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July 7th - The Hong Kong Gold Central Clearing and Settlement System officially commenced trial operations. It is understood that the Hong Kong Financial Services and the Shanghai Gold Exchange launched the first phase of "physical connectivity" today, based on the cooperation agreement signed in January this year. HKG Clearing has applied to become an international member of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and opened a physical gold account. Market participants can choose to deposit their physical gold holdings into designated warehouses in Hong Kong on the Shanghai Gold Exchanges international board through this account. Through two-way transfers, market participants can participate in both the Shanghai Gold Exchanges on-exchange market and the Hong Kong over-the-counter market, facilitating the flow of physical gold between the HKG Clearing system and the Shanghai Gold Exchange system, effectively connecting the gold markets of Hong Kong and Shanghai.On July 7th, AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver listed a list of risks facing the market over the next year, with one key risk focusing on the White House. He stated that after the upcoming midterm elections, US President Trump will be less constrained and may use this window of opportunity before the 2028 election to escalate overseas military operations, including renewed actions against Iran, and potentially involving Greenland and Cuba. Oliver added that this risk is particularly concerning if Trump loses control of both houses of Congress in November.Futures News, July 7th: OPEC+ decided to continue increasing production over the weekend, marking the first such decision in six months. Although the increase has been slowed in the short term due to the Straits dispute, Saudi Arabias willingness to increase production remains strong, leading to a predominantly bearish market sentiment and a continued weak oil price trend. Zhuochuang Information predicts that continued attention will be paid to the actual implementation of Saudi Arabias production increase. With the Straits issue gradually resolved and tanker transport efficiency improving, oil prices will face upward pressure, maintaining an overall bearish outlook.July 7th – The 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference and High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence will be held in Shanghai from July 17th to 20th. Sun Xiaobo, Coordinator for Artificial Intelligence Affairs at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, stated at a press conference in Shanghai on July 7th that this year, dozens of countries and international organizations will be invited to send high-level representatives to the conference to exchange in-depth views on cutting-edge and key issues concerning the development and governance of artificial intelligence during the High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs will also arrange a collective exhibition for delegations from various countries and international organizations, allowing them to experience firsthand Chinas achievements in the development and governance of artificial intelligence and to directly feel the vitality and dynamism of Shanghai as an international metropolis.Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China: We will support more high-quality companies to list and issue bonds in Hong Kong, and the annual net investment quota for the Bond Connect "Southbound" program will be increased to 800 billion yuan.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

 EUR:JPY.png

 

When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.