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On March 26th, Goldman Sachs portfolio strategy team downgraded its rating on Indian stocks from "overweight" to "neutral" in a research report, citing the anticipated prolonged period of high energy prices and the resulting deterioration of Indias macroeconomic structure. Given Indias vulnerability to energy shocks, Goldman Sachs economists lowered their 2026 GDP growth forecast for India by 1.1 percentage points to 5.9%. The team also cumulatively lowered its earnings growth forecast for Indian stocks over the next two years by 9 percentage points. Furthermore, the team anticipates a weakening of investor confidence in Indian stocks in the short term. The team lowered its 12-month target price for the Nifty 50 index from 29,300 points to 25,900 points. The Nifty 50 index closed up 1.7% at 23,306.45 points.Israel Defense Forces: We recently completed a large-scale strike operation targeting Iranian infrastructure in multiple regions within Iran.On March 26, Meitu (01357.HK) issued an announcement on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, stating that some online posts mentioning undisclosed information such as the companys 2025 annual results constitute inside information. The company hereby clarifies that the 2025 annual results still require approval by the Board of Directors at its meeting on March 27. At the companys request, trading in the companys shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was temporarily suspended from 9:00 a.m. on March 26, 2026, pending the publication of the companys annual results announcement for that period on March 27, 2026.March 26 - Japanese two-year government bond yields climbed to their highest level since 1996 as markets anticipated a near-term interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan. The yield on the two-year bond, which is highly sensitive to monetary policy expectations, rose 1 basis point to 1.315% on Thursday, surpassing the previous high of 1.31% reached last month. The yield on the ten-year bond rose 2 basis points to 2.270%. Markets anticipate that rising oil prices following the outbreak of conflict in Iran will trigger an inflationary shock. Warnings from central banks about persistent price pressures have pushed up short-term yields, while traders have largely eliminated expectations of further easing by the Federal Reserve this year. Rising oil prices have also put pressure on the yen, further increasing market expectations that the Bank of Japan may need to continue tightening monetary policy. Overnight index swap data showed that the market expects a 64% probability of the Bank of Japan taking action in April.March 26 – Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Kevin Warsh hopes to significantly reduce the Feds $6.6 trillion balance sheet. A top financial economist suggests he may need more than one term to accomplish this task. Darrell Duffy, a Stanford Graduate School of Business professor and longtime advisor to the Fed, argues in a new paper that if the Fed wants to significantly reduce its influence in financial markets without causing severe stress, reforms are needed, including a radical overhaul of bank liquidity requirements and a redesign of the payment system. Once Warsh is confirmed by the Senate, he can immediately implement some reforms, provided he has the support of his colleagues. Duffy indicates that other reforms could take up to five years, meaning this work will continue beyond Warshs four-year term as chairman.

Oil Prices Fall as EIA Data Indicates Rising Domestic Production

Alina Haynes

Jun 16, 2022 11:29

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The EIA report indicates that domestic production rose to 12 million barrels per day. WTI oil fell down on the release of the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, which revealed a 2 million-barrel rise in crude stockpiles compared to the previous week. Analysts anticipated a reduction in crude inventories of 1.3 million barrels.

 

Imports, which grew by 0.8 million barrels per day (bpd) and averaged 7 million bpd, drove the increase. In addition, domestic oil output in the United States increased from 11.9 million bpd to 12 million bpd.

 

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Current crude stockpiles in the United States are around 14% below the five-year average for this time of year. To reverse the present upward trend in the oil markets, crude oil stocks must continue to grow.

 

WTI crude oil recently attempted to settle above the psychologically significant $120 mark, but lacked sufficient rising momentum and retreated.

 

Domestic oil output has hit 12 million barrels per day. This is significant for markets because it demonstrates that producers are responding to rising oil prices. Domestic production was 11.2 million bpd a year ago.

 

The underlying question is whether or whether high oil prices will ultimately put demand under strain. There are now no indications that the economy could not withstand oil at $120 a barrel. For instance, demand for gasoline remained robust, and overall stockpiles of motor gasoline declined by 0.7 million barrels.

 

In addition, dealers will continue to watch domestic oil output levels. In recent years, oil firms have prioritized financial restraint; it remains to be seen if they will be willing to raise output rapidly. Moreover, present oil prices are quite advantageous to producers.

 

In this view, the dynamics of domestic oil production will be a key trigger for the dynamics of the WTI oil price. If domestic production maintains unchanged at 12 million bpd and does not reach new heights, WTI oil will likely settle over $120.