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September 21st - On September 20th, Germany held two local elections: one in the capital Berlin and the other in the eastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (Megrenburg-Western Po). The latest exit polls indicate that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to win 37% of the vote in the Mecklenburg-Western Po state election; the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) in the ruling coalition is projected to win 35.5%; and the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Chancellor Merz, is projected to win 5.5%, barely crossing the threshold to enter the state parliament—the CDUs worst performance in any state election since 1949. With other major parties refusing to cooperate, the AfDs chances of forming a government in Mecklenburg-Western Po are extremely slim. However, this far-right party has become the largest party in the state parliaments of both German states in the past two weeks. In the Berlin city council elections, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is projected to win 20% of the vote; the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is expected to win 12%; the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to win 16%, increasing its seat count; and the Left Party is projected to win 24.5%, currently leading. Germany has 16 states, and Berlin is one of three city-states. In the eastern Saxony-Anhalt state elections on September 6th, Merzs CDU suffered a crushing defeat, with its vote share plummeting to around 17%; the AfD won approximately 44% of the vote, becoming the largest party in the state.The U.S. Mission to Saudi Arabia: Due to the ongoing security situation in Saudi Arabia, all U.S. government employees working in Saudi Arabia now require special authorization to travel to the cities of Taif and Yanbu for both official and private purposes.German Chancellor Merz: We need determination, resolve, and patience; as party leader and chancellor, I am ready to do that. I take responsibility because I want to push the country forward.German Chancellor Merz: Germany must become a country that ushers in a new era. We cannot go back to the "good old days".German Chancellor Merz: Change brings challenges and new uncertainties. We need change.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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