• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
April 29th - Kalshis market pricing forecasts indicate that the market now sees only about a 50% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027, a significant drop from the 80-90% probability earlier this year. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets, the market is effectively pricing in a "higher interest rate environment for a longer period," suggesting a lack of confidence in near-term monetary easing.Interest Rate Decision 1. Interest Rate Level: The benchmark interest rate was kept unchanged at 2.25% for the fourth consecutive meeting, in line with market expectations. 2. Forward Guidance: Further interest rate hikes may be necessary if rising energy prices lead to widespread inflation; interest rate cuts may be necessary if the US implements "significant" new trade restrictions. 3. Impact of Oil Prices: There is no clear evidence that oil prices have been widely transmitted to the prices of goods and services. We are prepared to take action if energy prices remain high. 4. Economic Outlook: Economic growth forecasts for this year and next have been revised upwards. The impact of the Middle East war on Canadas overall economic growth is expected to be minimal. 5. Inflation Expectations: The average inflation forecast for this year has been revised upwards, while the 2027 forecast remains unchanged. Inflation is expected to peak at around 3% in April. Governors Speech 1. Forward Guidance: Interest rate hikes may be necessary if energy prices remain high, but there is currently no specific timetable. Todays statement should not be considered forward guidance. 3. Economy and Inflation: There is currently some spare capacity in the Canadian economy. Inflation expectations may not be as stable as before the pandemic, and there are risks involved. 4. Impact of Oil Prices: We do not believe that rising energy prices will quickly spread to the goods and services sector. Responses to high oil prices depend on whether upward pressure on the CPI will spread.The yield on UK 2-year government bonds rose to 4.58%, its highest level since March 27, up 13 basis points on the day.Iranian Foreign Ministry: The Iranian Foreign Minister spoke with the Polish Foreign Minister.Markets are increasing their bets on interest rate hikes by the Bank of England, with pricing in three 25-basis-point increases expected in 2026.

Bitcoin falls below $19,000 as cryptos creak under rate hike risk

Skylar Shaw

Sep 20, 2022 14:27

微信截图_20220920100240.png


On Monday, cryptocurrency prices hit new lows as a result of regulatory worries and a general investor reluctance to engage in risky assets due to impending interest rate increases.


By market value, Bitcoin, the most valuable cryptocurrency, dropped almost 5% to a three-month low of $18,387.


The second-largest cryptocurrency, ethereum, lost 3% to a two-month low of $1,285 and had lost more than 10% in the previous day. The majority of the smaller tokens had larger losses.


Over the weekend, a significant update to the Ethereum blockchain—which supports the ether token—called the Merge changed how transactions are handled and reduced energy consumption.


The value of the token has decreased amid rumors that comments made last week by Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, suggested the new structure would draw further regulation. The upgrades' surrounding trades were likewise unwound.


The regulatory outlook is guesswork, according to Matthew Dibb, COO of Singapore's Stack Funds cryptocurrency platform.


Since the Merge, the markets have shed a lot of their excitement, he said. Given the uneasy global background, he said, "It's truly been a sell-the-news sort of event," and predicted that ether will test $950 in the near future.


"From a basic and technological standpoint, the current situation does not appear promising. There isn't a clear quick positive trigger that will support these markets and inject a ton of fresh cash and liquidity, in our opinion.