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On July 5, the head of the Kyiv Military and Political Administration Bureau of Ukraine, Tekachenko, said that the large-scale air strike launched by Russia on Kyiv in the early morning of the 4th has so far caused 2 deaths and 31 injuries, and the number of casualties continues to rise.On July 5, European Central Bank board member Makhlouf said that if the euro wants to quickly replace the dollar as the pillar of the global financial system, countries still have a long way to go, because there are still many gaps in financial and economic integration among European countries. Makhlouf said that the dominance of the dollar will weaken in the long run, but Europe currently lacks a single fiscal asset that is as stable as U.S. Treasuries and can compete with it. "Frankly speaking, Europes economic system is not yet fully formed," Makhlouf said, adding that changes in currency exchange rates in recent months are more due to investors concerns about the rule of law in the United States. Makhlouf said: "It would be a bit of an exaggeration to say that this will suddenly push the euro to replace the dollar, because the euro does not currently have such capabilities."ECB board member Makhlouf: Euro is not ready to challenge dollars status as global reserve currency.Russian Embassy: The Russian trade mission to Sweden has come under attack again, with a drone dropping paint on its premises.Turkish President Erdogan: We believe that the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has opened a door to Gaza, and Hamas has also demonstrated its sincerity many times.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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