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On April 6, German Berenberg Bank said that due to the strong reaction of some US trading partners to the new tariffs and the widespread uncertainty, European economic sentiment in the second quarter may be worse than we previously expected. We lowered our forecast for real GDP growth in the euro area and the UK in the second quarter by 0.1 percentage point to 0.1% and 0.2% month-on-month respectively. This will lower our annual forecast for the euro area economy in 2025 to 0.9%, and our economic forecast for the UK in 2025 and 2026 to 0.9% and 1.3%, respectively.April 6, Germanys Berenberg Bank said that tariff uncertainty has not yet reached its peak. Trumps tariff shock has laid the foundation for negotiations. As long as the results of Trumps negotiations with various countries are unknown, companies around the world may hesitate to invest in the United States or its most affected trading partners. The failure of these negotiations may lead to rounds of tit-for-tat retaliation. Trump may also add new tariffs on specific industries, including medicines, which have so far been exempt from his reciprocal tariffs. We assume that in response to rising US inflation, economic turmoil and threats of retaliation, the United States will negotiate to cancel about half of its new tariffs on Europe by the end of the second quarter. Otherwise, the bank said it would have to further lower its forecasts for US and eurozone growth.The strong earthquake in Myanmar has killed 3,564 people, injured 5,012 people, and left 210 people missing.On April 6, German Berenberg Bank said that downward pressure on US economic growth has intensified. Based on the reciprocal tariffs announced on Wednesday, the sharp decline in US stocks (US households exposure to the stock market has reached a record high), and the continued rise in uncertainty that has hindered corporate investment and employment plans, we have lowered our forecast for US real GDP growth in 2025 from 2.3% to 1.7%, and GDP in 2026 from 2.0% to 1.6%. Due to the increase in tariffs and the recent rise in inflation expectations, we expect US inflation (measured by core PCE) to reach 3.0% in 2025, compared with the previous forecast of 2.7%.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will meet with British Prime Minister Starmer in London on April 24.

Daily Crypto Market Recap - XRP Joins DOGE and BNB in the Green

Alina Haynes

Nov 01, 2022 17:55

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Monday was a mixed day for the top 10 cryptocurrencies, with dogecoin (DOGE) advancing and ethereum (ETH) falling. The broader market was pulled down by the NASDAQ Composite Index's poor month-end performance, while XRP, BNB, and DOGE enjoyed bullish days. The market capitalization of cryptocurrencies decreased by $0.506 billion to close the month at $971.9 billion. The crypto top 10 experienced a mixed Monday session. Dogecoin (DOGE) resumed its climb toward $0.20, while binance coin (BNB) and ripple (XRP) defied the trend. However, BTC touched red for the second time in four sessions despite avoiding sub-$20,000 territory for the sixth day in a row.

 

The absence of US economic indicators left the NASDAQ to exert influence. As investors prepare for Wednesday's FOMC interest rate decision and press conference, market caution has returned after last week's Fed pivot-driven gains.

 

You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose while trading derivatives. The trading of derivatives may not be suitable for all investors; thus, you should ensure that you fully comprehend the risks involved and, if necessary, seek independent counsel. Before entering into a transaction with us, a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be received through this website or upon request from our offices and should be reviewed. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads as low as 0 pips and a commission rate of $3.50 per 100,000 USD traded. Spreads on standard accounts begin at 1 pip with no additional commission fees. CFD index spreads begin at 0.4 points. This information is not intended for inhabitants of any country or jurisdiction where distribution or use would violate local law or regulation.

 

Important statistics include ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTs job vacancies, and ADP nonfarm employment change figures prior to Wednesday's decision. In light of the contradictory statistics from the previous week, we can anticipate sensitivity to the numbers.

 

Today, economic indicators in the United States include the ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTs job opportunities.

 

The markets will look beyond the headline numbers for both reports. The ISM survey will likely focus on new orders, cost pressures, and employment, while the JOLTs report will highlight quit rates.

 

While the markets have priced in a 75-basis-point November hike, December's action remains unknown.

 

The FedWatch Tool placed the probability of November and December rate hikes at 89.2% and 47.2%, respectively, prior to Tuesday's session. Prior to one week, the probability of a 75-basis-point increase in December stood at 54.9%.

 

Given the crypto market's sensitivity to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ 100 is likely to persist in the near future. The NASDAQ 100 Mini gained 26.25 points this morning. The NASDAQ Composite Index lost 1.03 percent on Monday.