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According to sources, Anthropic is expected to release its IPO prospectus at the end of September and begin its IPO promotion as early as mid-October.On September 5th, U.S. Commerce Secretary Andrew Lutnick was appointed to review transactions between the Pentagon and companies under Cerberus Capital Management to address potential conflicts of interest. According to U.S. officials, the Department of Defense has assigned Lutnick to review these transactions. Cerberus is a private equity firm founded by Deputy Secretary of Defense Stephen Feinberg, with significant investments in defense and national security, including several companies that have received Pentagon contracts. After joining the government, Feinberg transferred his business assets to a trust for his adult children. Reports indicate that Lutnicks review of arrangements involving Cerberus is intended to exceed existing Department of Defense ethical guidelines. However, Lutnick previously led Cantor Fitzgerald, which has had a business relationship with Cerberus for over a decade and helped manage related investment funds. Some of Cerberus defense subsidiaries recently secured Pentagon contracts, including a $10 billion, 26-year Army helicopter pilot training contract for M1 Support Services, and a $90 million defense contract for hypersonic testing company Stratolaunch. It remains unclear whether Lutnik reviewed these transactions, and the specific scope of his review.Fitch: The rating upgrade reflects the strengthening of Portugals public finances, including the expected downward trend in government debt.Barclays: Oil outflows from the Middle East are higher than in the early stages of the conflict, but the market remains in a state of shortage, and the inventory buffer is now greatly reduced.According to Al Arabiya TV: Lebanese official data shows that Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon tonight have killed three people.

As oil prices fall and investors become risk-averse before the BOC meeting, USD/CAD rises to 1.3200

Daniel Rogers

Sep 07, 2022 16:50

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The USD/CAD has risen for three consecutive trading days, and it is currently trading near 1.3190, which is the weekly high. To appease buyers near the highest levels in two months prior to the Bank of Canada (BOC) Monetary Policy Meeting, the Loonie pair has recently been applauding rising rates and a risk-aversion wave.

 

Declining prices of WTI crude oil, Canada's principal export, further strengthen the USD/CAD exchange rate as speculators anticipate the fifth BOC rate hike in 2022.

 

WTI crude oil prices have dropped to their lowest level since late January, down 1.70 percent to $85.40 as of press time on the back of recession worries and a stronger US dollar. Market perceptions of the latest production cut by OPEC and its partners, including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+, could add to the downward pressure on commodity prices.

 

In addition to the covid-related pessimism in China and the European energy crisis, improved US data strengthened the hawkish Fedbets and boosted the US dollar.

 

In the United States, the ISM Services PMI rose to 56.7 from 55.1 and above market expectations. In contrast to initial expectations of 45.0 and 44.1, the S&P Global Composite PMI and Services PMI both fell to 44.6 and 43.7, respectively. Still, following the news, the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to a new 20-year high. There is now a 72.0% possibility of a 50 bps rate hike by the Fed in September, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool, up from 57.0% the day before.

 

The three-day surge in rates for 10-year US Treasuries to 3.25 percent is the highest it has been since June 15. The S&P 500 futures have also dropped to a new seven-week low, falling 0.55 percent intraday to 3,890.

 

The stronger U.S. dollar, declining oil prices, and reduced risk appetite should keep USD/CAD bulls optimistic despite the BOC's expected base rate increase of 75 basis points to 3.25 percent. Consolidating recent gains may be possible for the Canadian currency, however, thanks to hawkish comments from the BOC Rate Statement and softer Fedspeak.