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Oil prices surged on Friday as traders focused on potential supply disruptions from more sanctions on Russia and Iran, according to Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "There are several drivers today," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "In the long term, the market is focused on the prospect of additional sanctions. In the short term, the weather is very cold across the United States, driving demand growth." Expectations of supply disruptions from tougher sanctions on Iran and Russia are growing ahead of Trumps inauguration on January 20, while oil inventories remain low. Biden is expected to announce new sanctions against the Russian economy before Trump takes office. PVM analyst Tamas Varga said that existing and possible further sanctions, as well as market expectations of reduced inventories due to cold weather, are driving oil prices higher.Jingwei HiRun announced that it plans to repurchase shares for RMB 100 million to 200 million, and the repurchase price will not exceed RMB 130 per share.January 10th, the battered U.S. Treasury market is seeking a respite from Fridays non-farm payrolls report. Since mid-September, U.S. Treasury yields have risen sharply, with the 20-year Treasury yield exceeding 5%. Some strategists said that while bearish bets have been increasing, the sharp rise in yields may mean that strong employment data will hurt the market less than weak data will support the market. Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. interest rate strategy at Societe Generale, said that if Decembers employment data is strong, the 10-year Treasury yield has room to rise to 4.75%, but to reach 5%, the new administration may take specific policy actions. Conversely, if the unemployment rate rises or the employment data is weak, yields will fall further because the market seems to be a little ahead of the curve in cutting the Feds rate cut bets.On January 10, international oil prices rose sharply by more than 3% today as traders focused on potential supply disruptions and expectations of increased demand due to lower temperatures. Supported by the prospect of tougher U.S. sanctions on Russia and Iran and a decline in Russian seaborne exports, U.S. and Brent crude futures are expected to achieve weekly gains of 2.7% and 3.2%, respectively. "The United States is expected to announce more sanctions against Russia in the coming days, which will exacerbate the continued slowdown in Russian crude oil exports," said analysts at DNB Markets. According to market observers, Western sanctions on Russias shadow fleet have already led to a decline in exports.On January 10th, U.S. and Brent crude oil prices continued to rise, with the intraday increase expanding to 3.00%, and are now trading at US$75.93 per barrel and US$79.25 per barrel respectively.

Price Prediction for Silver - Breakout Attempt Fails

Daniel Rogers

Jun 06, 2022 15:28

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The price of silver attempted to break out, but encountered selling resistance. The decline in gold prices weighed on the broader precious metals market. Stronger-than-anticipated employment figures boosted the dollar. Since precious metals are valued in dollars, a stronger dollar is often unfavorable to silver.

 

Following stronger-than-expected employment figures, benchmark yields increased. The positive employment data contradicted Thursday's ADP private payroll estimate, which was worse than anticipated.

 

The nonfarm payrolls increased by 390K while the unemployment rate increased to 3.6%. Approximately 328K jobs were predicted to be added to the labour market. The unemployment rate was anticipated to fall to 3.5 percent. The average hourly wage has grown by 0.3%. It was anticipated that average hourly salaries would increase by 0.4%. This situation may indicate a moderation in wage inflation. The year-over-year rise in salaries was 5.2%.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver sought to climb higher but was unable to do so. Near the 10-day moving average of 21.99 is viewed as support. At the 50-day moving average of 23.26, there is observed to be resistance.

 

The 50-day moving average continues below the 200-day moving average, representing a headwind for XAG/USD and indicating negative trend. Silver will likely reach the level of 20.4.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in negative area, indicating a downward trend in price movement.