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Futures News, May 5th - According to foreign media reports, Malaysian palm oil futures rose for the second consecutive trading day, supported by a weaker ringgit and market optimism regarding Malaysias biodiesel program. However, declines in crude oil and soybean oil prices limited further upside. On the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (BMD), the benchmark palm oil contract for July delivery steadily rose in early trading. In the crude oil market, prices, which had previously surged sharply, retreated significantly due to signs of potential easing in the situation regarding the blockade of key Middle Eastern waterways. The weakening of crude oil futures prices directly reduced the attractiveness of palm oil as a substitute for biodiesel feedstock.On May 5th, it was reported that Apple (AAPL.O) has held exploratory discussions with Intel and Samsung Electronics regarding the production of main processors for its devices. According to sources familiar with the matter, Apple has held initial talks with Intel about using the companys chip manufacturing services. Meanwhile, Apple executives have also visited a Samsung advanced chip factory under construction in Texas. The sources indicated that neither effort has yet generated any orders, and the collaboration with these two suppliers remains in its very early stages. The sources added that Apple has concerns about using technology outside of TSMC and may ultimately not actually partner with other companies. Spokespeople for Apple, Intel, Samsung, and TSMC declined to comment.Israel Defense Forces: In two separate incidents over the past few hours, Hezbollah fired several mortar shells at areas where the IDF is operating in southern Lebanon. No IDF personnel have been reported injured.On May 5th, State Street Global Advisors strategists stated in a report that gold prices are likely to rise as long as market consensus and the Federal Reserves forward guidance point to future easing policies. Currency markets and forex traders may be awaiting a viable (US-Iran) peace agreement to re-pricing in Fed rate cuts. They believe that gold can perform well even if the Fed keeps rates unchanged, provided forward guidance indicates an imminent rate cut. However, a continued hawkish shift in the monetary policy outlook could create headwinds for gold, at least in the short term. Furthermore, if oil prices remain at $100 per barrel, becoming the new normal, it could limit golds upward momentum towards $5,000 per ounce.Fitch Ratings: Iranian conflict widens profit gap among Asia-Pacific chemical producers.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

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When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.