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July 20th - On July 19th, the total crude oil production of the Bayan Oilfield in Bayannur, Inner Mongolia, exceeded 6 million tons. This marks the second time in just seven months that it has surpassed the 5 million ton mark, following its achievement in December 2025. In the first half of the year, the oilfield produced over 870,000 tons of crude oil, completing 51% of its annual plan. Daily production remained stable at 4,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 20%, contributing nearly one-third of the daily output of the North China Oilfield.On July 20th, in an interview published by Iranian media on July 19th, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi revealed that during indirect negotiations between Iran and the United States before the Israeli military attack on Iran last June, the US attempted to "buy Iran" by making numerous promises, but he rejected them on the spot. Araqchi said he stated immediately that Iran would not sell its enriched uranium because it was obtained through 20 years of sanctions endured by the Iranian people and the sacrifices of Iranian scientists. He emphasized that the United States could neither threaten nor buy Iran.July 20th - Hedge funds short positions in the New Zealand dollar have reached a record high, as they believe the recent rebound in global oil prices could exacerbate economic pressures in New Zealand. Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows that in the week ending July 14th, leveraged funds increased their net short positions in the New Zealand dollar by 1,907 contracts to 29,582 contracts, the highest level since 2006. This bearish stance contrasts with the recent rebound in the New Zealand dollar, which was primarily driven by the Reserve Bank of New Zealands hawkish policies. Furthermore, investor concerns about New Zealands energy-importing economy are also reflected in the short bets, as escalating tensions between the US and Iran have caused oil prices to break through $90 per barrel again. The oil price shock could further worsen the countrys trade balance; last month, the country barely avoided a trade deficit, while domestic consumer spending declined.Wesfarmers Australia: Founders an artificial intelligence partnership with Microsoft (MSFT.O).Shanghai Auntie (02589.HK) once surged by more than 50% during the session, but the gains have now fallen back to 29%.

AUD / USD Rises To 0.6640 As Australian Employment Improves

Daniel Rogers

Mar 16, 2023 14:12

As a consequence of the upbeat Employment data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the AUD/USD pair has extended its recovery to near 0.6640. The Australian economy added 64,600 new employment in February, exceeding the consensus estimate of 48,500. The Australian economy reported 11.5K unemployment in January. From estimates of 3.6% and the previous issuance of 3.7%, the unemployment rate has been further reduced to 3.5%.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is drafting a plan to reduce inflation, will encounter additional challenges as a consequence of positive Australian labor market data. As a larger labor force in action would exacerbate inflationary pressures, RBA Governor Philip Lowe may continue to target higher rates.

 

Earlier, Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar) data indicated that inflation projections for the next 12 months decreased to 5.0% from the consensus of 5.4% and the previous release of 5.1%.

 

In the meantime, S&P500 futures are showing modest gains during the Asian session, which could be considered a dead cat bounce following the volatility on Wednesday. The debacle of Credit Suisse following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has increased the risk of global banking turmoil. According to one school of thought, the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other western central banks' rapid and precipitous interest rate increases contributed to the collapse of the global banking system.

 

As investors anticipate a less hawkish interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is looking to extend its correction below 104.60. After a fleeting upswing in January, the United States' inflation has retreated, dampening expectations for a hawkish stance from Fed chair Jerome Powell.