• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On July 17, due to previous rainfall and upstream water flow, the water level at the Mudanjiang Hydrological Station on the middle reaches of the Mudanjiang River, a tributary of the Songhua River, rose to the warning level (235.00 meters) at 9:00 AM. According to the regulations for numbering floods in major rivers, this flood is designated as "Mudanjiang Flood No. 1 of 2026". The Ministry of Water Resources is closely monitoring the flood situation in the Songhua River, Mudanjiang River, and other rivers, strengthening rainfall and water level monitoring, increasing the frequency of rolling forecasts and warnings, activating the flood defense emergency response in advance, and dispatching working groups to the front lines to provide assistance and guidance. It is also urging local authorities to strengthen the scheduling of water conservancy projects in the basin, implement all flood defense measures meticulously, and relocate people in danger zones in advance to ensure the safety of peoples lives.On July 17, Li Bin, Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that SAFE has strengthened foreign exchange market supervision and cracked down on illegal foreign exchange activities such as underground banks. In the first half of this year, over 300 related cases were investigated and dealt with, with fines and confiscations exceeding 400 million yuan, effectively maintaining the order of the foreign exchange market.On July 17, the Information Office of the Hubei Provincial Peoples Government held a press conference to introduce the economic performance of Hubei Province in the first half of 2026. According to the unified accounting results of regional GDP, Hubei Provinces GDP in the first half of the year was 3,133.672 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.0% at constant prices.On July 17, Li Bin, Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that the State Administration of Foreign Exchange has always adhered to the principle of combining facilitation with risk prevention, resolutely safeguarding the bottom line of security under open conditions, continuously improving the "macro-prudential + micro-regulatory" dual management framework, strengthening counter-cyclical adjustments and expectation guidance when necessary, maintaining the stable operation of the foreign exchange market, and preventing systemic risks.On July 17th, at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office, Xiao Sheng, Director of the Capital Markets Department of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, stated that my countrys external debt has remained generally stable, with continuous structural optimization and high security. Over the past three years, my countrys external debt has remained relatively stable between US$2.3 trillion and US$2.5 trillion. By the end of the first quarter of 2026, RMB-denominated external debt accounted for 55%, an increase of 10 percentage points compared to the end of 2022; the proportion of medium- and long-term external debt remained stable at over 40%, and the risk of maturity and currency mismatch in external debt has significantly decreased. At the end of 2025, my countrys debt-to-equity ratio, debt service ratio, and the ratio of short-term external debt to foreign exchange reserves were 11.9%, 56.3%, 6.2%, and 39.2%, respectively, all significantly lower than international safety warning lines.

USD/CAD Trades at a Flat Level Following Volatile Trading and Rising US Treasury Yields

Drake Hampton

Apr 06, 2022 10:16

Insights

  • The dollar fell as additional penalties against Russia weighed on the Loonie.

  • Benchmark rates increased as the Federal Reserve pursued a more aggressive rate hike strategy.

  • Due to the new penalties, gold and silver prices remained rather stable.

  • As European countries ponder further measures, oil prices continue to rise.

 

Despite a volatile trading session, the dollar maintained its strength as higher oil prices bolstered the commodity-linked Loonie. The yield on ten-year government bonds increased to 2.56 percent, the highest level since May 2019. Benchmark rates increased several basis points following Fed Governor Brainard's statement that the Fed must pursue a more aggressive stance to contain inflation. Commodity-linked currencies such as the Loonie increased in value as a result of higher oil prices and good economic indicators. New sanctions against Russia continue to benefit silver and gold prices. On the potential of fresh Russian sanctions, oil prices continued to increase. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the most recent FMOC meeting on Wednesday.

 

Today, the US released its February trade balance. Actual balance of -$89.2 billion was lower than predicted at -$88.5 billion. The reading stayed relatively stable compared to the previous month, indicating a record deficiency. Exports increased by 1.8%, while imports jumped by 1.3 percent. In the following months, the Russia-Ukraine war may limit demand for US exports.

Technical Evaluation

The USD/CAD exchange rate remained unchanged following a recovery from the downward pressure caused by increased oil prices, which supported the Loonie. However, losses should be contained as a result of the Fed's more aggressive rate hikes. The pair remains below the key level of 1.25 and may be driven lower as additional penalties against Russia increase. Resistance is located near the 10-day moving average, which is now at 1.25. Near today's lows near 1.24, support is seen. A break below support would reveal the daily low of 1.2387 from November 10th, signaling further downward pressure. The short-term momentum shifted to the upside when the fast stochastic crossed above the buy signal.

 

Although the MACD line generated a crossover sell signal, the medium-term momentum is negative but favorable. When the MACD line (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) passes the MACD signal line, this scenario occurs (the 9-day moving average of the MACD line).

 

image.png