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On July 18, Rezaei, an advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, stated that if the United States continues its attacks in the next two to three days, Iran will abandon its previous strategy of deterrence and reciprocal retaliation, shifting to a phase of "full-scale offensive and destruction," and may directly strike US military bases and personnel abroad. He claimed that Irans previous restraint was to avoid spillover of regional conflict, but the USs "miscalculation" could escalate the situation. Rezaei also called on Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar, the UAE, and other regional countries and governments to stop the US and Israel from expanding their operations, stating that the USs strategy of "simultaneous war and negotiation" has failed, and Iran will intensify its counterattacks in the coming days.July 18th - Crude oil futures recorded double-digit gains this week as the US expanded its military strikes against Iranian targets and Iran launched attacks on neighboring Gulf states. Another factor exacerbating concerns about escalating tensions is the possibility that Yemens Houthi rebels may take action to block shipping over the Red Sea; Saudi Arabia has been diverting its crude oil exports via the Red Sea while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh stated in a report: "With inventories at near-record lows and most strategic petroleum reserve releases completed, the renewed escalation of tensions around the red line of the Strait poses significant upside risks to energy prices. As things stand, we believe the oil market is still too complacent about the potential impact on inventories."Irans Supreme Leaders advisor, Rezaei, stated that if the US attacks continue for several days, Iran will enter a phase of full-scale offensive operations.Iranian Supreme Leaders advisor Rezaei: If the Americans occupy any part of Iran, we may enter an offensive phase of war, rather than just a defensive one.July 18th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 0.67% to 878 yuan/gram, the Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 1.05% to 13,729 yuan/kilogram, and the SC Crude Oil futures contract rose 5.23% to 543 yuan/barrel.

USD/JPY falls to 146.00 as the DXY weakens and interest in BOJ policy rises

Alina Haynes

Oct 27, 2022 15:28

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During the Asian session, in response to negative signals from the US dollar index, the USD/JPY pair plunged below 146.00. (DXY). Following Wednesday's low of 146.22, the asset's two-day downward trend has extended. The main index is reaching the bottom of Monday's knee-jerk reaction near 145.77 as it continues to decline.

 

The dollar bears are facing a severe sell-off due to the positive market sentiment. The risk-sensitive currencies have benefited from an increase in risk appetite. The US dollar index (DXY) has struck a new monthly low of 109.56 and is anticipated to stay volatile until the release of crucial US economic data.

 

The increased demand for U.S. government bonds has resulted in a decline in yields. This is due to the global markets' increased confidence. The yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes has decreased to 4%.

 

According to estimates, the Gross Domestic Product of the United States expanded by 2.4% in the third quarter. Despite the ultra-hawkish monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the previously disclosed 0.6% fall in growth, forecasts indicate a positive growth rate.

 

In addition, US Durable Goods Orders data will continue to be a key point. Compared to a reduction of 0.2%, it is projected that economic statistics will increase by 0.6%. Notable is the increase in core inflation, which includes oil and food prices. In spite of this, the predicted increase in demand for durable goods in the United States demonstrates healthy household demand.

 

Investors in Tokyo are anticipating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate decision on Friday. In view of the shocks to foreign demand, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue an ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate the outlook for economic development. In addition, Japanese policymakers are anxious that the inflation rate could go below 2%; hence, an extremely liberal policy is the best alternative.

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