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April 20th - According to the unified accounting results for regional GDP, the provinces GDP reached 775.43 billion yuan in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 3.0% at constant prices. By industry, the primary industry achieved an added value of 56.923 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%; the secondary industry achieved an added value of 249.351 billion yuan, an increase of 0.1%; and the tertiary industry achieved an added value of 469.156 billion yuan, an increase of 4.6%.April 20 - According to a statement released by U.S. Customs and Border Protection, the United States will officially launch its tariff refund system on April 20 (Eastern Time) to refund $166 billion (approximately 1.13 trillion yuan) in tariffs to importers.April 20th - This morning, Hubei Province released its economic performance report for the first quarter of 2026. Statistics show that from January to March this year, Hubeis GDP reached 1,429.457 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%.On April 20th, amidst increased uncertainty due to the Iran war, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, after attending an IMF meeting, did not commit to an April rate hike in advance, but still released some hawkish signals, suggesting that a June rate hike, if not this month, remains a possibility. While market attention focused on his lack of explicit indication of an April rate hike, Ueda did not downplay the possibility, emphasizing the need to closely monitor the situation in the Middle East and its impact on the Japanese economy. Three sources familiar with the Bank of Japans thinking indicated that, with both possibilities remaining, policymakers might hesitate until the last minute to decide whether to raise rates at the April 27-28 meeting, depending in part on the progress of negotiations to end the war between the US and Iran. The sources stated, "Given the high degree of uncertainty, it is too early to make a decision now regarding the policy meeting more than a week from now."On April 20th, gold prices edged lower on Monday due to a stronger dollar. Meanwhile, news of a renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz boosted oil prices and fueled inflation concerns. Ilya Spivak, Global Head of Macro Affairs at Tastylive, stated, “The market’s optimism regarding a ceasefire agreement in the US-Iran war appears to have been dashed last week, hence the decline in gold prices today. This has reignited the ‘wartime trade’ pattern common since the beginning of the conflict. Rising oil prices, in turn, have impacted inflation expectations and pushed up yields and the dollar exchange rate.”

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

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When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.