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According to the Wall Street Journal, the CEOs of ExxonMobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips warned US President Trumps officials that a war with Iran disrupting the Strait of Hormuz would exacerbate the energy crisis.According to the Wall Street Journal, the oil industry warns that the energy crisis caused by the Trump administration is likely to worsen further.On March 16, the Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced that it will conduct 500 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations today (March 16) through a fixed-quantity, interest rate bidding process with multiple price levels, for a term of six months (182 days). Since 600 billion yuan of six-month outright reverse repurchase agreements mature in March, this operation by the PBOC means that the amount of six-month outright reverse repurchase agreements renewed this month has been reduced by 100 billion yuan.US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran claims simultaneous strikes against four US military bases. 2. Irans Supreme Leader reiterates "will seek reparations from the enemy." 3. Iran claims most of the missiles launched so far were manufactured 10 years ago. 4. US-Israel attacks have damaged over 40,000 civilian facilities in Iran. 5. Iran arrests 13 people suspected of espionage and sabotage. 6. Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claims it will "hunt down" Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. 7. Iran claims to have launched a large-scale attack on Israeli security centers and police headquarters. 8. Irans Foreign Minister states the end of the war depends on two conditions: ensuring the war never resumes and paying reparations. 9. Irans Foreign Minister: Welcomes any regional initiatives that can justly end the war. Never made a ceasefire or negotiation request. 10. Iranian media: Irans Foreign Minister states that Iran is prepared to form an investigative committee with regional countries to investigate the targets of the attacks. Israel may be behind the attacks on civilian targets in Arab countries. ②United States 1. The US called on multiple countries to send warships to the Middle East, with South Korea, Japan, France, and other countries responding. 2. US media: The US government may announce a multinational joint escort mission in the Strait of Hormuz as early as this week. 3. US Central Command: The Iranian Foreign Minister claimed that the US is using one-way attack drones to attack Gulf countries and shifted the blame to Iran. This is a lie. 4. US Energy Secretary: "Clearly" we will have the support of other countries on the Strait of Hormuz issue. The conflict with Iran will end in the "next few weeks," after which oil supplies will recover and energy prices will fall. ③Israel 1. The Israeli military claimed to have struck an Iranian drone launch site. 2. Israeli media: Iranian missile debris hit the US consulate building in Israel. 3. 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Silver Price Analysis: Near 50 DMA, XAG/USD rises to mid-$23.00s

Alina Haynes

Feb 03, 2023 15:21

Silver attracted buyers around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) on Friday, halting its previous day's regression from its highest level since April 2022. In the early European session, the precious metal maintains a moderately bullish tone, although the intraday increase lacks bullish confidence.

 

The XAG/USD has formed a rectangle pattern on the daily chart during the previous half-month, bouncing in a typical range. This indicates traders' hesitation and calls for care before putting aggressive direction bets. The inability to gain acceptance above the $24.50 supply zone overnight validates the trading range resistance, which should now serve as a pivot point.

 

Given that technical indications on the daily chart have only recently begun to drift into negative territory, it would be smart to await a sustained advance beyond the aforementioned barrier before putting bullish wagers. The XAG/USD pair might then attempt to recapture the $25.00 psychological level for the first time since April 2022. On the way to $26.00, the momentum could be extended towards the next significant obstacle near the $25.35 region.

 

Conversely, any further decline below the horizontal zone between $23.40 and $23.30 may continue to find support around the $23.00 to $22.95 region. This is followed by support in the $22.75 range, which, if forcefully broken, could pull the XAG/USD to the next key support near the $22.20-$22.15 zone before the $22.00 level.