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Futures News, June 19th - According to foreign media reports, three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) edged lower on Friday as expectations that US interest rates will remain high for an extended period pressured the market, despite some support from progress on the Middle East peace agreement. LME three-month copper fell 0.54%. The likelihood of US interest rates remaining high for an extended period increased this week, with nearly half of Federal Reserve policymakers now believing a rate hike is necessary this year. Rate hikes would dampen the demand outlook for growth-dependent industrial metals. "The US interest rate outlook has a broad impact on global commodity markets, and rising rates increase costs for importers," wrote Daniel Hynes, senior commodities strategist at ANZ Bank, in a report. Initial progress on the peace agreement between Iran and the US, and the resumption of Middle East shipping, have lowered energy prices, but the sustainability of the ceasefire remains uncertain. On Friday, US Vice President Vance canceled his trip to Switzerland for peace talks with Iran. Aluminum prices stabilized after falling earlier this week, as the Middle East conflict disrupted aluminum supplies from the Gulf region, which accounts for about 9% of global aluminum smelting capacity.Sources say autonomous driving company Momenta plans to raise about $1 billion in its initial public offering in Hong Kong.Market news: Netflix (NFLX.O) is open to reaching more cooperation agreements with traditional television companies.On June 19, Minister of Commerce Wang Wentao met with Canadian Minister of Industry Jolly, Prime Ministers Secretary to Parliament Blois, and representatives from the business community in Beijing on June 18. The two sides exchanged in-depth views on China-Canada economic and trade relations, the development of Canadian-invested enterprises in China, and key economic and trade concerns. Wang Wentao stated that both sides should fully leverage the China-Canada Joint Economic and Trade Commission mechanism as the main channel for economic and trade cooperation, consolidate the momentum of cooperation in traditional industries, vigorously expand cooperation in emerging and future industries, and strengthen the bonds of common interests. China has always valued the opinions of foreign investors and is willing to work with Canada to extend the list of cooperation and shorten the list of issues through candid dialogue and pragmatic cooperation, thereby promoting the healthy, stable, and sustainable development of China-Canada economic and trade relations.S&P 500 futures fell as much as 0.5%, while Nasdaq futures fell 0.8%.

USD/JPY falls to 146.00 as the DXY weakens and interest in BOJ policy rises

Alina Haynes

Oct 27, 2022 15:28

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During the Asian session, in response to negative signals from the US dollar index, the USD/JPY pair plunged below 146.00. (DXY). Following Wednesday's low of 146.22, the asset's two-day downward trend has extended. The main index is reaching the bottom of Monday's knee-jerk reaction near 145.77 as it continues to decline.

 

The dollar bears are facing a severe sell-off due to the positive market sentiment. The risk-sensitive currencies have benefited from an increase in risk appetite. The US dollar index (DXY) has struck a new monthly low of 109.56 and is anticipated to stay volatile until the release of crucial US economic data.

 

The increased demand for U.S. government bonds has resulted in a decline in yields. This is due to the global markets' increased confidence. The yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes has decreased to 4%.

 

According to estimates, the Gross Domestic Product of the United States expanded by 2.4% in the third quarter. Despite the ultra-hawkish monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the previously disclosed 0.6% fall in growth, forecasts indicate a positive growth rate.

 

In addition, US Durable Goods Orders data will continue to be a key point. Compared to a reduction of 0.2%, it is projected that economic statistics will increase by 0.6%. Notable is the increase in core inflation, which includes oil and food prices. In spite of this, the predicted increase in demand for durable goods in the United States demonstrates healthy household demand.

 

Investors in Tokyo are anticipating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate decision on Friday. In view of the shocks to foreign demand, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue an ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate the outlook for economic development. In addition, Japanese policymakers are anxious that the inflation rate could go below 2%; hence, an extremely liberal policy is the best alternative.