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Libyas National Electricity Corporation: An attack on a substation south of Zawiya has caused a power outage in a large area south of the city.Libyas National Electricity Corporation: The South Zawiya substation was completely burned down and shut down in an attack.On August 12, Russia began importing gasoline from the distant Indian market after Ukraines attacks on Russian oil refineries caused a severe fuel shortage in the country. According to shipping data agency Kpler, this marks the first time Russia has imported gasoline from a South Asian country. Kpler stated that the first shipment of gasoline arrived on August 5, and more shipments are likely to arrive in Russia in the future. This fuel was transported via a series of tankers with ties to Russia, and then transshipped in waters near Egypt before reaching Russia. Kplers chief analyst, Sumit Ritolia, said, "The emergence of Indian gasoline shipments is particularly noteworthy." He said that these shipments from India, along with Russias continued imports of gasoline from Belarus and other neighboring markets, highlight the severity of the current imbalance between domestic gasoline supply and demand in Russia, and reflect how declining refinery operating rates are reshaping the traditional flow of refined petroleum products in Russia.At the close of the morning session, domestic futures contracts showed mixed results. Fuel oil rose over 4%, polysilicon rose over 3%, low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) and lithium carbonate rose nearly 3%, while synthetic rubber, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and coking coal rose over 2%. On the downside, palladium fell over 1%, and live hogs and urea fell nearly 1%.On August 12th, Futures News reported that one of the biggest highlights in the commodity futures market since August has been the continued rise in gold prices. Gold prices surged during trading today. As of press time, London gold was up 1%, trading at $4411.6 per ounce. 1. Regarding the continued rise in gold prices, market participants believe that, on the one hand, last weeks unexpectedly weak US non-farm payroll data significantly reduced market expectations for a Fed rate hike in September, providing clear interest rate support for gold; on the other hand, the market is betting that the US and Iran may reach an agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Related expectations have pushed oil prices down and simultaneously lowered market expectations for real interest rates, thereby improving the valuation environment for precious metals. 2. It is reported that the US will release its July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 8:30 PM Beijing time on Wednesday. Since the CPI report is released only a few weeks before the Feds September policy meeting, this data release is significant, as it may become a core basis for the Feds decision on whether to raise interest rates in September. 3. Market participants stated that if the CPI is higher than expected, investors may again worry about the Fed continuing to tighten policy. Previously weak employment data had raised market expectations for a policy shift, but higher inflation data could weaken those expectations again. If inflation continues its moderate downward trend, it could reinforce market expectations of future interest rate cuts or continued rate stability. Even if the Fed doesnt cut rates immediately, market concerns about further rate hikes this year may ease.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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