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Germanys final April CPI figure will be released in ten minutes.On May 12th, JPMorgan Chase issued a report reiterating its target price of HK$35 and "Neutral" rating for Xiaomi Group (01810.HK). Regarding Xiaomis Q1 2026 outlook, the bank believes that despite a significant decline in year-on-year revenue growth in the smartphone and electric vehicle sectors, overall adjusted net profit may be better than expected, aided by improved gross margins in smartphones and the Internet of Things (IoT). Memory cost pressures are likely to continue in Q2, with DRAM and NAND prices potentially increasing by 40-60% quarter-on-quarter. However, Xiaomi may defend its gross margin at around 8% by raising prices and abandoning certain market segments. The bank forecasts that Q2 2026 earnings per share will decrease by approximately 27% year-on-year, still 12% lower than the market consensus. However, a new concern has emerged: with only 110,000 electric vehicle shipments from the beginning of this year to April, can Xiaomi achieve its target of over 550,000 electric vehicle shipments? The bank believes that if electric vehicle shipments do not increase in Q2, Xiaomi is likely to lower its Q2 2026 guidance. In light of the above factors, the bank has slightly adjusted its earnings per share forecast for the company and maintained its target price and "neutral" rating.On May 12, the U.S. Navys Sixth Fleet issued a statement on the 11th saying that an Ohio-class nuclear submarine had arrived in Gibraltar, located at the western end of the Mediterranean Sea. The statement said the ballistic missile submarine arrived in Gibraltar on the 10th for a visit to "demonstrate U.S. capabilities, flexibility, and continued commitment to NATO allies." The statement also specifically mentioned that the Ohio-class nuclear submarine "is an undetectable submarine-launched ballistic missile platform with the strongest survivability of the U.S. nuclear triad."May 12th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices have risen slightly in recent intraday trading, with the overbought conditions previously observed on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing some relief. Currently, we are beginning to see positive golden cross signals on these indicators, which could provide momentum for oil prices to retest nearby resistance levels in the short term. Despite the relative improvement, the price trend remains predominantly negative, as prices continue to trade below the 50-day EMA, maintaining dynamic downward pressure and limiting the possibility of a sustainable rebound, especially given that short-term bearish corrections still dominate the trend. This leads to a cautious view on the current technical outlook.May 12th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures have risen somewhat in recent intraday trading, but remain under the dominance of a short-term bearish correction. Furthermore, its price continues to trade below the 50-day EMA, creating persistent negative and dynamic pressure, further exacerbating downward pressure. On the other hand, some relative strength indicators (RSIs), after digesting overbought conditions, are beginning to show initial positive signals. This opens up room for a cautious continuation of the upward trend in Brent crude oil futures in the near future.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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