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On April 4, according to people familiar with the matter, US Republicans are considering creating a new tax bracket for people with incomes of $1 million or more to offset part of the cost of the tax bill, which is in stark contrast to the Republican Partys decades-long opposition to tax increases. People familiar with the matter said the new top tax rate would be between 39% and 40%. Trump administration officials and allies on Capitol Hill are beginning to draft a tax plan, hoping to pass it in the coming months. In addition, Republicans are also considering raising the top tax rate on incomes over $626,350 from the current 37% to 39.6%, which means the top tax rate will return to the level set by former President Obama.US President Trump: Britain is happy with US tariffs.Foreign central banks held U.S. Treasuries worth -$1.76 billion in the week ending March 27, compared with -$14.896 billion in the previous week.Trump trade adviser Navarro: Tariffs are to protect the American people and increase revenue.April 4th, as a new wave of tariffs upends global markets, the dollar has wiped out all of its gains since Trump won the election last November. "The dollar bear market has arrived and its roaring," said Paresh Upadhyaya, director of fixed income and currency strategy at Amundi. He added that the dollar could fall 10% this year as the United States "teeters on the brink of recession." This is in stark contrast to earlier this year, when Trumps policy plans such as tax cuts and tariffs were seen as a reason to bet on a rebound in the dollar. In February, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant said Trumps policies were "completely consistent" with a strong dollar, confirming the governments strong dollar stance. "We may be in the early stages of a structural sell-off in the dollar," said Ed Al-Hussainy, strategist at Columbia Threadneedle Investment.

As the US labor market strengthens and China CPI is anticipated, AUD / USD Appears Vulnerable Near 0.6600

Alina Haynes

Mar 09, 2023 13:59

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The AUD / USD pair is displaying a back-and-forth pattern during the Asian session below the round-level resistance of 0.6600. The Australian asset appears vulnerable at the same time that the risk-aversion theme has been strengthened by intensifying fears of a U.S. recession and expectations of higher rates from the Federal Reserve (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are displaying nominal losses following a fragile recovery move. It seems that the dead cat recovery move by the 500-US stocks basket is tapering away. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned sideways above 105.20 after a modest correction; however, the upside appears favored amid positive U.S. Employment data.

 

The robust addition of new jobs to the US labor market in February as a result of rising demand has validated Fed policymakers' concerns about persistent inflation. The United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported an increase of 242K positions in February, exceeding both the expected increase of 200K and the previous release of 119K. As a result, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated, "The Fed is prepared to announce more rates to reduce inflation."

 

The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will be released on Friday, will provide investors with greater insight into the state of the US labor market. In addition, the dissemination of the Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Wages will be crucial.

 

The Australian Dollar has been under intensified pressure following the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) fifth consecutive 25 basis point (bps) rate hike and RBA Governor Philip Lowe's consideration of a policy-tightening suspension in response to a one-time blip in the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI).

 

Investors are currently focused on China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) (February) data. It is anticipated that China's annual CPI will decrease to 1.9% from the previous release of 2.1%. The monthly CPI in China has been reduced to 0.2% from 0.8% previously. If inflation declines, the Chinese government and the People's Bank of China (PBOC) may be forced to infuse more liquidity into the economy.


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