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As of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 0.06%, and US natural gas futures rose 0.36%.The Peoples Bank of China announced today that it conducted 215 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 215 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.Indonesias Ministry of Economic Affairs stated that the statement was released after Indonesias chief tariff negotiator for the U.S. met with U.S. Trade Representative Greer in Paris to discuss Section 301.June 5th Futures News: According to JLC Networks calculations, as of June 5th, the first working day, the change rate was -1.07%, with the average price of benchmark crude oil at $94.04/barrel. Domestic gasoline and diesel prices should be reduced by 60 yuan/ton. The price adjustment window for this round is at 24:00 on June 18th. 1. Shandong Local Refineries: Lower international crude oil prices created downward pressure, coupled with weak sales of refined oil products from Shandong local refineries yesterday. The gasoline and diesel production-to-sales ratio was low, and refinery inventories continued to accumulate. It is expected that refined oil prices from Shandong local refineries will be under pressure and fall by 30-50 yuan/ton today. 2. East China: On Friday, crude oil prices stopped rising and fell back, and this was the first day of the retail price reduction. The news was bearish. It is expected that refined oil prices from major oil companies in East China will be under pressure today, with traders cautious in their immediate needs and a sluggish trading atmosphere. 3. South China: On Friday, international crude oil prices closed lower after a rebound, and the retail price reduction was implemented as expected. It is expected that gasoline and diesel prices in South China will remain stable to slightly lower today. Terminal market demand is weak, and traders are cautiously purchasing only as needed, resulting in a quiet trading atmosphere. 4. North China: On Friday, international oil prices closed lower overnight, and news has turned bearish. It is expected that gasoline and diesel prices in North China will remain stable to slightly weaker. Weather factors are dragging down immediate demand, coupled with strong crude oil volatility, leading to a cautious trading atmosphere. 5. Central China: On Friday, crude oil prices rebounded and fell back, and the retail price reduction was just implemented. News is pointing to a bearish trend, and it is expected that gasoline and diesel prices in Central China will be under pressure today. Traders are mostly reducing inventory and observing the market, resulting in a quiet and stable trading environment.The South Korean won fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since March 2009, trading at 1541.4.

WTI Price Analysis: 50-SMA stimulates China data-led recovery near $80.00

Daniel Rogers

Apr 18, 2023 11:53

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WTI crude oil remains defensive near the lowest level in a week, near $81.05 on Tuesday morning. In doing so, black gold struggles to be buoyed by China's positive data while consolidating the month's largest daily loss.

 

According to the most recent economic data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the first quarter (Q1) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 2.2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ), compared to 2.2% expected and 0.0% in the prior quarter. In addition, Retail Sales grew 10.9% YoY in March versus 7.4% expected and 3.5% previously, while Industrial Production grew 3.9% versus 4.0% expected and 2.5% previously. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

In addition to the generally positive China data, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line has contributed to the black gold's recent approach to the $81.40 50-day simple moving average.

 

Notably, however, pessimistic MACD signals and a two-week-old horizontal resistance area between $81.60 and $80 could impede the commodity's further advance. Following that, attention will shift to the recent multi-day high marked in the last week, around $83.40.

 

In contrast, WTI's further decline could target the round figure of $80 before challenging the previous resistance line from late January, which is now support near $79.20.

 

If the price remains adverse beyond $79.20, a rising support line from March 20 near $77.30 will be the last line of defense for WTI bulls.