• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
September 13th - According to foreign media reports, US President Trump reiterated during his visit to Ireland on the 13th that the war with Iran will end after the midterm elections. In an interview that day, Trump stated that the war with Iran would end immediately after the US midterm elections in November, at which time "gasoline prices will drop rapidly." He also stated that Iran "very much wants to reach an agreement" and has been in contact with the United States. Trump had previously stated on the 9th that he believed the war between the US and Iran would "end immediately" after the US midterm elections in November.September 13th - According to recent reports from Japan, the Cabinet Public Relations Office, responsible for promoting cabinet policies, has requested a budget of approximately 7.2 billion yen for fiscal year 2027, ten times the approximately 700 million yen requested in fiscal year 2026. The Japanese government stated that it will strengthen its propaganda efforts, including information warfare. The enormous budget request has been questioned by Japanese media.1. Monday: ① Data: Canadas August CPI month-on-month rate; Chinas August M2 money supply year-on-year rate (to be determined). ② Holiday: The National Stock Exchange of India is closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Chinas August retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year; Chinas August industrial value-added year-on-year; UKs July three-month ILO unemployment rate; UKs August unemployment rate; UKs August jobless claims; Frances final August CPI month-on-month rate; Germanys September ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones September ZEW economic sentiment index; Eurozones July seasonally adjusted trade balance; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending August 29; Canadas July wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US September New York Fed Manufacturing Index; Chinas August total electricity consumption year-on-year; Chinas August total electricity consumption (to be determined). ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases total electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; the National Bureau of Statistics releases monthly reports on residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the operation of the national economy. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11; UK August CPI month-on-month rate, UK August retail price index month-on-month rate; Eurozone July industrial production month-on-month rate; US August retail sales month-on-month rate, US August import price index month-on-month rate, US September NAHB housing market index, US July business inventories month-on-month rate, US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11, US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending September 11, US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending September 11. ② Event: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen delivers her State of the Union address. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US Federal Reserve interest rate decision (upper limit) to September 16; Chinas August SWIFT RMB share in global payments; Switzerlands August trade balance; Eurozones final August CPI year-on-year rate and final August CPI month-on-month rate; UK central bank interest rate decision to September 17; US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12; US August housing starts (annualized); US August building permits; US September Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index; US August pending home sales index (month-on-month); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending September 11. ② Events: US Securities and Exchange Commission holds a roundtable discussion on 24-hour trading; Bank of Canada releases monetary policy meeting minutes; Federal Reserve FOMC releases interest rate decision and economic projections summary, Federal Reserve Chairman holds monetary policy press conference [simultaneous interpretation]; Bank of England releases interest rate decision and meeting minutes. 5. Friday: ① Data: UK September GfK Consumer Confidence Index; Japan August Core CPI YoY; Germany August PPI MoM; UK August Seasonally Adjusted Retail Sales MoM; Eurozone July Seasonally Adjusted Current Account; US August Industrial Production MoM; US August Conference Board Leading Economic Index MoM; China August Year-to-Date National Power Generation Capacity; China August Year-to-Date National Power Generation Capacity YoY (TBD); Bank of Japan Target Interest Rate to September 18 (TBD). ② Events: RBA Governor Bullock attends hearing; Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision; Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo holds monetary policy press conference. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US Total Oil Rig Count for the Week Ending September 18.White House economic advisor Hassett: AI security is a "solvable problem"; its great to see OpenAI and Musk supporting Anthropic CEOs article on artificial intelligence.White House economic advisor Hassett: Based on inflation data, I will be cautious about raising interest rates.

USD/JPY falls to 146.00 as the DXY weakens and interest in BOJ policy rises

Alina Haynes

Oct 27, 2022 15:28

 截屏2022-10-27 上午10.02.34.png

 

During the Asian session, in response to negative signals from the US dollar index, the USD/JPY pair plunged below 146.00. (DXY). Following Wednesday's low of 146.22, the asset's two-day downward trend has extended. The main index is reaching the bottom of Monday's knee-jerk reaction near 145.77 as it continues to decline.

 

The dollar bears are facing a severe sell-off due to the positive market sentiment. The risk-sensitive currencies have benefited from an increase in risk appetite. The US dollar index (DXY) has struck a new monthly low of 109.56 and is anticipated to stay volatile until the release of crucial US economic data.

 

The increased demand for U.S. government bonds has resulted in a decline in yields. This is due to the global markets' increased confidence. The yield on 10-year United States Treasury notes has decreased to 4%.

 

According to estimates, the Gross Domestic Product of the United States expanded by 2.4% in the third quarter. Despite the ultra-hawkish monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the previously disclosed 0.6% fall in growth, forecasts indicate a positive growth rate.

 

In addition, US Durable Goods Orders data will continue to be a key point. Compared to a reduction of 0.2%, it is projected that economic statistics will increase by 0.6%. Notable is the increase in core inflation, which includes oil and food prices. In spite of this, the predicted increase in demand for durable goods in the United States demonstrates healthy household demand.

 

Investors in Tokyo are anticipating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) interest rate decision on Friday. In view of the shocks to foreign demand, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue an ultra-loose monetary policy to stimulate the outlook for economic development. In addition, Japanese policymakers are anxious that the inflation rate could go below 2%; hence, an extremely liberal policy is the best alternative.