• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.25% at 19,841 points in the night session, 257 points higher than the previous session.Congressional Budget Office (CBO): The cost of clean energy subsidies in the inflation-proof bill is now expected to be $825 billion between 2025 and 2035, compared with an estimated cost of $270 billion between 2022 and 2031.The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $118.327 billion from 32 counterparties in fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said it was working with SpaceX and relevant authorities to confirm reports of damage to public property in the Turks and Caicos Islands.Futures traders are adjusting their bets in the Treasury market after mild inflation data and dovish comments from a Federal Reserve official. Over the past two days, the volume of open interest has changed, consistent with traders exiting short positions in two-year Treasury bonds and establishing new long positions in longer-term Treasury contracts, especially in the five-year Treasury. The shift came after consumer price inflation data released on Wednesday and comments made by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller the next day. Data released on Wednesday showed that core price increases in December were lower than economists expected; Waller said that if the trend continues, officials may cut interest rates again in the middle of the year. Morgan Stanleys interest rate strategists suggested late Thursday that long positions could be established in Treasury bonds of this term given expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March, but this is still a minority view. The swap market expects only a 6 basis point rate cut in March, which means there is about a 25% chance of a 25 basis point cut. “We haven’t ruled out a rate cut in March, but we do see it as more of a tail risk,” said Stephanie LaRosiliere, head of fixed income strategy at Invesco. “It doesn’t feel like the Fed needs to react so hastily.”

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Breakout of the Flag Indicates Potential for New Upward Movement

Daniel Rogers

Jan 11, 2023 12:00

EUR:GBP.png 

 

During the Asian session, the EUR/GBP pair is behaving erratically below the crucial barrier of 0.8840. The cross trades aimlessly due to the absence of a potential stimulus. In the meantime, it is predicted that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cease its policy tightening, as Mario Centeno, a member of the ECB's governing council, stated that Eurozone inflation may find stiff opposition in January and February, but will begin to decrease in March.

 

EUR/GBP is forming a Bullish Flag chart pattern on a four-hour time frame, which indicates consolidation followed by a breakout. Participants typically initiate long positions during the consolidation period of a chart pattern, preferring to enter an auction once a bullish bias has been established.

 

Near 0.8820, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has moved sideways, suggesting continued consolidation. While the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) is still climbing, a bullish long-term trend is indicated.

 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) fluctuates between 40.00 and 60.00 in the interim. It indicates that a probable conviction move trigger is not present.

 

A breach of the January 6 high at 0.8871 will accelerate the asset towards the round-number barrier at 0.8900, followed by the September 29 high at 0.8979.

 

In comparison, a decline below Monday's low of 0.8769 will lead to the asset's December 21 low of 0.8716. A fall in the latter will cause the asset to reach a low of 0.8691 on December 19.