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Goldman Sachs stated on Tuesday, April 7th, that technology stocks, including US stocks, appear cheap after a prolonged period of underperformance, creating potential entry opportunities for investors. "Weve witnessed one of the weakest periods of relative returns for the technology sector in 50 years," the company said. Multiple factors have contributed to the overall weakness of the technology sector since 2025, prompting investors to shift towards value stocks. These factors include the launch of DeepSeek, massive capital expenditures by US mega-corporations, and the disruptive impact of AI-driven software. These factors have provided opportunities for investors to enter the sector, which currently exhibits strong growth but low valuations. The valuation premium for US mega-corporations has declined and is now almost in line with other parts of the sector. Globally, the IT sectors price-to-earnings ratio is lower than that of the consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and industrial sectors. Goldman Sachs noted that despite the low valuations, the technology sectors earnings performance remains strong. Among the S&P 500 sectors, the market consensus is that the IT sectors Q1 earnings per share will grow by 44%, accounting for 87% of the indexs earnings per share growth.On April 7th, local time, the Japanese House of Councillors voted on the budget bill for fiscal year 2026 (April 2026 to March 2027) in a plenary session. The budget bill passed with a majority vote. The budget bill for fiscal year 2026 was passed by the House of Representatives on March 13th and subsequently submitted to the House of Councillors for deliberation. According to Japanese sources, the total size of Japans 2026 budget bill exceeds 122 trillion yen, a record high. Among them, the defense budget has exceeded 9 trillion yen for the first time, also setting a new record.On April 7th, analysts at First Abu Dhabi Bank stated in a report that the strength of oil prices has been and will continue to be (at least in the short term) a more structural driver of inflationary pressures. The analysts pointed out that inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in interest rates as expectations of central bank rate cuts have faded. Previously, the market had anticipated two to three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, but these expectations have been ruled out. LSEG data shows that the money market currently expects US policy rates to remain largely unchanged in 2026, with a very slight tightening bias. The market has even priced in a more hawkish rate hike scenario by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England by the end of this year, with increases of 74 basis points and 56 basis points respectively, "largely a result of imported energy inflation in Europe."Air India has announced an increase in its fuel surcharge due to a sharp rise in global jet fuel prices.The Bank of Italy lowered its 2026 economic growth forecast to 0.4% from 0.7% at the end of January, and its 2027 forecast to 0.6% from 0.9%.

Oil Prices Fall as EIA Data Indicates Rising Domestic Production

Alina Haynes

Jun 16, 2022 11:29

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The EIA report indicates that domestic production rose to 12 million barrels per day. WTI oil fell down on the release of the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, which revealed a 2 million-barrel rise in crude stockpiles compared to the previous week. Analysts anticipated a reduction in crude inventories of 1.3 million barrels.

 

Imports, which grew by 0.8 million barrels per day (bpd) and averaged 7 million bpd, drove the increase. In addition, domestic oil output in the United States increased from 11.9 million bpd to 12 million bpd.

 

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Current crude stockpiles in the United States are around 14% below the five-year average for this time of year. To reverse the present upward trend in the oil markets, crude oil stocks must continue to grow.

 

WTI crude oil recently attempted to settle above the psychologically significant $120 mark, but lacked sufficient rising momentum and retreated.

 

Domestic oil output has hit 12 million barrels per day. This is significant for markets because it demonstrates that producers are responding to rising oil prices. Domestic production was 11.2 million bpd a year ago.

 

The underlying question is whether or whether high oil prices will ultimately put demand under strain. There are now no indications that the economy could not withstand oil at $120 a barrel. For instance, demand for gasoline remained robust, and overall stockpiles of motor gasoline declined by 0.7 million barrels.

 

In addition, dealers will continue to watch domestic oil output levels. In recent years, oil firms have prioritized financial restraint; it remains to be seen if they will be willing to raise output rapidly. Moreover, present oil prices are quite advantageous to producers.

 

In this view, the dynamics of domestic oil production will be a key trigger for the dynamics of the WTI oil price. If domestic production maintains unchanged at 12 million bpd and does not reach new heights, WTI oil will likely settle over $120.