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On March 15th, Matt Reed, Vice President of the geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports, stated that an attack on Kharg Island could trigger Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil-producing countries. He said, "Iran will retaliate in kind." The United States warned on Friday that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Islands oil facilities could become the next target. Reed warned that the longer the conflict continues, the harder it will be to find alternative energy supplies. "At least 10 million barrels of oil are trapped in the Gulf every day, plus more than 4 million barrels of refined petroleum products and tens of billions of cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, with no easy alternatives." The International Energy Agency has announced the largest emergency oil reserve release in history, with 32 member countries planning to release approximately 400 million barrels of oil. However, Reed believes this measure will have limited effect, stating, "By the time the oil gets to the market, it may be too little, too late." He described it as nothing more than a "band-aid."On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.The Swiss government has discussed the US request for military overflight. In accordance with the principle of neutrality, the Federal Council rejected two requests related to the war with Iran.Local officials said operations at the Lanaz refinery in Iraq’s Erbil province have been suspended until the fire is extinguished and the damage is assessed.On March 15th, Colombian Energy Minister Edwin Palma posted on the X platform that Venezuelas state-owned oil company PDVSA intends to terminate its contract with Colombias state-owned oil company Ecopetrol regarding the Antonio Ricardo pipeline, citing insufficient investment in its maintenance. Palma stated that the Colombian government plans to meet with the US government next Monday to discuss lifting sanctions in an effort to normalize commercial relations with Venezuela. Palma also indicated that Colombia has approved a license to resume imports of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) from Venezuela at a rate of 1.26 million gallons per month.

OPEC+ Is Working to Compensate For Reduced Russian Oil Production

Charlie Brooks

Jun 02, 2022 15:57

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OPEC+ is attempting to compensate for a decline in Russian oil production, according to two OPEC+ sources on Thursday, as Russia's production has fallen by approximately 1 million barrels per day as a result of Western sanctions imposed on Moscow over the Ukraine crisis.


One OPEC+ source familiar with Russia's position stated that Moscow could agree to other producers paying for its lower output, but it may not occur on Thursday and may not be in full.


A Gulf OPEC+ source said that a resolution on the topic was "very probable" at Thursday's meeting.


Despite tighter global markets, it is largely anticipated that the group would adhere to its scheduled monthly small output increases when it meets online later on Thursday.


However, Western sanctions imposed on Russia over Ukraine may result in production and export cuts of up to 2 to 3 million barrels per day from the world's second largest oil exporter.


In April, Russia's supply of approximately 9.4 million barrels per day (bpd) was already below its OPEC+ target of 10.44 million bpd.