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Gold prices retreated sharply on January 30th after surging to a record high, as traders took profits and a stronger dollar increased the cost of the precious metal for overseas buyers. Market focus has now shifted to President Trumps expected decision on his nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, to be announced later Friday. Trumps advisors have hinted that he may nominate Kevin Warsh. Saxo Bank analysts noted that Warsh is considered less controversial and less clearly dovish compared to other candidates circulating before the nomination announcement.Germanys seasonally adjusted unemployment figures and unemployment rate for January, as well as the preliminary value of the unadjusted annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter, will be released in ten minutes.On January 30th, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) issued an announcement regarding adjustments to the rules for its Ruyi Gold Accumulation business and the sale of certain branded physical gold products, as well as revisions to the Ruyi Gold Accumulation business agreement. Starting February 7th, 2026, on weekends and public holidays (excluding Shanghai Gold Exchange trading days), ICBC will implement quota management for the Ruyi Gold Accumulation business. These quotas will include daily accumulation/redemption limits for the entire amount or a single customer, and limits on the total amount accumulated or redeemed in a single transaction, and will be dynamically set. Gold withdrawals will not be affected.January 30 - From January 29 to 30, Liu Haixing, Special Envoy of General Secretary Xi Jinping and Minister of the International Department of the CPC Central Committee, visited Vietnam to congratulate the successful convening of the 14th CPC National Congress and the election of To Lam as General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee.On January 30th, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) reported the following changes in warehouse receipts for various commodities: 1. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 2. Silver futures warehouse receipts: 455,068 kg, a decrease of 26,940 kg from the previous trading day; 3. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 171,104 tons, an increase of 9,583 tons from the previous trading day; 4. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 10,615 tons, a decrease of 526 tons from the previous trading day; 5. Petroleum asphalt plant warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 28,480 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 13,580 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 7. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 46,876 tons, an increase of 22 tons from the previous trading day; 8. Hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts: 190,323 tons, an increase of 2,655 tons from the previous trading day; 9. 10. Pulp warehouse futures receipts: 131,447 tons, up 1,005 tons from the previous trading day; 11. Pulp mill warehouse futures receipts: 11,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 12. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures receipts: 3,464,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 13. Gold futures receipts: 103,029 kg, unchanged from the previous trading day; 14. Aluminum futures receipts: 145,071 tons, up 2,366 tons from the previous trading day; 15. TSR20 rubber futures receipts: 53,625 tons, down 202 tons from the previous trading day; 16. Zinc futures receipts: 28,468 tons, up 227 tons from the previous trading day; 17. Copper futures receipts: 156,851 tons, up 5,223 tons from the previous trading day; Natural rubber futures warehouse receipts totaled 110,930 tons, a decrease of 40 tons from the previous trading day; 18. Lead futures warehouse receipts totaled 29,418 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 19. Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 27,860 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 20. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 17,283 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 21. Butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts totaled 28,320 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 22. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts totaled 43,519 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 23. Tin futures warehouse receipts totaled 8,524 tons, an increase of 30 tons from the previous trading day.

Predictions for Gold Prices — Gold prices rose as the dollar weakened

Alina Haynes

May 24, 2022 09:43

Gold prices rise as the dollar weakens to start the week. The currency experienced negative pressure on reduced growth prospects and likely march toward recession. Benchmark rates climbed as shares surged today. Today, the yield on the ten-year Treasury note rose by 3 basis points.

 

On Monday, there was little going on in the world of business. Focus continues on Fed Chair Powell’s speech tomorrow and major economic statistics including PCI and first-quarter GDP published this week. Investors are anxious about impending recession and sluggish economic growth.

Analytical Methods

Gold prices came back from session highs but are still higher and possibly be headed to the 1860s. This week's economic statistics might point to a slowdown in economic growth, which would benefit gold.

 

To begin the week, gold prices held above the 200-day moving average of $1839. Support is indicated near the 200-day moving average near 1839. Resistance is apparent at the May 12th peak of 1858.

 

The Fast Stochastic has formed a crossover buy signal, indicating that the short-term momentum is bullish. Prices are no longer oversold as the fast stochastic prints a value of 54.58, considerably above the oversold trigger level of 20.

 

Medium-term momentum turns bullish as the MACD can provide a crossover buy signal. This occurs as the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average passes below the 9-day moving average of the MACD line.

 

Price declines are predicted by the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram, which shows a downward trend in price.

 

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