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Japans December trade balance will be released in ten minutes.February 9th - Data released on Monday showed that Japans real wages contracted for the 12th consecutive month in December, as nominal wage growth lagged slightly behind slowing consumer inflation. Following the Bank of Japans 25 basis point rate hike to 0.75% in December, wage trends have become one of the most important indicators for deciding the timing of the next rate hike. As a key indicator of consumer purchasing power, inflation-adjusted real wages fell 0.1% year-on-year in December. This continues the contraction that began in January 2025, although the decline has narrowed to its lowest level since the start of this contraction cycle. Full-year data released on Monday showed that Japans real wages will fall by 1.3% in 2025. This marks the fourth consecutive year of contraction in real annual wages since consumer inflation began exceeding the Bank of Japans 2% target in 2022.Japans overtime pay rose 0.9% year-on-year in December, compared with 1.2% in the previous month.Japans December labor cash income rose 2.4% year-on-year, below the expected 3.20% and the previous figure revised from 0.50% to 1.70%.Monday: ① Data: Japans December trade balance, Switzerlands January consumer confidence index, and the Eurozones February Sentix investor confidence index. ② Events: The ASEAN Finance Ministers and Central Bank Deputy Working Group meeting will be held until February 13th. Tuesday: ① Data: US January New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, January NFIB small business confidence index, December retail sales month-on-month, Q4 labor cost index quarter-on-quarter, December import price index month-on-month, November business inventories month-on-month; Frances Q4 ILO unemployment rate; Chinas January M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending). ② Events: ECB President Lagarde will participate in discussions. Fed Governors Waller and Bostic will deliver speeches. The New York Fed will release its Q4 2025 household debt and credit report. ③ Earnings Reports: Hong Kong Stocks – SMIC. US Stocks – BP, Spotify, Coca-Cola, AstraZeneca, Robinhood, Ford Motor. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending February 6, EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending February 6; US January unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, average hourly earnings month-on-month, final reading of the 2025 non-farm payrolls benchmark change; China January CPI year-on-year rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report. Feds Hamak and Logan deliver speeches. OPEC releases monthly oil market report. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will meet with Trump on Wednesday to discuss the Iran issue. ③ Holiday: Tokyo Stock Exchange closed. ④ Earnings Reports: Hong Kong stocks – NetEase, Cloud Music. US stocks – T-Mobile US, NetEase Youdao, Cisco, McDonalds. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (ending February 11); UK Q4 GDP annualized rate (preliminary), December three-month GDP monthly rate, December manufacturing output monthly rate, December seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, December industrial production monthly rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending February 7, January existing home sales (annualized), EIA natural gas storage for the week ending February 6. ② Events: Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes. IEA releases monthly oil market report. ECB Executive Board members Schnabel, Cipolone, Chief Economist Lane, and Governing Council member Stournaras deliver speeches. ③ Holiday: No trading on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. ④ Earnings Reports: Hong Kong stocks – Hua Hong Semiconductor, Lenovo Group. US stocks – Rivian, Coinbase, Applied Materials, Airbnb. Friday: ① Data: Swiss January CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone Q4 GDP annual rate revision, Eurozone Q4 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter final value, Eurozone December seasonally adjusted trade balance; US January unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate, seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate. ② Events: Federal Reserve Chairman Logan and Federal Reserve Governor Milan attend events. Chinas National Bureau of Statistics releases monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities. The Central Bank of Russia announces its interest rate decision. Bank of Japan policy board member Naoki Tamura delivers a speech. ③ Holiday: No market trading on the Taiwan Stock Exchange, no night trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and Dalian Commodity Exchange. ④ Earnings Report: US stocks – Moderna. Saturday: ① Data: US total oil rig count for the week ending February 13; CFTC releases weekly positioning report.

What is a Bear Trap on the Stock Market?

Teddy Fairbank

Dec 06, 2021 15:51

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There are many risks inherently found when investing or trading in the equity markets. What increases your danger is not knowing how to identify or avoid the numerous traps intentionally set up to take your cash. One such trap is the Bear Trap in Stocks.

 

Markets move greater because of an imbalance in between trading pressure. When there are a lot of individuals wanting to purchase however no sellers to match them at the existing price. In this circumstances, to draw in sellers, the buyers will raise their quotes, (the price they are willing to pay for the stock). The greater cost is most likely to bring in sellers to meet the demand.

 

The problem is that when anybody buys a stock, they immediately become selling pressure on that stock. Remember, once you own a stock, you just make money from it when you sell it (unless you make dividends on the stock). So, if too many individuals buy the stock, it will decrease the buying pressure and increase the possible selling pressure.

What is a Bear Trap?

In order to produce more demand and get the rates of stocks to move higher, institutions require to shake out the amateur/novice traders. They do this by pressing rates lower to make it appear like the stock or the markets are becoming bearish. The worry of losing their little profits, or of losing cash in general, will force the newbies into offering their stocks. As soon as a trader has been stopped out or fooled into selling their stock, they will frequently leap back in if they see the costs moving upwards beyond the price that they had originally bought in. This, in turn, produces more need and drives the prices higher just as the institutions desired.

When to Expect a Bear Trap

Institutions buy stocks at wholesale rates, normally after they drop. This will trigger sags to reverse and markets to increase. This is the very best time to purchase, however lots of amateur and amateur financiers and traders wait and buy when they see that costs are already bullish. Worse yet, lots of people are taught to purchase breakouts and chase after rate as it moves greater. This signals to the institutions that it might be time to set the bear trap on the stock. When you see a boost of volume accompanying a breakout in rate, a bear trap is typically not far off.

 

Bear traps on stocks can likewise be found on intraday charts. The very same setup is usually observed, costs breaking out to fresh highs where organizations will sell or short sell to the novices purchasing the breakout. This stops the upward motion and terrifies the beginners into panic, causing them to offer their stock or activating their stops. Once the cost drops into demand, the institutions buy to cover their shorts and send prices higher where amateurs will jump back in for worry of losing out.

How to Trade a Bear Trap

To be rewarding in the markets, you want to trade like an expert. Bear traps on stocks are typically set in the very same situations as those described above. Now that you know what the experts are looking for to set the bear trap and how they trade them, you could trade and invest best along with of the smart money.

 

If you follow OTA's Core Strategy, you have a set of rules and will trade and invest with the dominant trend and quality demand and supply zones. There are likewise Bull Traps that can be a risk or a chance for traders. For more information about the Core Strategy and/or other market traps and chances, visit your regional Online Trading Academy Center today.