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March 19 - The Swiss National Bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0%, in line with market expectations, marking the third consecutive time it has held steady.The Swiss National Banks policy rate remained at 0% as of March 19, in line with expectations and unchanged from the previous rate of 0.00%.The yield on UK two-year government bonds rose to its highest level since March 2025, reaching 4.247%, up about 14 basis points on the day.On March 19th, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in March and projected higher inflation as policymakers assessed the impact of the war between the US and Israel and Iran. Furthermore, Irans retaliatory attacks on energy facilities across the Middle East have escalated the conflict, causing oil prices to continue rising. Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sahdwa stated that the escalating situation in the Middle East, the targeted strikes on oil infrastructure, and the deaths of Iranian leaders all indicate continued disruptions to oil supplies. Adding fuel to the fire, the Fed maintained interest rates but adopted a hawkish tone, highlighting economic concerns arising from the conflict. Tina Teng, market strategist at Moomoo ANZ under Futu, stated that oil prices will continue to be supported as Irans latest attacks on Middle Eastern energy infrastructure exacerbate regional tensions, the conflict shows no signs of abating, and the Strait of Hormuz appears unlikely to reopen in the short term.The Swiss National Bank will announce its interest rate decision in ten minutes.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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