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January 21st - Market concerns about a significant increase in Japanese government spending and a resurgence of inflation are causing a break in the traditional correlation between the yen and the dollar and government bond yields, prompting HSBC strategists to change their forecasts for the yens performance in the coming months. HSBC analysts believe there are two catalysts for the current "sudden revaluation" of the yen: first, a substantial rise in Japanese inflation starting in 2022; and second, Sanae Takashis inauguration as president in October. HSBC now predicts the yen will fall to 160 yen to the dollar by mid-year, rather than strengthening to 150 yen as previously expected. Strategists point out that complicating matters is the real possibility that Japanese authorities might intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the yen if it falls below 160. Analysts believe several potential factors could halt the yens recent decline—the most plausible of which (such as a slowdown in the US economy) is beyond the control of Japanese policymakers.Pan American Silver (PAAS.O): Equity silver production is projected to be between 25 million and 27 million ounces in 2026, and equity gold production is projected to be between 700,000 and 750,000 ounces in 2026.Netflix (NFLX.O) CFO: The company is seeing a range of very attractive investment opportunities and plans to "slightly" increase spending this year. This years spending growth will be higher than in 2025.According to US media MS NOW, US Vice President Vance will hold a roundtable meeting with leaders from various sectors in Minneapolis.Rio Tinto (RIO.N): The average realized price of copper in 2025 is $4.57/lb, and the average realized price of aluminum is $3,318/ton.

A decrease in the EUR/JPY exchange rate is about to occur as recession fears grow. It is now over 138.00

Alina Haynes

Jul 07, 2022 14:43

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The EUR/JPY currency pair is doing poorly during the Tokyo session. The cross is bouncing around a narrow range of 138.26-138.60 after recovering from its low of 137.27 on Wednesday. Generally speaking, bears are in charge of the asset. The pair has fallen during the last week as a result of failing to overcome the 144.00 resistance level, which has been a barrier for four weeks.

 

The chance of a recession in the eurozone has significantly increased as a result of the Bank of England's (BOE) negative assessment of the global economy. The BOE believes that price volatility in raw materials and energy might lead to economic disruptions in the future. The negative outlook of a Western central bank is fundamentally harmful to the FX market. The shocks to the economy would undoubtedly harm the eurozone as well because it forbids the import of Russian oil.

 

Along with fears of a recession, the common currency's bulls are also plagued by disputes over gas supplies between the economies of Europe and the United Kingdom. The British government has said that it would stop exporting gas to Europe if shortages develop there in the upcoming months.

 

The underperformance of the wage-price notion in Tokyo worries the Bank of Japan (BOJ). In order to keep inflation rates close to target levels, according to the BOJ, pay increases are required. If not, families would face greater price pressures, which would result in a decrease in the overall volume of demand.


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