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US judge: Bank of America (BAC.N) has reached a "settlement in principle" with the civil lawsuit brought by the plaintiffs in the Jeffrey Epstein case.March 16 – Following last weeks agreement to release a record amount of emergency oil reserves, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that it could provide even more reserves if needed. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said, "The IEAs swift action has had a stabilizing effect on the market. However, while our inventory releases are currently providing a buffer, this is not a long-term solution." Birol emphasized that for the oil and gas industry, "the most important thing" is to restore normal passage through the crucial Strait of Hormuz, which has been disrupted by the war in the Middle East. He stated that more oil is flowing into Asian markets, which are most dependent on oil supplies from the Middle East.The SC crude oil futures contract narrowed its losses to 4.26%, currently trading at 737.7 yuan per barrel, after previously falling by more than 7%.The BBC filed a motion in a Florida federal court on Monday seeking to dismiss US President Donald Trumps $10 billion defamation lawsuit.On March 16th, a $10 million profit was realized from an options trade targeting short-term interest rates, driven by this months sharp rise in oil prices and a downward revision of market expectations for further easing by the Federal Reserve. This bet, placed in January in the form of options related to the overnight funding rate, which is closely correlated with the Feds policy direction, was reflected in the CME Groups positioning data covering Fridays trading, released Monday. The data showed that selling of the options at the end of last week matched the profit-taking on the position. This bet, which existed before the outbreak of war in the Middle East, indicated that the Feds interest rates would be higher by mid-2028 than was generally expected in January. The bet turned profitable last week as the conflict caused oil prices to rise to their highest level since 2022, raising concerns about inflation and prompting traders to expect the Fed to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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