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On May 24th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kocher stated that the ECB will face an interest rate hike next month unless a sustainable peace agreement is reached between the US and Iran. Eurozone inflation this year may be higher than previously expected, while countries are still grappling with previous price shocks. Meanwhile, the economy has shown considerable resilience. "There are always some extremely low-probability scenarios that could lead to different assessments of the situation, but currently, all indications suggest we will have to decide between maintaining interest rates and raising them," Kocher said. "And it is clear to me that if the situation does not improve, we will have to focus our discussions on taking action." He also stated that it is not appropriate to make any commitments now, and doing so would be meaningless. Uncertainty is high, so too many options should not be ruled out prematurely. Of course, positive developments are hoped for.On May 24, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Russian military used multiple types of missiles, including the Hazel, Iskander, Kinzhal, and Zircon, as well as attack drones, to hit targets including Ukrainian military-industrial complexes, military infrastructure, the headquarters of the Army General Staff, the headquarters of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, and other Ukrainian military command posts. No civilian facilities were planned or targeted.German Chancellor Merz: Russia has once again used the Hazel missile system to attack Ukraine. The German government strongly condemns this reckless escalation.German Foreign Minister: Russia’s missile attack on Ukraine is shocking; the use of Hazel missiles marks yet another escalation.On May 24th, news circulated in the market that Yirendai, a leading domestic loan facilitation institution, is conducting a "orderly liquidation" of its fixed-income-like products. An investor contacted Yirendais official customer service for verification, and the information was confirmed to be true. The platforms official customer service stated that after careful consideration and reporting to relevant departments, the company decided to begin an orderly liquidation of fixed-income-like products starting May 22nd. Currently, the company is compiling data, and after the plan is finalized and reported to the relevant authorities, it is expected to announce the orderly liquidation plan within 4 to 6 weeks and sign agreements with each customer.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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