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On September 19th, Google announced that its Gemini AI model accidentally accessed the internet and entered the systems of three companies during a cybersecurity capability test. This is the first known instance of a Google AI system autonomously performing such an operation. The incident occurred in May and was conducted by security firm Irregular. During the test, the Gemini model was performing a task in a "capture the flag" cybersecurity exercise. However, because the virtual company names in the test environment were identical to those of real companies, and the model unexpectedly gained internet access, it entered the real enterprise systems. Google stated that in one instance, the model entered a protected system by trying passwords; in two other instances, it discovered credentials in a public network repository and attempted to access the relevant systems. Once the model confirmed access to the real company systems, it stopped further operations. Google stated that the incident did not cause any damage to the companies involved and therefore was not considered a case of model malfunction, adding that security mechanisms helped the model stop its behavior in time. The affected companies have been notified, and Google has also reported the incident to relevant regulatory agencies. This incident is similar to previous security test incidents disclosed by AI companies such as OpenAI and Anthropic, once again drawing attention to the ability of AI models to autonomously perform cyber operations and the mechanisms of security protection.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked US President Donald Trump for signing the Russian sanctions bill and thanked members of Congress for their support.Saudi civil defense officials said the danger in the Farasan area has been averted.Saudi Arabia’s civil defense ministry has issued an alert about potential dangers in the Farasan region.On September 19, US President Trump stated that the United States and Denmark had reached an agreement on Greenlands security, claiming that the arrangement would address US security concerns in the region and ensure the US "permanently" possesses the capabilities needed to maintain the security of both Greenland and the US. Trump announced on social media that the agreement "addresses all of Americas major concerns" and "does not require the US to bear any costs." However, he did not release the text of the agreement or disclose specific terms. Currently, the US has a defense agreement with Denmark that allows US troops to be stationed in Greenland. Trump has long sought to strengthen US influence in Greenland, and his previous stance has drawn attention from European and NATO allies.

Gold Price Forecast: The XAU/USD pair's decline is moderating as the price recovers from recent lows

Daniel Rogers

Aug 22, 2022 14:41

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As analysts at TD Securities explained, Chair Powell's remarks will likely be "a key avenue for the Fed to push back against the notable easing in financial conditions sparked by his last remarks, which has seen markets price in rate cuts immediately following the rate hiking cycle and is likely inconsistent with the Fed's inflation mandate." As market expectations for rate reduction diminish, speculative demand for precious metals should diminish more.

 

A chorus of Fed speakers has addressed us in the lead-up to the event. In an interview with CNN, Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, stated that it was far too early to declare victory on inflation and that a 50 basis point or 75 basis point increase would be reasonable.

 

Daly's bluster stirred up the dust and pushed the US dollar up 0.12% on the day to 106.78; since then, it has skyrocketed to 108.285 in Tokyo's opening hour. US bond yields continue to rise, following Europe's selloff, and the yield curve steepened. Yields on 2-year government bonds increased from 3.23% to 3.24% thru 3.29%, while yields on 10-year government bonds increased from 2.90% to 2.97%. The rising interest rates are particularly bad news for gold investors, as the yellow metal is extremely sensitive to rising US interest rates, which increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

 

Fed funds futures traders assign a likelihood of 55% that the Fed will raise rates by 50 basis points in September and a probability of 45% that rates will be raised by 75 basis points. According to calculations by Reuters and data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission published on Friday, speculators' net long positioning on the US dollar continues to expand, while net short positions on the euro increase. The value of the net long dollar position increased to $13.37 billion during the week ending August 16, according to statistics from the CFTC. Since four weeks ago, net long dollar positions have climbed for the first time.

 

Core PCE will be significant in data preceding the Jackson Hole Symposium. According to analysts at TD Securities, prices likely slowed significantly in July and at an even slower rate than the core CPI (0.1% vs. 0.3%).

 

"Shelter weights continue to be a major contributor to this disparity. The YoY rate likely decreased to 4.6% from 4.8% in June, indicating that the series has reached its apex. Separately, personal expenditure likely fell to a still robust 0.6% MoM pace after seeing an even greater 1.0% MoM increase in June.


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