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On February 14th, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, speaking at the Munich Security Conference in Germany, addressed China-US relations, pointing out two possible scenarios. One is that the US objectively and rationally understands China, pursues a positive and pragmatic policy towards China, and works with China to continuously expand common interests, leading to future cooperation between the two countries. This would undoubtedly be of great benefit to both China and the US, as well as the world. The other scenario is that the US decouples from China, opposes anything related to China, forms various cliques and groups targeting China, and even incites or plots Taiwan independence and the division of China, crossing Chinas red lines. This would lead to confrontation between China and the US. History progresses through twists and turns, and the future of China-US relations is bright. The vision and principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation will ultimately be realized, because this is the only correct choice.French Foreign Minister Barro: Some G7 members have indicated their willingness to move forward with the ban on shipping services for Russian oil.NATO Secretary General Rutte: Russias oil revenues have fallen by a third, rapidly depleting its sovereign wealth fund.On February 14th, in response to recent online complaints about "tickets available for long-distance journeys but not for short-distance journeys," a representative from the 12306 Railway Technology Center advised passengers with short-distance travel needs to avoid purchasing tickets for sections of long-distance trains. If a section of a long-distance train is indeed necessary, passengers should submit a waitlist order when "no tickets available" is displayed, and utilize up to 60 combinations of "date + train number" for ticket purchase.On February 14, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, delivered a speech and answered questions at the 62nd Munich Security Conference. When discussing China-EU relations, Wang Yi stated that China and the EU are partners, not adversaries. He quoted Confuciuss famous saying, "A gentleman seeks harmony but not uniformity," expressing his hope that both China and the EU would act and follow the path of gentlemanly conduct. Wang Yi said that China and the EU should join hands to practice multilateralism, uphold the authority of the United Nations, oppose unilateral bullying, and resist bloc confrontation.

USD/CAD Trades at a Flat Level Following Volatile Trading and Rising US Treasury Yields

Drake Hampton

Apr 06, 2022 10:16

Insights

  • The dollar fell as additional penalties against Russia weighed on the Loonie.

  • Benchmark rates increased as the Federal Reserve pursued a more aggressive rate hike strategy.

  • Due to the new penalties, gold and silver prices remained rather stable.

  • As European countries ponder further measures, oil prices continue to rise.

 

Despite a volatile trading session, the dollar maintained its strength as higher oil prices bolstered the commodity-linked Loonie. The yield on ten-year government bonds increased to 2.56 percent, the highest level since May 2019. Benchmark rates increased several basis points following Fed Governor Brainard's statement that the Fed must pursue a more aggressive stance to contain inflation. Commodity-linked currencies such as the Loonie increased in value as a result of higher oil prices and good economic indicators. New sanctions against Russia continue to benefit silver and gold prices. On the potential of fresh Russian sanctions, oil prices continued to increase. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes from the most recent FMOC meeting on Wednesday.

 

Today, the US released its February trade balance. Actual balance of -$89.2 billion was lower than predicted at -$88.5 billion. The reading stayed relatively stable compared to the previous month, indicating a record deficiency. Exports increased by 1.8%, while imports jumped by 1.3 percent. In the following months, the Russia-Ukraine war may limit demand for US exports.

Technical Evaluation

The USD/CAD exchange rate remained unchanged following a recovery from the downward pressure caused by increased oil prices, which supported the Loonie. However, losses should be contained as a result of the Fed's more aggressive rate hikes. The pair remains below the key level of 1.25 and may be driven lower as additional penalties against Russia increase. Resistance is located near the 10-day moving average, which is now at 1.25. Near today's lows near 1.24, support is seen. A break below support would reveal the daily low of 1.2387 from November 10th, signaling further downward pressure. The short-term momentum shifted to the upside when the fast stochastic crossed above the buy signal.

 

Although the MACD line generated a crossover sell signal, the medium-term momentum is negative but favorable. When the MACD line (the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average) passes the MACD signal line, this scenario occurs (the 9-day moving average of the MACD line).

 

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