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Alibaba (09988.HK) will announce its results for the quarter ending March 2026 and fiscal year 2026 on May 13.On April 29th, Julius Baer analyst Norbert Rücker stated that the challenge facing oil-producing countries is not the UAEs exit from OPEC, but rather a broader structural shift in the oil market. He added that US shale oil and South American deepwater oil illustrate a new landscape in the oil market characterized by stagnation and intensified competition. The UAEs exit from OPEC aligns with the analysts long-term view that ample supply and increased competition will anchor oil prices at high levels above $60 per barrel. The geopolitical consequences of the exit remain unclear. However, Rücker stated that this move comes at a time of larger-scale restructuring in regional relations and "may help find solutions to ongoing conflicts."On April 29th, ANZ Bank stated in a report that the UAEs exit from OPEC will have a limited short-term impact on oil prices, as prices are driven more by geopolitical, inventory, and logistical factors than by institutional changes. Furthermore, ANZ noted that even without OPEC+ production targets, the UAEs ability to convert production capacity into exportable supply will still be affected by the operating environment around key chokepoints in the Gulf region.Futures News, April 29th: Greige Fabric Inventory: As of April 29th, greige fabric weaving inventory was approximately 32.7 days. The industry generally maintains a cautious approach to greige fabric inventory control, and due to volatile raw material prices, purchases are proceeding cautiously, resulting in a continued decline in greige fabric inventory. Both domestic and international trade orders are weak, and factories are currently primarily focused on fulfilling previous orders, hence the operating rate this week dropped to 61.8%. Greige Fabric/Material Trading: According to data monitoring and analysis of feedback from 350 price-collecting units, the Ministry of Commerces China•Shengze Silk and Chemical Fiber Index continued to rise on April 29th, with the chemical fiber fabric price index closing at 101.68 points, an increase of 0.05 points compared to the previous trading day.Barclays said late Tuesday that the UAEs decision to withdraw from OPEC will enable the country to achieve faster oil supply growth after emerging from the current crisis. As OPECs fourth-largest oil producer, the UAE announced on Tuesday that it will withdraw from the organization on May 1. Barclays stated that this announcement assures potential investors that the countrys economic recovery will not be constrained by OPEC+ production quotas. The bank added that tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains sluggish, with the three-day moving average of crude oil and product tankers, including those carrying liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), around 3-4 vessels, a decrease of approximately 95% compared to last year.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

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When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.