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Japans National Institute for Disaster Resilience and Safety (NIED) has preliminarily determined the magnitude of the earthquake in Japan to be 6.2.According to NHK, an earthquake with an intensity of 5+ struck the Amami region of Kagoshima Prefecture, Japan. The initial magnitude was 5.9, and no tsunami warning was issued.On May 20th, the United Nations released its mid-year update to the "World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026" report on May 19th, lowering its 2026 global economic growth forecast from 2.7% in January to 2.5%. The report argues that the Middle East conflict has impacted the global economy, leading to slower growth, rising inflation, and exacerbating global uncertainty. The report states that the conflict has resulted in constrained energy supplies and soaring prices, coupled with increased freight and insurance costs, causing global production costs to rise rapidly through the supply chain. The report projects that global inflation will reach 3.9% in 2026, 0.8 percentage points higher than the January forecast, with inflation in developed economies rising to 2.9% and in developing economies to 5.2%. Furthermore, the Middle East conflict has driven up energy prices and tightened financial conditions, putting pressure on developing economies. The report states that the Middle East is one of the regions most severely affected by the Middle East crisis, with its economic growth projected to decline from 3.6% in 2025 to 1.4% in 2026. Furthermore, due to its heavy reliance on imported energy, the EUs economic growth is expected to slow from 1.5% in 2025 to 1.1% in 2026.Samsung Electronics shares fell more than 3% after wage negotiations broke down.According to Yonhap News Agency, Samsung Electronics South Korean labor union stated that negotiations between the union and management have been terminated.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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