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The main Shanghai gold futures contract fell 2.00% during the day, currently trading at 973.10 yuan/gram.June 1st - Gennady Gobleich, Head of U.S. Interest Rates Strategy at Deutsche Bank, said: "Over the past week, the market has been very optimistic that a U.S.-Iran deal has been reached. This makes the market extremely sensitive to any negative news, especially todays news reports that Iran has stopped dialogue with the United States."The main Shanghai silver futures contract fell by 2.00% during the day, currently trading at 17,897.00 yuan/kg.June 1st - US Treasury prices fell as signs of a stalemate in peace talks between the US and Iran emerged, fueling concerns that high energy costs would exacerbate inflation and prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Mondays sell-off led to a rise in yields across the $31 trillion US Treasury market, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising by about 6 basis points to nearly 4.5%, while oil prices rose by more than 7%. The two-year Treasury yield, most sensitive to Fed policy expectations, also rose by about 6 basis points to 4.07%. This followed Irans suspension of dialogue with the US through intermediaries in protest against Israels actions. Traders increased their expectations that the Feds next move would be a rate hike. Swap markets showed that traders had fully priced in a rate hike as early as March 2027 and considered a 50% probability of a rate hike as early as October.Crude oil futures contracts rose in the short term, with SC crude oil extending its gains to 5.08%, currently trading at 614.5 yuan/barrel. Low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) rose by 4.65%, currently trading at 4861 yuan/ton. Fuel oil rose by 3.86%, currently trading at 3986 yuan/ton. Asphalt rose by 4.06%, currently trading at 4409 yuan/ton.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

 EUR:JPY.png

 

When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.