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February 5th - The Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that it will not adjust the capital levels of large banks during the 2026 stress test cycle, and is currently considering several reforms to the annual test to improve transparency. Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Bowman stated that the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks will be postponed until 2027 to allow the Fed sufficient time to assess potential shortcomings in its testing models when simulating recessionary scenarios to examine bank financial conditions. Previously, in October of last year, the Fed voted to open its testing models to public comment and will also publish the annual stress scenarios used to test banks.The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the stress capital buffer requirements for large banks unchanged until 2027, while considering adjustments to the stress test.February 5th - Alphabet, the parent company of Google (GOOG.O), reported better-than-expected revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025, and its capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $175 billion and $185 billion, far exceeding investor expectations of $119.5 billion. Googles Q4 revenue was $113.828 billion, while the market expected $111.375 billion. The company has rapidly improved its Gemini model and fully integrated it across its product lines, an effort requiring significant investment to support model optimization and meet the needs of cloud customers. These investments are already showing results. Google is supplying up to 1 million dedicated AI chips to Anthropic, solidifying its position as a key infrastructure supplier in the AI field. Gemini will also provide AI technology support for Apples Siri on iPhones. However, to justify these massive expenditures, Alphabet needs to demonstrate the growth momentum of its cloud services and search advertising businesses. The company stated that its large-scale investments in AI, including new infrastructure, R&D investment, and talent acquisition, are crucial to competing with rivals such as Amazon, Microsoft, and OpenAI.Nvidia (NVDA.O) and AMD (AMD.O) both rose more than 1% in after-hours trading, while Google (GOOG.O) significantly raised its capital expenditure forecast.Arm (ARM.O) shares fell more than 10% in after-hours trading.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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