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Caspian Pipeline Alliance (CPC): Oil exports increased by 12% last year, reaching 70.52 million tons.February 26 – The Ministry of Commerce held a regular press conference on February 26. Ministry of Commerce spokesperson He Yongqian, in response to a question regarding German Chancellor Merzs visit to China, stated that China and Germany conducted in-depth exchanges in the economic and trade fields, achieving positive and pragmatic results. President Xi Jinping, during his meeting with Chancellor Merz, pointed out that China and Germany should be open, mutually beneficial, and innovative partners, and that both sides should strengthen the alignment of their development strategies and promote dialogue and cooperation in cutting-edge fields such as artificial intelligence. This has pointed the way for further deepening Sino-German economic and trade cooperation. He Yongqian stated that during the visit, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce and the German Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy jointly hosted a symposium between the two prime ministers and the Sino-German Economic Advisory Committee. Premier Li Qiang and Chancellor Merz attended the meeting and delivered speeches. All participants unanimously expressed their willingness to fully leverage their respective advantages, strengthen pragmatic cooperation, and achieve mutual benefit, win-win results, and common development.Market news: Oman will submit a draft proposal regarding Iran to the US negotiating team.Market news: The U.S. Senate held a hearing today on bank regulation.On February 26th, ANZ Bank reinforced its bullish stance on gold in its latest report. The bank noted: 1. The fundamental logic remains solid, with loose monetary policy expected to continue until the fourth quarter of 2026. The Federal Reserve is expected to resume rate cuts in the second quarter (possibly June) and again in the fourth quarter, lowering the terminal interest rate from the current 3.75% to 3%. This path will provide support for gold. 2. Escalating tensions between the US and Iran will revitalize safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, the Russia-Ukraine negotiations indicate continued geopolitical instability. 3. Economic risks persist, and the market has not yet fully digested the impact of US tariff increases; concerns about AI-driven stock market gains are exacerbating financial risks. 4. In an environment of uncertainty, gold remains a highly attractive hedging tool against market risks. 5. Following the latest round of profit-taking, investor positions are no longer crowded, leaving ample room for establishing new long positions.

USD/JPY falls to 146.00 as the DXY weakens and interest in BOJ policy rises

Alina Haynes

Oct 27, 2022 15:28

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During the Asian session, in response to negative signals from the US dollar index, the USD/JPY pair plunged below 146.00. (DXY). Following Wednesday's low of 146.22, the asset's two-day downward trend has extended. The main index is reaching the bottom of Monday's knee-jerk reaction near 145.77 as it continues to decline.

 

The dollar bears are facing a severe sell-off due to the positive market sentiment. The risk-sensitive currencies have benefited from an increase in risk appetite. The US dollar index (DXY) has struck a new monthly low of 109.56 and is anticipated to stay volatile until the release of crucial US economic data.

 

The increased demand for U.S. government bonds has resulted in a decline in yields. This is due to the global markets' increased confidence. The yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes has decreased to 4%.

 

According to estimates, the Gross Domestic Product of the United States expanded by 2.4% in the third quarter. Despite the ultra-hawkish monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the previously disclosed 0.6% fall in growth, forecasts indicate a positive growth rate.

 

In addition, US Durable Goods Orders data will continue to be a key point. Compared to a reduction of 0.2%, it is projected that economic statistics will increase by 0.6%. Notable is the increase in core inflation, which includes oil and food prices. In spite of this, the predicted increase in demand for durable goods in the United States demonstrates healthy household demand.

 

Investors in Tokyo are anticipating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate decision on Friday. In view of the shocks to foreign demand, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue an ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate the outlook for economic development. In addition, Japanese policymakers are anxious that the inflation rate could go below 2%; hence, an extremely liberal policy is the best alternative.