity supply situation is stable, but tensions are expected to remain high in the coming weeks.NASA and Katalyst Space have cancelled their planned effort to raise the orbital altitude of the Swift Space Telescope due to technical problems with the orbital rescue vehicle.

Silver Price Analysis: Near 50 DMA, XAG/USD rises to mid-$23.00s

Alina Haynes

Feb 03, 2023 15:21

Silver attracted buyers around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) on Friday, halting its previous day's regression from its highest level since April 2022. In the early European session, the precious metal maintains a moderately bullish tone, although the intraday increase lacks bullish confidence.

 

The XAG/USD has formed a rectangle pattern on the daily chart during the previous half-month, bouncing in a typical range. This indicates traders' hesitation and calls for care before putting aggressive direction bets. The inability to gain acceptance above the $24.50 supply zone overnight validates the trading range resistance, which should now serve as a pivot point.

 

Given that technical indications on the daily chart have only recently begun to drift into negative territory, it would be smart to await a sustained advance beyond the aforementioned barrier before putting bullish wagers. The XAG/USD pair might then attempt to recapture the $25.00 psychological level for the first time since April 2022. On the way to $26.00, the momentum could be extended towards the next significant obstacle near the $25.35 region.

 

Conversely, any further decline below the horizontal zone between $23.40 and $23.30 may continue to find support around the $23.00 to $22.95 region. This is followed by support in the $22.75 range, which, if forcefully broken, could pull the XAG/USD to the next key support near the $22.20-$22.15 zone before the $22.00 level.