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The Ukrainian military says it attacked an oil refinery in Russia’s Saratov region last night.On March 21, He Lifeng, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, met with executives from renowned multinational corporations including HSBC, UBS, Louis Dreyfus, Siemens Healthineers, Schneider Electric, Rio Tinto, Prudential, Investor Services, Standard Chartered, Syzygium, and T.C. Pharmaceutical Industries at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse. He Lifeng stated that Chinas economy is currently progressing steadily and towards new and better development. During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, China will unswervingly expand high-level opening-up and promote high-quality development, which will create broader market opportunities for multinational corporations. He welcomed multinational corporations to increase their investment in China and continuously deepen mutually beneficial cooperation.On March 21, a spokesperson for the Hatem Anbia Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces stated that the United States and Israel are now targeting private vessels and passenger transport in the Persian Gulf. The Iranian Armed Forces warned the US and Israel that if such actions occur again, Iran will take strong and reciprocal retaliatory action.On March 21, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that at 3:45 a.m. that day, Irans new air defense system struck down Israels third F-16 fighter jet in central Iran. It is claimed that in the first three weeks of the conflict, Iran successfully intercepted and destroyed more than 200 aircraft, including drones, cruise missiles, refueling aircraft, and top-tier fighter jets.On March 21st, HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate at 3.50%-3.75% at its March meeting, hinting at a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent inflation and rising geopolitical risks have created uncertainty for the Fed. We maintain our previous view that the Fed will keep rates unchanged in 2026 and 2027. Inflation risks have increased, particularly due to soaring energy prices, while labor market risks have slightly decreased. Energy price volatility and geopolitical risks should continue to support safe-haven demand and a stronger dollar.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

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When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.