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ECB Governing Council member Simkus: The economic environment is extremely fragile.ECB Governing Council member Simkus: Interest rates are at a neutral level, and economic growth is close to its potential level.February 9th - Analysts point out that gold prices rebounded above $5,000 per ounce, influenced by a weaker dollar and traders awaiting key US data releases later this week. ANZ analysts stated, "Investors have reaffirmed their long-term bullish view on precious metals." Research data shows that despite recent sell-offs, large institutional investors remain optimistic about gold, a view echoed by the Peoples Bank of China, which increased its gold holdings for the 15th consecutive month in January. Traders are currently awaiting US non-farm payroll data and the Consumer Price Index for further clues regarding the path of interest rate cuts.February 9th Futures News: The following are the warehouse receipts and changes for various commodities traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange: 1. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 12,564 tons, a decrease of 103 tons from the previous trading day; 2. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 242,626 tons, an increase of 242,626 tons from the previous trading day; 3. Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 23,140 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Zinc futures warehouse receipts: 31,264 tons, an increase of 176 tons from the previous trading day; 5. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,464,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 53,463 tons, an increase of 5,723 tons from the previous trading day; 7. Lead futures warehouse receipts: 40,773 tons, an increase of 4,968 tons from the previous trading day; 8. Pulp warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 131,447 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. 10. Pulp mill futures warehouse receipts: 15,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 112,570 tons of natural rubber futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 500 tons from the previous trading day; 243,776 tons of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 23,197 tons from the previous trading day; 6,337 tons of tin futures warehouse receipts, a decrease of 379 tons from the previous trading day; 51,004 tons of TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts, unchanged from the previous trading day; 318,546 kg of silver futures warehouse receipts, a decrease of 31,354 kg from the previous trading day; 104,052 kg of gold futures warehouse receipts, unchanged from the previous trading day; 32,270 tons of butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 32,270 tons from the previous trading day; 17. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 18. Petroleum asphalt plant warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 26,490 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 19. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 13,580 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 20. Aluminum futures warehouse receipts: 164,512 tons, an increase of 8,979 tons from the previous trading day; 21. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 51,721 tons, an increase of 447 tons from the previous trading day; 22. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 15,710 tons, a decrease of 305 tons from the previous trading day; 23. Copper futures warehouse receipts: 157,128 tons, a decrease of 3,044 tons from the previous trading day.ECB Governing Council member Simkus: The probability of the next rate hike or cut is 50/50.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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