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On September 13, the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported, citing local Iranian officials, that an Iranian container ship was attacked by an unidentified projectile in the waters near the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in one death and four injuries.On September 13th, market observers stated that Anthropic executives call to slow down technological development could drag down chipmaker and supply chain stocks in the short term, but the long-term impact is likely to be limited as spending on computing infrastructure remains strong. Semiconductor manufacturers and other AI-related stocks are likely to be hit hardest in Mondays initial sell-off as investors assess whether a more cautious approach to developing advanced models will dampen earnings. However, given that demand for chips, energy, and computing power continues to outpace supply, any weakness is likely to be temporary. Investors, including Gary Tan, portfolio manager at Singapore-based Allspring Global Investments, are skeptical about a lasting impact on the industry. "This could create some short-term pressure, but its unlikely to derail the long-term AI deal. AI development is still in its relatively early stages, and Im not sure if the rest of the ecosystem is willing to accept the current hierarchy and slow down while the technology is still evolving so rapidly," he said.On September 13th, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted on social media that Russia had launched approximately 2,100 drones (many of which were Shahed drones) at Ukraine this week alone. In addition, Russia used nearly 1,700 glide bombs and 78 rockets of various types in an attempt to paralyze the Ukrainian economy and disrupt peoples lives. This night and this morning, energy, Ukrainian railways, businesses, and ordinary residences were attacked. The Russian military attacked Odessa with rockets and drones. Recovery work is still underway in many western regions following the nights attacks.On September 13, Russian State Atomic Energy Corporation (Rosatoburo) CEO Likhachev stated that Ukrainian forces deliberately attacked a convoy of oil tankers carrying diesel fuel for the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant at 2:28 PM on September 11. The attack resulted in the deaths of two Russian soldiers and injuries to several others. Likhachev said that Ukraines deliberate provocation regarding the nuclear power plant has unpredictable consequences. Ukraine has not yet responded.The U.S. National Hurricane Center reports that Norbert has strengthened slightly and is expected to dissipate east of Hawaii by mid-next week.

USD/CAD Trades at a Flat Level Following Volatile Trading and Rising US Treasury Yields

Drake Hampton

Apr 06, 2022 10:16

Insights

  • The dollar fell as additional penalties against Russia weighed on the Loonie.

  • Benchmark rates increased as the Federal Reserve pursued a more aggressive rate hike strategy.

  • Due to the new penalties, gold and silver prices remained rather stable.

  • As European countries ponder further measures, oil prices continue to rise.

 

Despite a volatile trading session, the dollar maintained its strength as higher oil prices bolstered the commodity-linked Loonie. The yield on ten-year government bonds increased to 2.56 percent, the highest level since May 2019. Benchmark rates increased several basis points following Fed Governor Brainard's statement that the Fed must pursue a more aggressive stance to contain inflation. Commodity-linked currencies such as the Loonie increased in value as a result of higher oil prices and good economic indicators. New sanctions against Russia continue to benefit silver and gold prices. On the potential of fresh Russian sanctions, oil prices continued to increase. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the most recent FMOC meeting on Wednesday.

 

Today, the US released its February trade balance. Actual balance of -$89.2 billion was lower than predicted at -$88.5 billion. The reading stayed relatively stable compared to the previous month, indicating a record deficiency. Exports increased by 1.8%, while imports jumped by 1.3 percent. In the following months, the Russia-Ukraine war may limit demand for US exports.

Technical Evaluation

The USD/CAD exchange rate remained unchanged following a recovery from the downward pressure caused by increased oil prices, which supported the Loonie. However, losses should be contained as a result of the Fed's more aggressive rate hikes. The pair remains below the key level of 1.25 and may be driven lower as additional penalties against Russia increase. Resistance is located near the 10-day moving average, which is now at 1.25. Near today's lows near 1.24, support is seen. A break below support would reveal the daily low of 1.2387 from November 10th, signaling further downward pressure. The short-term momentum shifted to the upside when the fast stochastic crossed above the buy signal.

 

Although the MACD line generated a crossover sell signal, the medium-term momentum is negative but favorable. When the MACD line (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) passes the MACD signal line, this scenario occurs (the 9-day moving average of the MACD line).

 

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