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Bank of America Global Research: Raises its price target for Alphabet (GOOG.O) from $370 to $430.Bank of America Global Research: Raises its price target for Amazon (AMZN.O) from $298 to $310.1. Commerzbank: Expects the Bank of England to hold rates steady. Market expectations for a rate hike before the end of the year appear excessive, posing a risk to the pound. 2. BNP Paribas: Expects the Bank of England to hold rates steady. Inflationary pressures from high energy prices may prompt the Bank of England to raise rates twice in 2026. 3. MUFG: Expects the Bank of England to hold rates steady, but will hint at future rate hikes due to strengthening UK economic growth momentum and underlying inflationary pressures. 4. UBS: Expects the Bank of England to hold rates steady. The meeting will focus on evidence of second-round effects, such as changes in wage and pricing behavior, and how monetary policy should respond. 5. Berenberg: Expects the Bank of England to keep rates unchanged throughout 2026, followed by a resumption of rate cuts, as a weak UK economy and a slowing labor market will curb soaring inflation. 6. Morgan Stanley: Expects the Bank of England to hold rates steady by an 8-1 vote and will provide policy guidance on the possible direction of future rate decisions. 7. ING: Expects the Bank of England to maintain its interest rate unchanged at an 8-to-1 vote and keep the options open, neither increasing bets on rate hikes nor actively suppressing expectations. 8. PIMCO: Expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged until 2026, but may raise rates to prevent inflation from surging if energy prices rise further.April 30th - According to US financial media Semafor, two White House officials revealed that US President Trump will sign an executive order on Thursday aimed at expanding access for employees whose employers do not offer retirement savings plans. The US government will combine this measure with the so-called "Savers Match" program. This program stems from legislation in 2022, which stipulates that starting next year, the federal government will provide up to $1,000 in matching funds for retirement savings plan contributions from employees earning less than $35,000 annually. One official stated that Thursdays executive order aims to address this issue, instructing the Treasury Department to launch a new website, TrumpIRA.gov, before the "Savers Match" program takes effect in January. Under the executive order, employees can use the website to filter private sector retirement savings plans based on factors such as cost, minimum contribution amount, and minimum balance to register for an eligible account and receive matching funds when eligible.On April 30th, Diego Iscaro, Head of European Economics at S&P Global Markets Intelligence, stated that the European Central Banks (ECB) interest rate hike is increasingly becoming a "when" rather than a "whether" question. Eurozone overall inflation rose to 3.0% in April from 2.6% in March, exceeding market expectations. He pointed out that the latest data poses a real challenge to the ECB. Even in an optimistic scenario, inflation will continue to rise in the coming months. Iscaro stated that rising prices are rapidly pushing up inflation expectations. "The market consensus is that the ECB will keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting later today, but the discussion is increasingly shifting from whether the policy rate will rise to when it will rise."

Will The Stock Market Crash Soon? This Leading Indicator Says Not Yet

Skylar Shaw

Jun 13, 2022 12:20

The S&P 500 plummeted 5% in only two days last week, marking the second biggest selloff since January 2022. After a break below the crucial support, the selloff escalated to the downside, as seen in the failure scenario in the video at the bottom of this piece.


Identifying The Demand Zone Using The Wyckoff Method


Despite the bearish characteristics in the S&P 500 last week, it is critical to understand how the smart money accumulates or distributes shares off the bottom in May 2022 in order to predict if a stock market crash similar to the global financial crisis in 2008 will occur soon, as explained in the video.


By properly understanding the leading indication – volume, demand may be discovered around the swing low around 3900 using the Wyckoff approach.


Although the highlighted bars in May 2022 were accompanied by considerable volume, they did not result in substantial negative movement. According to Wyckoff's law of efforts vs. outcomes, increased attempts (volume) to drive down the price but only making little downward progress indicated the existence of demand.


Between 3800 and 3960, a demand zone based on these four bars has been noted in green rectangle. The two succeeding up waves (as shown by the blue arrow) stuck at the axis zone, where the prior support-turned-resistance between 4100-4200 had previously stalled. As seen by the reduced volumes, this indicated a lack of strong demand to drive the price past the barrier (annotated in blue declining arrow).


Within the trading range of 4070-4200, there was possibility for supply absorption. However, instead of robust demand to launch the breakout to the higher, there was merely value buying around the support zone (4070-4100).