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SenseTime (00020.HK): It is expected to record a profit of approximately RMB500 million to RMB700 million in the first half of the year, compared with a loss of approximately RMB1.48927 billion in the same period last year.On August 16, the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) reported that Iranian Army Commander-in-Chief Amir Hatami announced a $30,000 reward for the capture or killing of U.S. soldiers. The reward will reportedly be given to any Iranian soldier who comes from "the Iranian people."On August 16, Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) announced that in the first half of the year, thanks to the full contribution of newly acquired assets and the continued optimization of mature mines, gold production increased by 44% year-on-year to approximately 27.3 tons; revenue and profit attributable to owners of the parent company increased by 100% and 179% year-on-year, respectively, and net cash flow from operating activities increased significantly by 331% year-on-year.On August 16, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that Ukrainian forces attacked the "Kamensky Joint Enterprise" in Rostov Oblast, Russia, a Russian military-industrial complex. The Ukrainian side stated that a fire broke out at the target site, and the extent of the damage and the results of the operation are still being verified. The Ukrainian military stated that this military-industrial enterprise is a major Russian military-industrial enterprise, producing solid rocket fuel for the "Hurricane," "Tornado," and "Tornado-S" multiple rocket launcher munitions, as well as related fuels for various missile systems and air-to-ground weapons. On August 16, local time, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a 24-hour combat report stating that Russian forces had taken control of two settlements: Pershomalievka in the Donetsk region and Kudyevka in the Kharkiv region. The report stated that Russian air defense forces shot down 14 guided bombs, 1 US-made HIMARS rocket, 9 Flamingo long-range cruise missiles, and 1,478 fixed-wing drones. This is the highest number of Ukrainian drones shot down in a single day as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense to date.On August 16th, according to a report by Axios, citing three sources familiar with the matter, in mid-May, US negotiators encountered a problem when attempting to reach an agreement with Iran to end the war: they were unsure whether the Iranian representatives across the negotiating table truly represented the countrys powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The report stated that, therefore, Trump administration officials took an unusual approach—bypassing Iranian negotiators and contacting the IRGC leadership directly. The person chosen by the US to oversee this secret communication channel was Nechirvan Barzani, the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. He possessed an extremely rare advantage: the trust of both the US and the IRGC leadership. This incident highlights that a key reason for the difficulties in US-Iran negotiations lies in Washingtons inability to ascertain who truly holds decision-making power in Iran. The US and Iran did ultimately reach a memorandum of understanding, but it quickly collapsed.

WTI struggles at $87 as recession worries probe OPEC's forecast and supply deficit fears intensify

Daniel Rogers

Sep 14, 2022 11:42

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After reverting from the weekly high, WTI crude oil traders seek clear direction around $87.50 during Wednesday's Asian session. However, the present hesitation in the price of black gold may be attributable to the mixed concerns regarding the demand-supply matrix.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) indicated in a monthly report that oil consumption will climb by 3,1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2022 and by 2,7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, which is unchanged from last month. Despite obstacles such as rising prices, the news also highlighted indications that major economies were performing better than projected.

 

The news that the United States intends to replenish its emergency oil reserves, as well as the German and European move to control Russian oil and gas prices, could also be favorable for energy prices. In addition, rumors that the Western oil deal with Iran is a long way off are bolstering fears of a supply bottleneck and should have helped energy bulls.

 

Tuesday's US inflation statistics revived concerns about the Federal Reserve's fast rate hike and exacerbated recession concerns. Also acting as downward drivers for WTI crude oil are expectations of economic slowdown due to China and Russia-related concerns.

 

In spite of this, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 8.3% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by 0.1%. However, the monthly data increased to 0.1%, exceeding the -0.1% projected and the 0.0% shown in previous assessments. The core CPI, or CPI excluding food and energy, likewise exceeded the 6.1% consensus and 5.9% prior to printing at 6.3% for the month in question.

 

It should be mentioned that the weekly prints of the American Petroleum Institute's (API) industry inventory report also contributed to the commodity's downfall. The API Weekly Crude Oil Stock climbed to 6,035 million during the week ending September 9, up from 3,645,000 the previous week.

 

In the future, the price of black gold may stay under pressure due to a stronger US dollar and economic troubles. Before today's official weekly inventory data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, however, the supply crisis concerns could test the bears (EIA). Thursday's US Retail Sales for the month of August and Friday's preliminary reading of the September Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will also warrant close attention.

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