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On August 30th, US Treasury Secretary Bessenter vowed at the start of the week to launch an "economic offensive" against Iran and its trading partners, once again attempting to end the war. However, by the weekend, countries with ties to Iran had largely ignored the threat, and analysts were disappointed with the US actions. Near the end of the week, the US announced plans to sanction the UAE branch of Egypts Misr Bank. This move came far short of expectations, as Bessenter had previously warned that the world would "see major news of a financial institution being sanctioned before the end of the week." Alex Zerden, a former US Treasury official and founder of Capitol Peak Strategies, stated, "The actions publicly announced by the US Treasury this week are inconsistent with the previous hype. This economic exile continues 47 years of restrictive economic measures against Iran, but does not provide a clearer path to how this operation can achieve economic or military victory."Icelandic Prime Minister: We will continue to strengthen relations with the European Economic Area (EEA). This government will not engage in accession negotiations with the EU.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas official manufacturing PMI for August; Germanys preliminary August CPI month-on-month rate; US August Dallas Fed Business Activity Index; ② Event: G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, until September 1st. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Chinas RatingDog Manufacturing PMI for August; UKs Nationwide House Price Index month-on-month rate for August; Switzerlands real retail sales year-on-year rate for July; final August manufacturing PMIs for France, Germany, UK, and the Eurozone; UKs Bank of England mortgage approvals for July; Eurozones preliminary August CPI and July unemployment rate; US final August S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, August ISM Manufacturing PMI, July JOLTs job openings, and July construction spending month-on-month rate. ② Event: 2026 SCO Heads of State Council Meeting. ③ Earnings Reports: NIO and Dell (after-hours trading). 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending August 28; Australias Q2 GDP annual rate; US August ADP employment change and July factory orders month-on-month rate; ② Events: Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces interest rate decision and monetary policy statement; Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision, Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers hold a monetary policy press conference. ③ Earnings: Broadcom (after US stock market closes). 4. Thursday: ① Data: Chinas August RatingDog Services PMI; Switzerlands August CPI month-on-month rate; France, Germany, UK, and Eurozones final August Services PMI; Eurozones July PPI month-on-month rate; US August Challenger job cuts, initial jobless claims for the week ending August 29, July trade balance, final August S&P Global Services PMI, August ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending August 28. ② Events: Federal Reserve releases Beige Book; Federal Reserve Governor Waller gives an interview. 5. Friday: ① Data: Eurozone July retail sales month-on-month; Canadian August employment change; US August unemployment rate, August seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, August average hourly earnings year-on-year, August average hourly earnings month-on-month; August global supply chain stress index. ② Events: 2026 FOMC voting member and Cleveland Fed President Hamak delivers opening remarks at the "Fed Community" event; Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total oil rig count for the week ending September 4. ② Events: Saudi Aramco announces official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. 7. Sunday: OPEC+ holds its monthly meeting on oil production.On August 30th, the scandal involving the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) branch in Fukuoka Prefecture forcing members to "contribute" large sums of money continued to escalate. According to Japanese media reports on the 30th, following the resignation of Fukuoka Prefectural Assembly Speaker Isao Kurauchi, another official involved, Hiroshi Matsumoto, chairman of the LDP Fukuoka Prefecture Branch Federation, is considering resigning. Former Fukuoka Prefectural Assembly Speaker Genaki Yoshimatsu revealed the scandal to the media in July. He stated that before he took office as prefectural assembly speaker in June 2020, his LDP Fukuoka Prefectural Assembly members solicited money from him under various pretexts, including expenses for golf outings, accommodation, transportation, and meals at upscale restaurants for party social events, totaling approximately 20 million yen (about 850,000 yuan). Several other former speakers and vice-speakers of the prefectural assembly also revealed that they "contributed" several million yen to the assembly members before taking office.On August 30, NASAs next-generation space telescope, the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, launched aboard a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket aboard a spacecraft, aiming to help scientists explore the mysteries of the universe, including dark matter, dark energy, and exoplanets. The Falcon Heavy rocket carrying the Roman Space Telescope lifted off from the Kennedy Space Center in Florida at 7:26 a.m. ET (7:26 p.m. Beijing time) on August 30. The Roman Space Telescope is scheduled to travel to the Sun-Earth Lagrange point L2, approximately 1.5 million kilometers from Earth, to conduct observations. NASA stated that the Roman Space Telescope is designed to operate for five years, with an option to extend its mission for an additional five years. Its first scientific images are expected to be released in early 2027.

Whales and Hodlers: How Holding on to BTC Could See You Through a Crypto Winter

Skylar Shaw

Jul 11, 2022 15:10

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Trading Bitcoin (BTC) is not for the timid, since cryptocurrencies are known for their extreme swings and volatility.


Since the cryptocurrency market has exploded and bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have skyrocketed to record highs by 2022, a number of trading techniques have tried to address two unknowns.


The crucial issue is when and at what price bitcoin will reach its peak. According to very strong predictions, bitcoin might increase to $1 million.


Top1markets investigated the direction of the bitcoin price until 2025 in June. There were many forecasts made in the Top1markets study. Most noteworthy was a $179,280 forecast for 2025.

