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August 26th - US inflation unexpectedly remained unchanged in July, marking the 65th consecutive month significantly above the Federal Reserves 2% target. The recent decline in inflation after reaching high levels, influenced by the Iran war, has stalled, potentially exacerbating tensions within the Federal Reserve regarding whether to raise or maintain interest rates. Data released Wednesday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the Feds preferred indicator, the US PCE price index, rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, unchanged from June, compared to analysts expectations of 3.6%. With trade negotiations between the US and its second-largest trading partner, Canada, breaking down on Friday, a new round of tariff-driven inflationary pressures may be imminent. On a month-on-month basis, the PCE price index rose 0.2% in July, also exceeding economists expectations. In June, the index fell 0.1% month-on-month, the lowest level since April 2020. The Bureau of Economic Analysis also updated its second-quarter economic growth data, maintaining the annualized growth rate of US real GDP at 1.5%.August 26th - Market pricing indicates a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month. This follows data released by the US government showing that the Feds key inflation gauge rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, slightly higher than economists expectations. Interest rate futures data shows that after the data release, the market expects a 42% probability of a Fed rate hike in September, up from approximately 36% before the data release.On August 26th, Alibabas Qianwen released the Qwen3.8-Flash model. This is a multimodal MoE model and an early preview version of the Qwen4 architecture. The production version of Qwen3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, priced at only $0.16 per 1 million input tokens and $0.47 per 1 million output tokens. The model boasts 125 billion parameters + 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but each token only activates 6 billion parameters, achieving extremely high cost-effectiveness.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraine will send two additional troops to reinforce the Donetsk front.U.S. short-term interest rate futures pared earlier gains slightly after the release of U.S. economic data.

Price Prediction for Silver - Breakout Attempt Fails

Daniel Rogers

Jun 06, 2022 15:28

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The price of silver attempted to break out, but encountered selling resistance. The decline in gold prices weighed on the broader precious metals market. Stronger-than-anticipated employment figures boosted the dollar. Since precious metals are valued in dollars, a stronger dollar is often unfavorable to silver.

 

Following stronger-than-expected employment figures, benchmark yields increased. The positive employment data contradicted Thursday's ADP private payroll estimate, which was worse than anticipated.

 

The nonfarm payrolls increased by 390K while the unemployment rate increased to 3.6%. Approximately 328K jobs were predicted to be added to the labour market. The unemployment rate was anticipated to fall to 3.5 percent. The average hourly wage has grown by 0.3%. It was anticipated that average hourly salaries would increase by 0.4%. This situation may indicate a moderation in wage inflation. The year-over-year rise in salaries was 5.2%.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver sought to climb higher but was unable to do so. Near the 10-day moving average of 21.99 is viewed as support. At the 50-day moving average of 23.26, there is observed to be resistance.

 

The 50-day moving average continues below the 200-day moving average, representing a headwind for XAG/USD and indicating negative trend. Silver will likely reach the level of 20.4.

 

The medium-term momentum turns positive when the histogram and MACD both show positive values (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in negative area, indicating a downward trend in price movement.