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Market news: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh told staff in a memo that he would engage in dialogue on Fed reform with a “clear eye” while adhering to the Fed’s best traditions.① Iran 1. Iran says repairs to damaged energy facilities are progressing faster than expected. 2. Explosions were heard on Qeshm Island in southern Iran. ② United States 1. US media reports a US pilot was shot down twice: once by friendly fire and once by an Iranian attack. 2. The US military claims to have attacked an Iranian oil tanker, rendering it unable to navigate. 3. US Central Command: Since imposing a blockade on all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports on April 13, the US military has crippled six merchant ships and forced another 122 to change course. ③ Israel 1. Israeli Defense Minister Katz: If northern Israel is attacked again, strikes will be launched against the suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon. The US has "approved" the policy of striking the Beirut suburbs. 2. Israel clarifies reports of a phone call between Trump and Netanyahu. Trump did not comment on the imprisonment issue, nor did he claim that Netanyahu is hated globally. 3. Israeli Foreign Ministry: Despite yesterdays renewed ceasefire announcement, Hezbollah continues to violate the ceasefire agreement. Just last night, Hezbollah launched multiple missile and drone attacks from Lebanon into Israeli communities. 4. The Israeli Prime Minister vowed the Iranian regime would fall. 5. Netanyahu: Iran will not be allowed to threaten Israels survival. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian media: Applications for passage permits to the Strait of Hormuz are now open. ⑤ Ceasefire negotiations 1. According to Irans Meh News Agency: Sources say Irans final text is still under discussion in Tehran and has not yet been responded to by the US. 2. Iranian media: Information exchange between Iran and the US has been interrupted for several days. 3. According to Israels i24News: Israeli and Lebanese officials are holding their fourth round of talks in Washington, D.C. 4. Rubio: The US and Iran are still talking, and it is uncertain when an agreement will be reached. 5. According to AFP: Hezbollah in Lebanon will not accept a "partial ceasefire" with Israel. 6. Trump demands a stronger commitment from Iran on the nuclear issue. 7. Trump: "The US and Iran stopped talking a few days ago" is fake news; dialogue between the two sides has been ongoing. ⑥ Other situations: 1. Bahrains Ministry of the Interior: Due to the current security tensions, citizens are prohibited from traveling to Iran and Iraq. 2. The UAE plans to build an oil product pipeline that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz.Canadian Minister for Trade with the United States, Robert LeBlanc: We are confident in discussing rules of origin for automobiles with the United States and Mexico.Canadian Minister for Trade with the United States, Robert LeBlanc: We are in bilateral discussions with Mexico regarding the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).Canadian Minister for Trade with the United States, Robert LeBlanc: We have been preparing for the U.S. Section 301 tariff investigation.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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