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June 28 - Neuberger portfolio manager Joseph Purtell said, "In the short term, the dollar is likely to remain strong due to rising US real interest rates." He believes the dollar is poised to break out of its six- to nine-month range, but added that in the long term, the dollar may weaken given structural issues such as the fiscal sustainability of the US government.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a magnitude 6 earthquake off the east coast of Honshu, Japan.On June 28th, Gavekal Research stated in a report: "In 2025, the market is widely concerned that Trump will weaken the independence of US monetary policy, nominate a political puppet as Federal Reserve Chairman, force the Fed to cut interest rates, and cause inflation to remain persistently above the Feds 2% target." "Developments over the past seven months have made this scenario unlikely." These developments include the appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed and the re-election of 11 of the 12 regional Fed presidents. At Warshs first meeting earlier this month, the Fed emphasized its commitment to price stability, surprising some market participants who had expected a more dovish stance from the new chairman.On June 28, US President Donald Trump nominated Lance Schroyer to be the new Director of US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Trump stated that Schroyer, a former Oklahoma State Trooper and US Marine, has extensive experience working with ICE and is adept at combating illegal immigration and deporting undocumented immigrants. Trump also urged the Senate to confirm Schroyers nomination as soon as possible.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a 5.6-magnitude earthquake off the coast of Aragua, Venezuela.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

 EUR:JPY.png

 

When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.