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1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 1,033,142 lots, a decrease of 79,938 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,091,639 lots, an increase of 11,778 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 250,347 lots, a decrease of 2,621 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 239,842 lots, a decrease of 23,281 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 742,856 lots, a decrease of 1,166,358 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,655,969 lots, a decrease of 54,203 lots from the previous trading day.February 4th - Amundi Wealth Management stated that the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged on Thursday, but lower-than-expected inflation could lead to a rate cut later this year. The company noted, "The risk of lower-than-expected inflation at the start of the year reinforces our view that the ECB may cut rates again to 1.75% later this year." According to data from the London Stock Exchange Group, the money market has not yet priced in any ECB rate cut expectations this year. Currently, the ECBs deposit facility rate is 2.00%.On February 4th, Norwegian energy giant Aquino reported a 32% year-on-year decline in fourth-quarter profits due to falling oil prices. As the first major European energy company to release its quarterly earnings report, Aquinos results may set the tone for the upcoming earnings season. Previously, crude oil prices declined amid ample supply. The companys adjusted operating profit after tax shrank to $1.55 billion from $2.29 billion in the same period last year, below the average analyst expectation of $1.59 billion. The company announced a share buyback program of up to $1.5 billion in 2026. Last year, crude oil prices experienced their largest annual drop since 2020, and a large-scale oversupply is expected to continue to weigh on prices in 2026. European natural gas prices also fell sharply last year due to a surge in seaborne supply. Within Aquino, increased production mitigated the impact of falling prices, with both its Norwegian and overseas oil fields increasing output.Japans Ministry of Finance: An agreement has been reached in principle with the Philippines on a new tax treaty.The yield on 40-year Japanese government bonds rose 1.5 basis points to 3.940%.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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