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Mayor of Tel Aviv, Israel: Iranian airstrikes have rendered more than 1,000 apartments in the city uninhabitable.April 19th - The US-Iran conflict caused a temporary setback in gold prices, but looking at the long term, golds luster remains undiminished. At the "2026 Market Outlook Forum" recently hosted by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), economist Hong Hao stated that the recent decline in gold prices was not due to deteriorating fundamentals, but rather because it has "completed its historical mission for a certain period." Hong Hao analyzed that the lower the credit rating and the higher the yield of US Treasury bonds, the higher the gold price will be one year later. Holding 10-year US Treasury bonds for one year could result in a loss of nearly 10%, which is a very unfavorable trade; in contrast, fundamental logic, narrative logic, and data models all point to a higher gold price, with a doubling in the future being a certainty. Despite the significant short-term correction in gold prices, he remains optimistic about its long-term prospects.Bangladeshs Ministry of Energy announced Saturday evening that it has raised retail fuel prices by 10% to 15% due to soaring global crude oil prices and supply shortages caused by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The official notice indicates that under the new prices, gasoline will increase from 116 taka per liter to 135 taka (approximately US$1.10), diesel will remain at 115 taka per liter, and kerosene will cost 130 taka per liter. Bangladesh heavily relies on imported fuel, and the rising fuel costs are putting pressure on the South Asian nations already strained foreign exchange reserves.April 19th - According to analysis firm Kpler, since the outbreak of the war with Iran in late February, the global market has lost more than 500 million barrels of crude oil and condensate, making it the largest energy supply disruption in modern history. During the conflict, the average price of crude oil was around $100 per barrel. Analysts and Reuters calculations indicate that the lost production is worth over $50 billion, and this loss could last for months or even years.Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: We exchanged information with the United States, but the United States insisted on making excessive demands.

USD/CHF Steady at 1.0020 as DXY Pauses, Powell and US Retail Sales Take Center Stage

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 10:46

The USD/CHF pair is bouncing within a small range between 1.0020 and 1.0030 in early Tokyo, as the US dollar index (DXY) is not gaining much traction due to Monday's light economic calendar. Although broad-based fundamentals continue to favor the dollar bulls, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is projected to raise interest rates by another significant number in June in an effort to limit the inflation issue.

 

Last week, Fed's Powell's interview with the national radio show Marketplace revealed the ongoing conversations among Fed policymakers regarding anticipated rate hikes in monetary policies. Fed Powell indicated that the Fed could declare two additional rate hikes in the next two consecutive monetary policy sessions in order to tame the soaring inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is poised between 104.46 and 104.60 after reaching a new 19-year high of 105.00 on Friday. The DXY appreciates the broader gains but requires further triggers to maintain strong. In the future, two significant events on Tuesday will keep investors occupied. First will be Fed Chairman Powell's speech, which will likely influence monetary policy action in June. The second significant event is the monthly US Retail Sales report, which is anticipated to increase by 0.7% from the previous reading of 0.5%.

 

In terms of the Swiss franc, Friday's Industrial Production data will be the focal point. The catalyst reached 7.3% the previous time. A greater-than-anticipated number will strengthen the Swiss franc against the U.S. dollar. 

USD/CHF

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