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The vice president of Venezuelas state-owned oil company, PDVSA, said that Venezuelan crude oil exports are expected to increase to 1.06 million barrels per day and fuel exports to 134,000 barrels per day by the end of the year.Venezuelan Deputy Minister: The restoration of natural gas infrastructure must be accelerated.According to Politico: The U.S. Democratic Party plans to hold a new round of voting on Tuesday night local time on a bill to limit the presidents war powers.On April 28, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) stated that recent tariff policy adjustments in the United States could increase the federal budget deficit by $1.1 trillion over ten years, but the exact figure is currently uncertain. CBO Director Swagel stated that the Supreme Courts ruling that Trumps use of emergency economic powers to impose tariffs was invalid will lead to a $2 trillion increase in the fiscal deficit over ten years; while other trade measures Trump has taken to date to compensate for this loss have added a total of $800 billion to $900 billion in revenue. Swagel stated, "Because the Supreme Court removed some tariffs, and the government reinstated some, the fiscal deficit over ten years will be about $1.1 trillion higher. The government has considerable power to impose new tariffs and adjust them, so its difficult to determine the exact deficit amount until the entire process is complete."On April 28th, German Chancellor Merz stated on the 27th that the United States lacks a strategic exit plan regarding the war with Iran. Speaking at an event at a high school in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, Merz said he couldnt see what kind of strategic exit plan the US would choose. He noted that Iran had been very sophisticated in negotiations, or rather, very sophisticated in refusing to negotiate, "letting the Americans go to Islamabad and leave empty-handed." Merz pointed out that once a war is started, "a way to exit must be found," and the US clearly lacks a strategy in this regard. He cited the USs actions in the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq as examples.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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