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January 21st - Market concerns about a significant increase in Japanese government spending and a resurgence of inflation are causing a break in the traditional correlation between the yen and the dollar and government bond yields, prompting HSBC strategists to change their forecasts for the yens performance in the coming months. HSBC analysts believe there are two catalysts for the current "sudden revaluation" of the yen: first, a substantial rise in Japanese inflation starting in 2022; and second, Sanae Takashis inauguration as president in October. HSBC now predicts the yen will fall to 160 yen to the dollar by mid-year, rather than strengthening to 150 yen as previously expected. Strategists point out that complicating matters is the real possibility that Japanese authorities might intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the yen if it falls below 160. Analysts believe several potential factors could halt the yens recent decline—the most plausible of which (such as a slowdown in the US economy) is beyond the control of Japanese policymakers.Pan American Silver (PAAS.O): Equity silver production is projected to be between 25 million and 27 million ounces in 2026, and equity gold production is projected to be between 700,000 and 750,000 ounces in 2026.Netflix (NFLX.O) CFO: The company is seeing a range of very attractive investment opportunities and plans to "slightly" increase spending this year. This years spending growth will be higher than in 2025.According to US media MS NOW, US Vice President Vance will hold a roundtable meeting with leaders from various sectors in Minneapolis.Rio Tinto (RIO.N): The average realized price of copper in 2025 is $4.57/lb, and the average realized price of aluminum is $3,318/ton.

Predictions for Gold Prices — Gold prices rose as the dollar weakened

Alina Haynes

May 24, 2022 09:43

Gold prices rise as the dollar weakens to start the week. The currency experienced negative pressure on reduced growth prospects and likely march toward recession. Benchmark rates climbed as shares surged today. Today, the yield on the ten-year Treasury note rose by 3 basis points.

 

On Monday, there was little going on in the world of business. Focus continues on Fed Chair Powell’s speech tomorrow and major economic statistics including PCI and first-quarter GDP published this week. Investors are anxious about impending recession and sluggish economic growth.

Analytical Methods

Gold prices came back from session highs but are still higher and possibly be headed to the 1860s. This week's economic statistics might point to a slowdown in economic growth, which would benefit gold.

 

To begin the week, gold prices held above the 200-day moving average of $1839. Support is indicated near the 200-day moving average near 1839. Resistance is apparent at the May 12th peak of 1858.

 

The Fast Stochastic has formed a crossover buy signal, indicating that the short-term momentum is bullish. Prices are no longer oversold as the fast stochastic prints a value of 54.58, considerably above the oversold trigger level of 20.

 

Medium-term momentum turns bullish as the MACD can provide a crossover buy signal. This occurs as the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average passes below the 9-day moving average of the MACD line.

 

Price declines are predicted by the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram, which shows a downward trend in price.

 

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