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On September 1st, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Rehn stated that the ECB must prepare for a potential prolonged "consumption conflict" in the Middle East, which could lead to persistently high inflation in the Eurozone. Rehn said, "We must not be complacent about these inflationary pressures." He noted that energy prices have continued to rise due to the conflict in the Middle East and the near closure of the Strait of Hormuz. "We must not allow any affordability crisis in Europe," he said. Rehns remarks mark a shift in the policymakers stance, as he had previously focused more on growth risks than inflation, indicating a growing support for tightening policies within the ECB Governing Council. Last week, ECB Executive Board member Schnabel, one of the banks most prominent hawks, publicly called for another interest rate hike in September.XPeng Motors (XPEV.N): Delivered 39,107 vehicles in August 2026.Russian news agencies, citing the local governor, reported that Novokubishevsk, a city in Russias Samara region, was attacked by drones.September 1st - According to the Financial Times, a senior European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker warned ahead of market expectations of a rate hike next week that the bank must prepare for a potential protracted "war of attrition" in the Middle East, a conflict that could keep eurozone inflation high. ECB Governing Council member Rehns remarks are expected to reinforce market expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike next week. Rehn stated, "We must not be complacent in the face of these inflationary pressures," referring to energy prices driven up by the conflict and the near closure of the Strait of Hormuz. He added, "We cannot afford any burdensome crisis in Europe." Rehns comments mark a hawkish shift in the policymakers stance, who until recently prioritized economic growth risks over inflation risks, indicating growing support for tightening policy within the ECB Governing Council.ECB Governing Council member Rehn: The "war of attrition" in Iran could lead to persistently high inflation.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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