• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Market news: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh told staff in a memo that he would engage in dialogue on Fed reform with a “clear eye” while adhering to the Fed’s best traditions.According to sources familiar with the matter, Broadcom (AVGO.O) has pledged the largest share of funding guarantees for Anthropic’s record-breaking microchip financing deal, reducing the debt costs of the $36 billion transaction.① Iran 1. Iran says repairs to damaged energy facilities are progressing faster than expected. 2. Explosions were heard on Qeshm Island in southern Iran. ② United States 1. US media reports a US pilot was shot down twice: once by friendly fire and once by an Iranian attack. 2. The US military claims to have attacked an Iranian oil tanker, rendering it unable to navigate. 3. US Central Command: Since imposing a blockade on all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports on April 13, the US military has crippled six merchant ships and forced another 122 to change course. ③ Israel 1. Israeli Defense Minister Katz: If northern Israel is attacked again, strikes will be launched against the suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon. The US has "approved" the policy of striking the Beirut suburbs. 2. Israel clarifies reports of a phone call between Trump and Netanyahu. Trump did not comment on the imprisonment issue, nor did he claim that Netanyahu is hated globally. 3. Israeli Foreign Ministry: Despite yesterdays renewed ceasefire announcement, Hezbollah continues to violate the ceasefire agreement. Just last night, Hezbollah launched multiple missile and drone attacks from Lebanon into Israeli communities. 4. The Israeli Prime Minister vowed the Iranian regime would fall. 5. Netanyahu: Iran will not be allowed to threaten Israels survival. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian media: Applications for passage permits to the Strait of Hormuz are now open. ⑤ Ceasefire negotiations 1. According to Irans Meh News Agency: Sources say Irans final text is still under discussion in Tehran and has not yet been responded to by the US. 2. Iranian media: Information exchange between Iran and the US has been interrupted for several days. 3. According to Israels i24News: Israeli and Lebanese officials are holding their fourth round of talks in Washington, D.C. 4. Rubio: The US and Iran are still talking, and it is uncertain when an agreement will be reached. 5. According to AFP: Hezbollah in Lebanon will not accept a "partial ceasefire" with Israel. 6. Trump demands a stronger commitment from Iran on the nuclear issue. 7. Trump: "The US and Iran stopped talking a few days ago" is fake news; dialogue between the two sides has been ongoing. ⑥ Other situations: 1. Bahrains Ministry of the Interior: Due to the current security tensions, citizens are prohibited from traveling to Iran and Iraq. 2. The UAE plans to build an oil product pipeline that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz.Canadian Minister for Trade with the United States, Robert LeBlanc: We are confident in discussing rules of origin for automobiles with the United States and Mexico.Canadian Minister for Trade with the United States, Robert LeBlanc: We are in bilateral discussions with Mexico regarding the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

What is the impact of the Fed’s interest rate cut?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

What impact will the Fed's interest rate cuts bring to the global capital market? 

1) US stocks: short-term positive, but the US stocks still have adjustment pressure.  But the long-term trend of US stocks depends on the extent of the recession.

 2) US debt: support the bull market . The trend of 10-year US Treasury interest rates is basically the same as the rhythm of interest rate cuts, but will react in advance.

 3) US dollar: bearish dollar index. The main factor affecting the US dollar index is the relative strength of the US economy with other major countries, especially the Eurozone. The current cycle of the US economy lags behind other countries. In the future, as the US economy accelerates and the Eurozone enters the bottoming stage, the US dollar will have depreciation pressure, and the Fed’s expected interest rate cut will cause the US dollar to depreciate earlier.

 4) Gold: may caused the price of gold to rise, bull market can be expected. The price of gold is affected by the risk aversion and the US dollar.Also, the depreciation of the US dollar is good for gold. On the other hand, the safe-haven value of gold will be greatly reduced compared to the previous rounds of interest rate cuts. 

5) Emerging market stocks: short-term positive, long-term trend depends on economic conditions. The depreciation of the dollar will bring capital inflows to emerging markets, but the long-term trend of the stock market depends on the state of the economy.