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1. Reuters poll: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with 60% of economists surveyed expecting a rate hike to 1% by the end of June. 2. ANZ: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged but will release hawkish signals, expecting a 25 basis point rate hike to 1% in April. 3. DBS: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, possibly preferring to wait for the outcome of wage negotiations this spring; June-July presents a more suitable window for a rate hike than April. 4. Capital Economics: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with rising wages supporting a rate hike, but the Iranian conflict is the biggest variable, potentially delaying the rate hike further. 5. Daiwa Securities: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; whether it raises rates in April could be a crucial turning point in determining market confidence in its commitment to tightening policies. 6. Allianz Group: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged; Kazuo Ueda may maintain the possibility of an April rate hike, while adding data-dependent conditions to hedge against any external shocks. 7. Mitsubishi UFJ: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but may raise them in April. Geopolitical risks have become the new normal, and stabilizing the yens exchange rate is becoming increasingly important for Japan. 8. Sumitomo Mitsui: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged and will focus on how rising oil prices will push up costs for petrochemical products and other oil-based commodities, and how these costs will be transmitted domestically. 9. Moodys Analytics: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged and may raise them to 1% around mid-year. Further weakening of the yen could prompt the central bank to raise rates later this year. 10. Natixis: The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged and maintain a hawkish stance to avoid disrupting spring wage negotiations, while maintaining a tightening bias to alleviate new imported inflationary pressures. The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 13 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 13 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.The main Shanghai silver futures contract plunged 6.00% intraday, currently trading at 18,852.00 yuan/kg.Iran says the headquarters of the Revolutionary Guard in Oshnoviya, a Kurdish city in western Iran, was attacked.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara: I hope the Bank of Japan will work closely with the government to formulate appropriate monetary policies to achieve the 2% inflation target in a stable and sustainable manner, and that inflation should not be driven by cost-push factors but by wage growth.

Gold Range Holds Tight Ahead of Fed Meeting

Charlie Brooks

Sep 20, 2022 10:53

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Tuesday, in anticipation of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting that is expected to result in an interest rate hike, investors refrained from placing major bets on gold prices, holding the price of the precious metal within a limited range.


Spot gold jumped 0.2% to $1,679.14 per ounce around 20:11 EST, while gold futures climbed 0.6% to $1,687.85 per ounce (00:11 GMT). Following a week of dramatic drops, neither instrument has seen notable movement since Monday.


As the U.S. dollar fell on Tuesday, there was a slight lessening of pressure on gold. The dollar stayed at 20-year highs, whilst U.S. Treasury rates soared before the Fed's announcement of interest rate changes.


On Wednesday, it is widely expected that the central bank would increase interest rates by 75 basis points bps, while traders are also considering the possibility of a 100 basis point increase. In August, U.S. inflation remained at 40-year highs, bolstering expectations for a hefty Fed rate hike. The data led to a strengthening of the dollar and a continuation of losses on the metal markets.


The yellow metal is now trading lower for the year as a result of the Federal Reserve's rate rises. Beginning of the Russia-Ukraine conflict coincided with gold's price peak. Recently, gold prices fell below $1,700, which was seen as one of the last remaining points of support before a steeper decline.


Tuesday saw both platinum and silver futures recover from recent losses and advance.


Copper prices for industrial metals climbed by 0.2% to $3.5323 per pound. Recently, though, the dollar has pushed pressure on red metal.


In spite of expected supply shortages due to a strike at the Escondida copper mine in Chile, the outlook for copper prices this year is clouded by signs of a global slowdown in economic growth.

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