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The SC crude oil futures contract hit its daily limit again, rising 13.99% to 641.1 yuan per barrel, after previously narrowing its gains to 5.64%.On March 4th, a research team at Natixis stated that under their baseline scenario, oil prices are likely to trade around $80 per barrel in the short term due to Irans limited ability to continue disrupting Middle Eastern oil flows. The team noted that current US and Israeli military actions against Iran are primarily focused on military and air transport facilities. Although Iran attacked a Saudi oil refinery and a Qatari liquefied natural gas facility earlier this week, there has been no substantial disruption to overall energy supplies. The report stated, "There are currently no significant disruptions to oil supply, only short-term disturbances in transport via the Strait of Hormuz."Iranian Foreign Ministry: German advisors are pressuring EU countries to conspire in acts of aggression against us.On March 4th, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank will continue raising interest rates if the economic and price outlook aligns with its expectations, while closely monitoring the impact of the Middle East conflict. Speaking in parliament, Ueda said that developments in the Middle East could significantly impact the global and Japanese economies through rising energy costs and financial market volatility. "Rising oil prices will worsen Japans terms of trade and drag down the economy, which in turn could put downward pressure on underlying inflation." However, he added that if oil price increases continue, they could also push up underlying inflation by raising medium- to long-term inflation expectations for households and businesses. When asked about the recent depreciation of the yen, he said the Bank of Japan is analyzing "very cautiously" how exchange rate fluctuations will affect current and future price trends.On March 4th, Daiwa Research reported that it expects Baidus (09888.HK) Kunlun Chip IPO valuation to be higher than its peers due to its larger revenue scale and better profitability. Currently, Kunlun Chip derives most of its revenue from external demand, with major clients including Tencent and a large telecommunications operator. Management stated that chip production capacity constraints are not a short-term concern for the company, as Kunlun Chip has secured sufficient supply to support development over the next two years. The bank reiterated its "Buy" rating on Baidu with a target price of HK$175 and maintained its earnings forecasts for this year and next. Recent catalysts include the Kunlun Chip listing and details of the 2026 dividend plan.

Silver Price Analysis: Near 50 DMA, XAG/USD rises to mid-$23.00s

Alina Haynes

Feb 03, 2023 15:21

Silver attracted buyers around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) on Friday, halting its previous day's regression from its highest level since April 2022. In the early European session, the precious metal maintains a moderately bullish tone, although the intraday increase lacks bullish confidence.

 

The XAG/USD has formed a rectangle pattern on the daily chart during the previous half-month, bouncing in a typical range. This indicates traders' hesitation and calls for care before putting aggressive direction bets. The inability to gain acceptance above the $24.50 supply zone overnight validates the trading range resistance, which should now serve as a pivot point.

 

Given that technical indications on the daily chart have only recently begun to drift into negative territory, it would be smart to await a sustained advance beyond the aforementioned barrier before putting bullish wagers. The XAG/USD pair might then attempt to recapture the $25.00 psychological level for the first time since April 2022. On the way to $26.00, the momentum could be extended towards the next significant obstacle near the $25.35 region.

 

Conversely, any further decline below the horizontal zone between $23.40 and $23.30 may continue to find support around the $23.00 to $22.95 region. This is followed by support in the $22.75 range, which, if forcefully broken, could pull the XAG/USD to the next key support near the $22.20-$22.15 zone before the $22.00 level.