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On April 6, German Berenberg Bank said that due to the strong reaction of some US trading partners to the new tariffs and the widespread uncertainty, European economic sentiment in the second quarter may be worse than we previously expected. We lowered our forecast for real GDP growth in the euro area and the UK in the second quarter by 0.1 percentage point to 0.1% and 0.2% month-on-month respectively. This will lower our annual forecast for the euro area economy in 2025 to 0.9%, and our economic forecast for the UK in 2025 and 2026 to 0.9% and 1.3%, respectively.April 6, Germanys Berenberg Bank said that tariff uncertainty has not yet reached its peak. Trumps tariff shock has laid the foundation for negotiations. As long as the results of Trumps negotiations with various countries are unknown, companies around the world may hesitate to invest in the United States or its most affected trading partners. The failure of these negotiations may lead to rounds of tit-for-tat retaliation. Trump may also add new tariffs on specific industries, including medicines, which have so far been exempt from his reciprocal tariffs. We assume that in response to rising US inflation, economic turmoil and threats of retaliation, the United States will negotiate to cancel about half of its new tariffs on Europe by the end of the second quarter. Otherwise, the bank said it would have to further lower its forecasts for US and eurozone growth.The strong earthquake in Myanmar has killed 3,564 people, injured 5,012 people, and left 210 people missing.On April 6, German Berenberg Bank said that downward pressure on US economic growth has intensified. Based on the reciprocal tariffs announced on Wednesday, the sharp decline in US stocks (US households exposure to the stock market has reached a record high), and the continued rise in uncertainty that has hindered corporate investment and employment plans, we have lowered our forecast for US real GDP growth in 2025 from 2.3% to 1.7%, and GDP in 2026 from 2.0% to 1.6%. Due to the increase in tariffs and the recent rise in inflation expectations, we expect US inflation (measured by core PCE) to reach 3.0% in 2025, compared with the previous forecast of 2.7%.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will meet with British Prime Minister Starmer in London on April 24.

ETH Aims for $1,700 as Investors Return Following a Sunday Break

Daniel Rogers

Nov 01, 2022 17:52

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Bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH) saw losses on Sunday, but concluded the week with gains of 5.42 percent and 16.63 percent, respectively. Despite the fact that expectations of a December Fed pivot provided support throughout the week, the pair experienced profit-taking on Sunday. Nevertheless, the technical indications remain optimistic, indicating additional increases in the coming week.

 

Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.89% on Sunday. BTC finished the week up 5.42% at $20,647, partially offsetting Saturday's 1.08% gain. Notably, Bitcoin closed the day at $20,000 for the sixth consecutive session, averting a drop below $20,000 for the fifth consecutive day.

 

After a volatile start to the day, BTC reached a high of $20,950 by mid-morning. BTC reached a late-day low of $20,532 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $21,092. BTC momentarily breached the First Major Support Level (S1) at $20,576 before recovering partially to $20,647.

 

You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose while trading derivatives. The trading of derivatives may not be suitable for all investors; thus, you should ensure that you fully comprehend the risks involved and, if necessary, seek independent counsel. Before entering into a transaction with us, a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be received through this website or upon request from our offices and should be reviewed. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads as low as 0 pips and a commission rate of $3.50 per 100,000 USD traded. Spreads on standard accounts begin at 1 pip with no additional commission fees. CFD index spreads begin at 0.4 points. This information is not intended for inhabitants of any country or jurisdiction where distribution or use would violate local law or regulation.

 

On Sunday, Ethereum (ETH) declined 1.79 percent. ETH closed the week up 16.63% to $1,591, partially reversing a 4.18% gain from Saturday.

 

ETH reached a mid-morning high of $1,640 after a positive start to the day. ETH dropped to a late-afternoon low of $1,576 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,673. ETH completed the day at $1,591, avoiding the First Significant Support Level (S1) at $1,557.

 

It was a calm conclusion to a bullish week, allowing investors to lock in profits prior to a significant week on the global financial markets. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. While the markets are relying for a 75-basis-point rate hike, the crypto bulls continue to be challenged by the Fed's December plans.

 

Due to the crypto market's sensitivity to US economic statistics and the Federal Reserve, the correlation between BTC and ETH and the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact.

 

The FedWatch Tool placed the likelihood of November and December rate rises at 86.7% and 45.5%, respectively, this morning. Prior to one week, the probability of a 75-basis-point increase in December stood at 54.9%.

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