EUR/USD 1.15138
-0.211%
Gold 4676.00
-1.726%
Oil 103.832
10.230%
USD/JPY 159.633
0.024%
GBP/USD 1.31935
-0.245%
GBP/JPY 210.577
-0.197%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The chief of staff of Ukrainian President Zelensky said that Ukraine expects U.S. special envoys Witkov and Kushner to lead a delegation to Kyiv this month to push for the resumption of peace talks.Slovak Prime Minister: In view of the energy crisis, the EU should lift sanctions on Russian oil and gas, restart the Friendship pipeline, and end the Russia-Ukraine conflict.On April 4th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan held a formal meeting at the Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul. The meeting was conducted behind closed doors and not open to the media. The agenda reportedly focused on three main areas: first, the current development of bilateral relations between Ukraine and Turkey, aiming to further deepen cooperation in various fields; second, regional development issues, exploring common development paths within the context of the regional situation; and third, promoting the establishment of a ceasefire mechanism in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and seeking a long-term solution, with particular emphasis on efforts made within the framework of the Istanbul Process.On April 4th, a source told CNBC that the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on April 16th to consider Kevin Warshs nomination as Federal Reserve Chairman. Another criminal investigation surrounding the Fed is ongoing, examining whether current Chairman Jerome Powell made false statements to Congress regarding the expensive renovation of the Feds office buildings. Warshs nomination process is still progressing, potentially creating a conflict between the two parallel processes pushed by the Trump administration. Banking Committee member Thom Tillis has stated that he will not vote to confirm Warsh until the investigation is complete, meaning Trump cannot proceed with both processes simultaneously. However, by continuing to push forward with the hearings, Trump is clearly still trying to achieve this goal. The Senate Banking Committee has not yet included the hearings in its public schedule.According to CNBC, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on April 16 regarding the nomination of Kevin Warsh as chairman of the Federal Reserve.

USD/JPY continues Powell-led declines to fresh 14-week low, BOJ's Kuroda, and US PCE Inflation in the horizon

Daniel Rogers

Dec 01, 2022 15:22

截屏2022-12-01 上午10.12.17.png 

 

As Tokyo opens on Thursday, USD/JPY bears take advantage of the weakening US Dollar to mark the lowest level in more than three months near 137.30. In addition to falling US Treasury bond yields and a risk-on market mentality, the recent depreciation of the Yen could be attributed to a weaker yen.

 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell made his first public appearance since the November Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting by speaking at the Brookings Institution about the economic outlook, inflation, and employment. The official noted that it makes sense to reduce the rate of interest rate increases and speculated that this might occur as soon as the December meeting. Lisa D. Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, praised the inflation figures as evidence that the Fed will likely take fewer steps in the future.

 

Following Powell's speech, market bets supporting a 50 basis point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December increased from 69.9% prior to the speech to over 75%, resulting in a depreciation of the US Dollar and a rise in Treasury yields, while equities appreciated.

 

As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) shattered a three-day uptrend on Wednesday, exhibiting the steepest daily fall in a week and the largest monthly decline in 12 years. Notable is the fact that Wall Street benchmarks responded favourably to Fed Chair Yellen's dovish remarks, while 10-year Treasury bond yields reversed early gains to end November on a negative note near 3.61 percent.

 

In addition to Fedspeak, the poor US statistics and optimism on China's Covid situation also weighed on USD/JPY prices. Among these, the US ADP Employment Change received the most attention, as its November result of 127K constituted the lowest readings since January 2021, compared to the 200K expected and 239K previous results. In addition, China reported just over 38,000 daily cases of Coronavirus on Tuesday, which was reported on Wednesday, indicating the second consecutive day of declining virus levels after the record high was updated. The gradual easing of virus-driven activity restrictions in major cities such as Zhengzhou, Guangzhou, and Chongqing looked to have favored Yen pair sellers.

 

Moving forward, the Fed's favored inflation measure, namely the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index for October, which is forecasted to increase to 5.0% YoY in October from 5.1% in September, will be key for near-term USD/JPY fluctuations. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for November will also be significant, with a predicted reading of 49.8 compared to 50.2 earlier. Recent rumors regarding the possible tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in 2023 are the focal point of Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's address today.


Suggestion