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May 6th - According to data released by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Wednesday, wage growth in the Eurozone is expected to slow this year, despite rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict. The ECBs wage tracker shows wages are projected to rise by 2.6% this year, following a 3% increase in 2025. This figure for 2026 remains unchanged from the March forecast. ECB officials have emphasized that the outcome of wage negotiations is a key indicator for determining whether rising energy prices will trigger a sustained rise in inflation above its 2% target. ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that the ECB will closely monitor the data and conduct in-depth analysis of the wage agreement and collective bargaining agreement to be negotiated soon. The ECB kept its key interest rate unchanged last week but hinted that it might raise rates at its June meeting if the upward momentum in inflation since the start of the conflict in late February continues. The tracker indicates that there are currently no clear signs that the wage agreement will exacerbate inflation this year.European Central Bank: Wage growth is expected to reach 2.6% in the third and fourth quarters of 2026.On May 6th, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, stated that the final Eurozone PMI data for April confirmed previous signs of a recession. The ongoing Middle East conflict disrupted the recovery momentum that was forming before the conflict, and the Eurozone economy slipped into a downturn in April. While the data so far only shows a slight 0.1% decline in quarterly GDP, there is no indication that the crisis will ease in the short term, meaning the economic downturn could deepen soon. So far, the service sector has been hit the hardest, with consumer-facing industries particularly strained by the double whammy of soaring energy prices and travel disruptions. However, while the manufacturing sector has shown resilience so far, this reflects stockpiling by businesses fearing further price increases and supply shortages. This not only means that manufacturing growth will be subdued in the coming months as the stockpiling effect subsides, but also, if these supply and price concerns materialize, it will have a ripple effect on service sector businesses that rely on inputs for manufactured goods, especially food, and of course, refined fuels.German Engineering Federation: Orders for German construction machinery increased by 27% year-on-year in March.German Engineering Federation: Orders for German construction machinery increased by 4% year-on-year from January to March.

According to Australian Retailer Woolworths, Inflation Is Driving Home Dining

Haiden Holmes

Feb 22, 2023 14:10

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Woolworths Group Ltd, a leading Australian retailer, said that an inflation-driven move away from dining out aided in boosting sales, driving its shares higher after its half-year earnings above expectations despite cost challenges.


Since COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020 prompted supermarket hoarding, Woolworths and its smaller competitor Coles Group (OTC:CLEGF) Ltd have witnessed significant fluctuations in Australian customer behavior. As lockdowns were lifted in 2021, and again in 2022, sales slowed as rising energy and labor costs pushed up shelf prices.


Woolworths said on Wednesday that cost-of-living constraints, including skyrocketing electricity prices and nine interest rate rises since May, are now beginning to benefit stores as consumers choose for in-home consumption.


Since the beginning of 2023, food sales have increased 6.5%, roughly in step with inflation, compared to just 2.4% in the six months leading up to the end of December, the business reported.


"The shift from eating in restaurants to eating at home has become more evident," said Chief Executive Brad Banducci to reporters.


He stated that a growing number of clients from all demographic groups are now preparing meals at home since eating out is becoming more expensive.


The company's net profit before significant items increased 14% to A$907 million ($622 million), above the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of A$877 million. The majority of the increase was attributable to employee back pay linked to a prior salaries miscalculation.


Similar to Tuesday's announcement of Coles' interim results, Woolworths' profit increase was aided by a dramatic drop in COVID-19-related expenditures.


At midday, Woolworths shares were up 2%, compared to a 0.3% decline in the overall index, as analysts hailed the potential of profit margin expansion at a business vulnerable to rising supplier prices.


Phillip Kimber, a retail analyst at E&P Financial, wrote in a client note, "The momentum in the core Australian Food industry remains strong, with sales growth rates above expectations in early 2H23."


Woolworths declared an interim dividend of 46 Australian cents per share, up from 39 Australian cents per share the previous year.