The benefits and drawbacks of buy-and-hold vs vol trading strategies

Buy-and-hold is a typical investing strategy used by investors. Simply expressed, a buy-and-hold strategy is one in which investors maintain their investment position over an extended period of time. Investors will disregard economic shocks, market instabilities, and other variables affecting movement across asset classes.

Investors make a trade in this scenario anticipating a long-term rising trend

Using bitcoin as an example, an investor who purchased it in 2017 would have been inclined to cash out at the price peak of $19,871 in December of that year. At a peak of $29,302, others may have been persuaded to cash out in December 2020.


More committed investors who had a firm conviction that bitcoin may soar to soaring heights of $200,000 would have stayed in until the all-time high of $68,979 in November 2021.


There were several accounts of bitcoin investors tripling their money in the early days of the currency. The return on a buy-and-hold investment from a low of $740 in January 2017 to the present value of $21,593 is 2,800 percent.


Hodlers are in it for the long haul as opposed to jittery investors who might have cashed out at any one of the price increases. Some of these investors are referred to in the market as Bitcoin Whales.

In contrast, day trading or high-frequency trading in bitcoin takes advantage of market turbulence. Algorithm-driven intra-minute trading and intraday trading, which may comprise 20–30 transactions per day, are two examples of trading frequency.


Even though traders may earn substantial profits, sudden changes might destroy whole asset pools.

The trick is figuring out where people enter and leave. In addition to doing technical analysis, traders must continuously follow the cryptocurrency news wires.


A 24-hour market also eliminates the possibility of holding holdings overnight without taking a significant loss.

Conviction is Needed When Selecting an Investment Strategy

Both approaches have advantages and disadvantages. Volatility trading would be the best option for traders who don't believe the absurd bitcoin estimates.


The buy-and-hold approach, however, could be a better match for individuals who are confident in a continuing upward trend and can handle the highs and lows of the cryptocurrency market. Here, buyers may increase their purchases during price falls, much as Bitcoin Whales have done during this crypto winter and earlier downturns in price.


The belief that the rising trend would continue is supported by Bitcoin Whales

Hodlers of Bitcoin Include Listed Companies and Nations

There has been a noticeable change in the investment base for bitcoin recently. Bitcoin is no longer seen as a surefire investment, but rather as a class of assets that should be held.


Despite considerable price fluctuation, a few of well-known blue-chip firms have bitcoin on their balance sheets.


Block Inc., Tesla (TSLA), and MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) are notable corporations that possess bitcoin (SQ).


Companies possessed around 1.6 million bitcoin, or 8% of the supply, according to a NASDAQ story from August 2021. With 129,218 bitcoin on its balance sheet, or $2.8 billion at the current bitcoin price of $21,637, Microstrategy Inc. is the biggest bitcoin hodler.


The Bitcoin Rich List provides a view of the top bitcoin hodlers to the market. Due to blockchain technology's openness, which makes it possible to trace bitcoin and bitcoin holdings by the wallet address, address holding information is readily accessible.


Several cryptocurrency exchanges are among the top 10 biggest bitcoin holders, according to BitInfoCharts. The Bitcoin Whales, however, are some others.


The highest bitcoin holding at the moment is one Binance wallet, which contains 252,597 BTC, or 1.32 percent of the entire supply. Two more Binance wallets are in the top 10, holding a total of 226,617 coins, or 1.19 percent of the supply, in their combined holdings.


The wallet that is not connected to any exchange has the greatest holding, which is 132,324 BTC. Due to a smaller supply and larger daily volumes, the price of bitcoin rises and its price stability increases as more Bitcoin Whales acquire it. Hodlers might lower daily trade volumes since they are in it for the long term.


BitInfoCharts offers a Bitcoin Distribution Chart to demonstrate where the bitcoin is and to put things into perspective.


As shown above, there are 4,919 wallets that contain bitcoin worth $10,000,000 or more.


El Salvador is among the nations that have embraced the bitcoin story. Taking the Lead

Beyond the Bitcoin Whales and the businesses that hold bitcoin, nations have also become more interested in eschewing fiat money and the sway of the US Dollar.


El Salvador is the country with the most bitcoins in its treasury, with a reported 2,301 BTC.


Other nations are less transparent, but via seizures resulting from criminal activity alone, nations like the US are probably sitting on a sizable quantity.


Everything comes down to supply and demand in the end. Lower bitcoin supply due to more Bitcoin Whales. The optimistic 2025 estimates would prevail if there were less bitcoin available.


Bitcoin might reach heights not seen since its infancy, however, if a seismic event causes Bitcoin Whales, businesses, and nations to sell off their holdings. A "bitcoin killer" event is one from which the price of bitcoin and the market as a whole cannot recover.


However, given the volatility of bitcoin throughout time, many will believe the upward trend to be more probable, which is backed by the rising number of hodlers and continuous acceptance of bitcoin.


For investors intending to acquire and retain bitcoin, this increases the importance of the bitcoin distribution chart. A optimistic prognosis would be supported by a rise in the number of wallets holding 10 BTC or more.


There are 21,000,000 bitcoins available at any one time. A total of 149,070 BTC are held in wallets with 10 BTC or more, which is just 0.71 percent of the entire supply.