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On April 27th, Barclays analysts stated in a report that with inflation remaining high, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at its meeting this week, but a rate cut is still possible this year. The analysts said, "In a highly uncertain environment, the Fed tends to remain on hold. Strong demand and still relatively high inflation support its patience, and policymakers have also signaled a diminishing confidence in further rate cuts in the near term." The analysts indicated that if inflation falls as expected, the Fed is expected to gain sufficient confidence to begin easing policy around September. "We still expect it to cut rates this year." According to LSEG data, the money market currently prices in a 10 basis point rate cut by the Fed in 2026.The Philippine Department of Energy announced that the United States has approved an extension of the exemption period for the Philippines to purchase Russian oil and petroleum products.Toyota Motor Corp. reported a sales decline in March as demand for its best-selling RAV4 model weakened ahead of a facelift, while the conflict in Iran threatened to cut off key supplies, forcing the manufacturer to potentially reduce production. The company said Monday that global sales (including those of its subsidiaries Daihatsu and Hino) fell 5.8% year-on-year to 983,126 vehicles in March, while global production rose 3.9% to 1.02 million vehicles. These figures suggest that the worlds largest automaker is managing to stay afloat despite rising prices for raw materials such as aluminum and the base cost of auto parts due to the turmoil in the Middle East. Suppliers are preparing for shortages that could last for months, even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens and shipping returns to normal. Refineries need time to resume operations, and shipping companies need to digest the congestion caused by hundreds of ships stranded in the Persian Gulf. Major supplier Denso Corp. said in March that the ongoing conflict had reduced Japans monthly auto production by approximately 20,000 vehicles.Japans leading economic indicators for February came in at 1.3% month-on-month, compared with 0.3% previously.Japans leading indicator final reading for February was 113.3, compared to 112.4 in the previous month.

Bitcoin falls below $19,000 as cryptos creak under rate hike risk

Skylar Shaw

Sep 20, 2022 14:27

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On Monday, cryptocurrency prices hit new lows as a result of regulatory worries and a general investor reluctance to engage in risky assets due to impending interest rate increases.


By market value, Bitcoin, the most valuable cryptocurrency, dropped almost 5% to a three-month low of $18,387.


The second-largest cryptocurrency, ethereum, lost 3% to a two-month low of $1,285 and had lost more than 10% in the previous day. The majority of the smaller tokens had larger losses.


Over the weekend, a significant update to the Ethereum blockchain—which supports the ether token—called the Merge changed how transactions are handled and reduced energy consumption.


The value of the token has decreased amid rumors that comments made last week by Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, suggested the new structure would draw further regulation. The upgrades' surrounding trades were likewise unwound.


The regulatory outlook is guesswork, according to Matthew Dibb, COO of Singapore's Stack Funds cryptocurrency platform.


Since the Merge, the markets have shed a lot of their excitement, he said. Given the uneasy global background, he said, "It's truly been a sell-the-news sort of event," and predicted that ether will test $950 in the near future.


"From a basic and technological standpoint, the current situation does not appear promising. There isn't a clear quick positive trigger that will support these markets and inject a ton of fresh cash and liquidity, in our opinion.

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