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July 26 - According to Reuters: A senior Iranian source said that Iran will cease its attacks as long as the United States maintains the current ceasefire; after the United States suspended its attacks on Iran, Irans attitude was "more skeptical than optimistic".1. Monday: ① Data: Germanys July IFO Business Climate Index; UKs July CBI Retail Sales Balance; US June Durable Goods Orders (MoM); US July Dallas Fed Business Activity Index. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US ADP Employment Change (Weekly) to July 11; US May FHFA House Price Index (MoM); US May S&P/CS 20-City Composite Home Price Index (YoY, Unadjusted); US July Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index; US July Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. ② Event: Speech by RBA Governor Bullock. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API Crude Oil Inventories (Week Ending July 24); Australias June Unadjusted CPI (YoY); Switzerlands July ZEW Investor Confidence Index; UK June Bank of England Mortgage Approvals; US EIA Crude Oil Inventories (Week Ending July 24); US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma Crude Oil Inventories (Week Ending July 24); US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserves (Week Ending July 24). ② Event: SK Hynix releases its Q2 financial report. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US Federal Reserve interest rate decision (to July 29); Frances preliminary Q2 GDP annual rate; Switzerlands July KOF Leading Economic Index; Germanys preliminary Q2 unadjusted GDP annual rate; Eurozones preliminary Q2 GDP annual rate, Eurozones June unemployment rate, Eurozones July industrial sentiment index, Eurozones July economic sentiment index; UK Bank of England interest rate decision (to July 30); Germanys preliminary July CPI monthly rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 25; US June core PCE price index annual rate; US June personal spending monthly rate; US preliminary Q2 real GDP annualized quarterly rate; US preliminary Q2 real personal consumption expenditure quarterly rate; US preliminary Q2 core PCE price index annualized quarterly rate; US June core PCE price index monthly rate; US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 24. ② Events: The Bank of Canada releases its monetary policy meeting minutes; the Federal Reserve FOMC announces its interest rate decision and Fed Chairman Warsh holds a monetary policy press conference [with simultaneous interpretation]; the Bank of England announces its interest rate decision, meeting minutes, and monetary policy report, and Bank of England Governor Bailey holds a monetary policy press conference. ③ Earnings Reports: Meta, Microsoft, Qualcomm, and ARM will release their Q2 2026 earnings reports after the US stock market closes on July 29. 5. Friday: ① Data: Japans June unemployment rate; Chinas July official manufacturing PMI; UKs July Nationwide house price index month-on-month; Switzerlands June real retail sales year-on-year; Frances July CPI month-on-month preliminary reading; Germanys July seasonally adjusted unemployment figures and July seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones July CPI year-on-year preliminary reading and Eurozones July CPI month-on-month preliminary reading; Canadas May GDP month-on-month; US Q2 labor cost index quarter-on-quarter; US July Chicago PMI; US July University of Michigan consumer sentiment index final reading; US July one-year inflation rate expectation final reading; Japans target interest rate until July 31. ② Events: A new round of price adjustments for domestic refined oil products will begin; the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook report, and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a press conference on monetary policy. ③ Earnings Reports: Amazon and Apple will release their earnings reports after the US stock market closes on July 30. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending July 31. 7. Sunday: ① Events: OPEC+ oil-producing countries will hold their monthly meeting on oil policy.July 26 - To effectively carry out emergency disaster relief work following Typhoon Noul, the Guangdong Provincial Department of Finance and the Provincial Emergency Management Department urgently allocated 50 million yuan in provincial-level natural disaster relief funds on July 26. This funding will support disaster-stricken areas such as Huizhou, Shanwei, Jieyang, Meizhou, and Heyuan in emergency rescue and relief efforts, procurement and storage of relief supplies, investigation and emergency response to secondary disaster risks, and reconstruction of damaged housing. The aim is to minimize the impact of the disaster and ensure the safety of life and property of affected people.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 4.8 occurred at 20:36 on July 26 in the sea area near Yilan County, Taiwan (24.90 degrees north latitude, 121.87 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.On July 26th, the TP200, Chinas first domestically developed multi-functional long-endurance unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) designed according to airworthiness requirements, successfully completed its maiden flight in Yantai, Shandong. Developed independently by Yitong UAV, the TP200 demonstrated stable and controllable attitude during the test flight, with climb altitude and cruise speed meeting design specifications. Specifically designed for long-endurance high-altitude operations, the TP200 boasts a full-load endurance exceeding 24 hours. Unlike traditional single-function UAVs, the TP200s design incorporates flexible adaptability to multiple mission payloads. Its modular, multi-configuration design allows for rapid switching of operational modes based on mission requirements, effectively addressing industry challenges such as low equipment reuse rates, poor equipment versatility, and high procurement and maintenance costs. This will drive the widespread adoption of large-scale unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) from specialized applications to large-scale government and civilian markets.

USD/JPY falls to 146.00 as the DXY weakens and interest in BOJ policy rises

Alina Haynes

Oct 27, 2022 15:28

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During the Asian session, in response to negative signals from the US dollar index, the USD/JPY pair plunged below 146.00. (DXY). Following Wednesday's low of 146.22, the asset's two-day downward trend has extended. The main index is reaching the bottom of Monday's knee-jerk reaction near 145.77 as it continues to decline.

 

The dollar bears are facing a severe sell-off due to the positive market sentiment. The risk-sensitive currencies have benefited from an increase in risk appetite. The US dollar index (DXY) has struck a new monthly low of 109.56 and is anticipated to stay volatile until the release of crucial US economic data.

 

The increased demand for U.S. government bonds has resulted in a decline in yields. This is due to the global markets' increased confidence. The yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes has decreased to 4%.

 

According to estimates, the Gross Domestic Product of the United States expanded by 2.4% in the third quarter. Despite the ultra-hawkish monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the previously disclosed 0.6% fall in growth, forecasts indicate a positive growth rate.

 

In addition, US Durable Goods Orders data will continue to be a key point. Compared to a reduction of 0.2%, it is projected that economic statistics will increase by 0.6%. Notable is the increase in core inflation, which includes oil and food prices. In spite of this, the predicted increase in demand for durable goods in the United States demonstrates healthy household demand.

 

Investors in Tokyo are anticipating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate decision on Friday. In view of the shocks to foreign demand, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue an ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate the outlook for economic development. In addition, Japanese policymakers are anxious that the inflation rate could go below 2%; hence, an extremely liberal policy is the best alternative.