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On August 18th, the State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau released key regulatory indicators for the banking and insurance industries in the second quarter of 2026. Data showed that the net interest margin (NIM) of commercial banks was 1.41% in the second quarter, a slight increase of 0.01 percentage points from 1.40% in the first quarter, marking the first quarterly increase since 2022. However, different types of banks showed divergent trends. State-owned banks, city commercial banks, rural commercial banks, and private banks all saw their NIMs increase quarter-on-quarter, while joint-stock banks remained flat, and foreign banks experienced a decline. Industry analysts believe the core driver of this NIM stabilization is on the liability side: the concentrated maturity and repricing of high-interest deposits, coupled with banks proactive optimization of their liability structure, effectively reduced interest costs. Under regulatory guidance, the interest rate self-regulation mechanism played a role in curbing irrational price competition in lending rates, helping to stabilize asset pricing and supporting the NIM.August 18th - Foreign investors holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds declined in June, primarily due to reductions in holdings by Japan and China. According to data released by the U.S. Treasury Department on Monday, foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds decreased by $72.1 billion month-on-month to $9.3 trillion in June. Foreign holdings have declined in three of the past four months since reaching a record high in February. During this period, U.S. Treasury bonds fell as investors worried about the massive fiscal deficit and above-target inflation. Japan, the largest holder of U.S. Treasury bonds, saw the largest reduction in June, decreasing its holdings by approximately $26.4 billion to $1.12 trillion. The yen has been under continued pressure in recent months, prompting Japan to intervene to stabilize its exchange rate. The U.S. also participated in intervention at the end of July. Some market observers believe the underlying reason is concern that Japan might sell U.S. Treasury bonds to defend the yen, thereby pushing up U.S. borrowing costs. "Japans actions are clearly driven by the need for foreign exchange intervention," said Paresh Upadhi, a strategist at Vanguard Investments. He pointed out that U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant not only intervened in July but also suggested that Japan might utilize the Federal Reserves tools to avoid directly selling its government bonds. It goes without saying that we will not see Japan selling U.S. Treasury bonds again.BHP Billiton: The cost environment has "significantly changed" due to the conflict in the Middle East.BHP Billitons revenue for the fiscal year was US$58.76 billion, a 15% increase year-over-year. Capital and exploration expenditures for the fiscal year were US$10.26 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year.BHP Billitons net profit for the fiscal year was US$9.83 billion, up 9% year-on-year. BHP Billitons underlying profit for the fiscal year was US$13.2 billion, up 30% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of US$12.66 billion.

USD/JPY falls to 146.00 as the DXY weakens and interest in BOJ policy rises

Alina Haynes

Oct 27, 2022 15:28

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During the Asian session, in response to negative signals from the US dollar index, the USD/JPY pair plunged below 146.00. (DXY). Following Wednesday's low of 146.22, the asset's two-day downward trend has extended. The main index is reaching the bottom of Monday's knee-jerk reaction near 145.77 as it continues to decline.

 

The dollar bears are facing a severe sell-off due to the positive market sentiment. The risk-sensitive currencies have benefited from an increase in risk appetite. The US dollar index (DXY) has struck a new monthly low of 109.56 and is anticipated to stay volatile until the release of crucial US economic data.

 

The increased demand for U.S. government bonds has resulted in a decline in yields. This is due to the global markets' increased confidence. The yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes has decreased to 4%.

 

According to estimates, the Gross Domestic Product of the United States expanded by 2.4% in the third quarter. Despite the ultra-hawkish monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the previously disclosed 0.6% fall in growth, forecasts indicate a positive growth rate.

 

In addition, US Durable Goods Orders data will continue to be a key point. Compared to a reduction of 0.2%, it is projected that economic statistics will increase by 0.6%. Notable is the increase in core inflation, which includes oil and food prices. In spite of this, the predicted increase in demand for durable goods in the United States demonstrates healthy household demand.

 

Investors in Tokyo are anticipating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate decision on Friday. In view of the shocks to foreign demand, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue an ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate the outlook for economic development. In addition, Japanese policymakers are anxious that the inflation rate could go below 2%; hence, an extremely liberal policy is the best alternative.