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Spains unadjusted industrial production rose 2.1% year-on-year in March, compared with a previous reading of -1.30%.Spains seasonally adjusted industrial production rose 1.8% year-on-year in March, revised from -1.10% to -0.9% in the previous month.May 8th - According to the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open at 24:00 on May 8th. According to the NDRC Price Monitoring Center, during this round of refined oil price adjustment cycle (24:00 on April 21st to 24:00 on May 8th), international oil prices initially rose and then fell. Starting at 24:00 on May 8th, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 320 yuan and 310 yuan per ton respectively. On average nationwide, the price of 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-grade diesel will increase by 0.25 yuan, 0.27 yuan, and 0.27 yuan per liter respectively. Filling a 50-liter tank with 92-octane gasoline will cost an extra 12.5 yuan.Switzerlands consumer confidence index for April will be released in ten minutes.May 8th - Rising oil prices have made inflation a more pressing concern for the Federal Reserve recently. However, the employment-related aspect of its dual mandate is also worth noting, given the recent volatility in non-farm payroll reports. Therefore, the April jobs report is a crucial economic indicator to watch closely. For example, the U.S. added 160,000 jobs in January, but lost 133,000 in February. March saw a rebound with 178,000 new jobs. Overall, the U.S. is projected to add 205,000 jobs by March 2026, averaging 68,000 per month. David Payne, economist and journalist at The Kiplinger Letter, stated, "These figures suggest that despite slow labor force growth, U.S. job growth remains strong."

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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