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Nasdaq futures fell 2%, Dow futures fell 0.85%, and the S&P 500 fell 1.45%.On April 30, Peter Andersen, founder of Anderson Capital Management, said that the U.S. economic contraction should not be surprising, but the market behaved as if it was. During this period, Trump is trying to get the market to accept his tariff policy through negotiations, which makes modeling, forecasting, etc. extremely difficult. When the market cannot make reasonable predictions, it tends to turn to a pessimistic interpretation of things.The pan-European Stoxx 600 banks index fell 3%, on track for its biggest one-day drop since April 9.The CBOE Volatility Index, the most-anticipated near-term volatility gauge, rose following the release of the U.S. GDP data, rising 2.18 points on the day to 26.35.U.S. economic growth slowed sharply in the first quarter of 2025 as businesses stockpiled goods before President Trumps sweeping tariffs took effect. Still, economists warned that the report may not fully reflect economic growth, noting that the data could be noisy due to a surge in imports as companies try to get ahead of tariffs. Economists note that increased imports may appear to slow economic growth, but that doesnt tell the whole story. "There has never been a recession caused by imports," wrote Michael Pierce, deputy chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. "While imports are recorded as a subtraction from GDP, imports appear as offsetting positive growth in other ways, such as increases in consumption or business investment, or are recorded as increases in inventories."

Forming Potentially Bearish Reversal Top

Cory Russell

Jul 25, 2022 15:22

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Late in the trading day on Friday, September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are trading lower after giving up previous gains. The blue chip Dow had a sharp decline as the S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ Composite Index experienced a sharp decline as technology equities fell as a result of disappointing earnings results from Snap and Twitter.


September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are trading at 31772, down 235 points or 0.73 percent, as of 17:53 GMT. From an intraday high of 32193, this is now lower. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is down $1.33 or 0.41 percent, trading at $319.08 today.


In stock-related news, shares of Intel Corp. and Verizon Communications are both down close to 3.5 percent. Apple is down over 1.0 percent, while Microsoft is down more than 1.5 percent.


Procter & Gamble and American Express are the only companies outperforming the market, both up by about 2.0%.

Economic Information Influences Attitude

Following the publication of additional discouraging economic statistics, doubts about the status of the American economy as well as concerns about profits affected confidence.


The U.S. PMI Composite output index, which analyzes activity in both the manufacturing and service sectors, recorded a preliminary value of 47.5, which indicates declining economic production. The index has not been at that level for more than two years.

Swing Chart Technical Analysis for the Day

The daily swing chart indicates that the overall trend is upward, but the price action in the late session indicates that momentum may be changing to the negative.


A transaction through 32193 will indicate that the uptrend has resumed. If 30109 is crossed, the primary trend will shift to being downward.


Smaller trend is similarly upward. The minor trend will turn downward if there is a trade through 31504. The downward momentum will change as a result.