EUR/USD 1.17064
-0.049%
Gold 4564.18
-0.717%
Oil 100.527
3.123%
USD/JPY 159.750
0.085%
GBP/USD 1.35099
-0.056%
GBP/JPY 215.824
0.037%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
DA Davidson: Raises its price target for Starbucks (SBUX.O) from $97 to $102.According to the Iranian Students News Agency, the Iranian rial has fallen to a record low of 1.8 million against the US dollar.1. JPMorgan Chase: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady, with the vote to maintain the current rate expected to be 11-1, and Milan likely to vote against it. 2. Societe Generale: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady. Given that this meeting will not release a summary of economic projections or a dot plot, the market anticipates few policy changes. 3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady. The post-meeting statement may acknowledge improved employment data and rising inflation, but will maintain existing policy guidance. 4. MUFG: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady. Fed Governor Milan may abstain from voting on a rate cut, and the statement may explicitly mention increased upside risks to the inflation mandate. 5. Wells Fargo: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady. The statement may indicate that energy costs are keeping inflation high and weaken forward guidance, revising the wording regarding the magnitude and timing of further adjustments to the benchmark interest rate. 6. Morgan Stanley: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady. The statement is expected to change little, with the FOMC likely maintaining an accommodative bias, but emphasizing that high uncertainty means patience is needed in policymaking. 7. Deutsche Bank: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady, possibly removing the word "further" from the wording regarding "the magnitude and timing of further adjustments to the benchmark interest rate" to pave the way for future rate hikes. 8. Danske Bank: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady and may not provide clear forward guidance, but any cautious hints at restarting easing could trigger a decline in Treasury yields and a broad weakening of the dollar. 9. BNY Mellon: Expects the Fed to hold rates steady with very limited forward guidance, as the market has not yet priced in persistent inflation risks, giving the Fed room to temporarily ignore short-term inflationary pressures.On April 29th, the Kremlin stated on Wednesday that despite the UAEs announcement of its withdrawal, Russia still plans to remain in OPEC+ and hopes the group will continue to operate. The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+ on Tuesday, amidst energy crises triggered by the Iran-Iraq war exposing internal divisions among Gulf states. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that OPEC+ is an important organization that helps reduce energy market volatility and stabilize the market. Russia respects the UAEs decision and hopes energy dialogue will continue. Russia joined OPEC+ in 2016, and the group accounted for nearly 50% of global oil production last year. The UAE is the fourth largest oil producer in OPEC+, while Russia is the second largest after Saudi Arabia.JPMorgan Chase raised its price target for General Motors (GM.N) from $97 to $98.

USD/CAD Trades at a Flat Level Following Volatile Trading and Rising US Treasury Yields

Drake Hampton

Apr 06, 2022 10:16

Insights

  • The dollar fell as additional penalties against Russia weighed on the Loonie.

  • Benchmark rates increased as the Federal Reserve pursued a more aggressive rate hike strategy.

  • Due to the new penalties, gold and silver prices remained rather stable.

  • As European countries ponder further measures, oil prices continue to rise.

 

Despite a volatile trading session, the dollar maintained its strength as higher oil prices bolstered the commodity-linked Loonie. The yield on ten-year government bonds increased to 2.56 percent, the highest level since May 2019. Benchmark rates increased several basis points following Fed Governor Brainard's statement that the Fed must pursue a more aggressive stance to contain inflation. Commodity-linked currencies such as the Loonie increased in value as a result of higher oil prices and good economic indicators. New sanctions against Russia continue to benefit silver and gold prices. On the potential of fresh Russian sanctions, oil prices continued to increase. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the most recent FMOC meeting on Wednesday.

 

Today, the US released its February trade balance. Actual balance of -$89.2 billion was lower than predicted at -$88.5 billion. The reading stayed relatively stable compared to the previous month, indicating a record deficiency. Exports increased by 1.8%, while imports jumped by 1.3 percent. In the following months, the Russia-Ukraine war may limit demand for US exports.

Technical Evaluation

The USD/CAD exchange rate remained unchanged following a recovery from the downward pressure caused by increased oil prices, which supported the Loonie. However, losses should be contained as a result of the Fed's more aggressive rate hikes. The pair remains below the key level of 1.25 and may be driven lower as additional penalties against Russia increase. Resistance is located near the 10-day moving average, which is now at 1.25. Near today's lows near 1.24, support is seen. A break below support would reveal the daily low of 1.2387 from November 10th, signaling further downward pressure. The short-term momentum shifted to the upside when the fast stochastic crossed above the buy signal.

 

Although the MACD line generated a crossover sell signal, the medium-term momentum is negative but favorable. When the MACD line (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) passes the MACD signal line, this scenario occurs (the 9-day moving average of the MACD line).

 

image.png 

Suggestion