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On May 16th, Berkshire Hathaway made a significant purchase of Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) in its first quarter under Greg Abel, who succeeded Warren Buffett as CEO, returning to the airline the group had invested in years ago. Abel, who became CEO in January, stated in his first letter to shareholders in February that Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, and Moodys were among his "core" holdings, and that Berkshire would continue its "concentrated holdings" strategy. As of the end of March, Berkshires newly acquired Delta holding was valued at approximately $2.6 billion, still relatively small compared to its largest holding. Despite rising fuel costs due to the Iran-Iraq conflict putting pressure on airline stocks this year, Deltas share price has still risen 1.2%. During Buffetts tenure, Berkshire invested in several major airlines, including Delta, and was once its largest shareholder. In 2020, Berkshire liquidated all its airline holdings. At that time, the COVID-19 pandemic brought air travel to a near standstill, and Buffett said, "The world of the aviation industry has changed."On May 16, it was reported that law enforcement agencies from China and the Philippines recently cooperated to arrest and repatriate Chen, suspected of organizing cross-border gambling. Chen, along with others, established an illegal gambling website overseas, recruiting thousands of mainland Chinese gamblers and maliciously setting withdrawal thresholds to reap huge profits. The amount involved exceeded 200 million yuan. Chinese law prohibits all forms of gambling, forbids Chinese capital investment in local casinos, prohibits Chinese citizens from participating in the operation of local casinos, and prohibits local casinos from recruiting Chinese citizens to gamble. The Chinese Embassy in the Philippines will continue to strengthen law enforcement cooperation with the Philippine side to jointly combat cross-border gambling activities.Market news: Explosions were heard in Baghdad, Iraq.According to Iranian media reports, Iran stated that shipping will return to normal once the instability in the Strait of Hormuz ends.On May 16th, Yonhap News Agency reported that Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-yong called for unity within the company on Saturday. Currently, Samsungs labor union is deadlocked over wage negotiations and plans a large-scale strike next week. "Now is the wise time to unite our strength and move in the same direction," Lee said. "Union members, members of the Samsung family, we are one, we are one family." He also apologized to the companys customers and the public for concerns raised by "internal" issues. Samsungs largest labor union stated on Friday that despite the companys offer to resume negotiations without preconditions, the union will proceed with its planned strike next week. The strike is scheduled to begin next Thursday and last for 18 days, potentially disrupting production at the worlds largest memory chip manufacturer.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD recovery aims toward $1,800 as US inflation prospects test Fed hawks

Daniel Rogers

Dec 06, 2022 14:57

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The price of gold (XAU/USD) is still rising, hovering around $1,778 as the US dollar battles to maintain its week-start gain on early Tuesday. In addition to the movements of the dollar, technical analysis supports bullion buyers in maintaining control even as markets contract prior to the Federal Reserve's policymakers going dark.

 

On Monday, the US ISM Services PMI increased to 56.5 in November from 53.1 in the market expectation and 54.4 in the prior readings, while Factory Orders likewise showed 1.0% growth vs 0.7% predicted and 0.3% in the prior readings. Additionally, the S&P Global Composite PMI increased to 46.4 from 46.3 initial estimates, while the corresponding figure for services increased to 46.2 from 46.1 flash expectations.

 

On Friday, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) surprised markets by increasing to 263K instead of the 200K predicted and the 284K previously reported, although the unemployment rate for November was in line with market expectations and previous readings at 3.7%. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Federal Reserve, commented after the positive report that "we are probably going to have a slightly higher peak to Fed policy rate even as we moderate pace of rate hikes."

 

However, it should be noted that a surprise decline in US inflation expectations from a one-month high, as measured by the 10-year and 5-year breakeven inflation rates, according to data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve (FRED), calls into question the recent hawkish bias regarding the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. The most recent estimates of inflation forecasts for the next five and ten years show a decline from the one-month peak to 2.46% and 2.39%, respectively.

 

In other places, the market's optimism appeared to have been aided by expectations that China will soon relax its rigorous Zero-COVID policy. According to Reuters, an anonymous source, China is expected to announce a further reduction of some of the world's strictest COVID regulations as early as Wednesday.

 

A three-day slump is broken by the S&P 500 Futures, which record intraday gains of 0.20 percent around 4,011. However, the US 10-year Treasury note yields have fallen three basis points (bps) to 3.56% as of press time, following a rally from an 11-week low established last Friday.

 

Moving on, Gold may continue to recover despite what is likely to be a slow day, although concerns about China and the Fed seem crucial for short-term trends.


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