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On February 14th, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, speaking at the Munich Security Conference in Germany, addressed China-US relations, pointing out two possible scenarios. One is that the US objectively and rationally understands China, pursues a positive and pragmatic policy towards China, and works with China to continuously expand common interests, leading to future cooperation between the two countries. This would undoubtedly be of great benefit to both China and the US, as well as the world. The other scenario is that the US decouples from China, opposes anything related to China, forms various cliques and groups targeting China, and even incites or plots Taiwan independence and the division of China, crossing Chinas red lines. This would lead to confrontation between China and the US. History progresses through twists and turns, and the future of China-US relations is bright. The vision and principles of mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation will ultimately be realized, because this is the only correct choice.French Foreign Minister Barro: Some G7 members have indicated their willingness to move forward with the ban on shipping services for Russian oil.NATO Secretary General Rutte: Russias oil revenues have fallen by a third, rapidly depleting its sovereign wealth fund.On February 14th, in response to recent online complaints about "tickets available for long-distance journeys but not for short-distance journeys," a representative from the 12306 Railway Technology Center advised passengers with short-distance travel needs to avoid purchasing tickets for sections of long-distance trains. If a section of a long-distance train is indeed necessary, passengers should submit a waitlist order when "no tickets available" is displayed, and utilize up to 60 combinations of "date + train number" for ticket purchase.On February 14, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, delivered a speech and answered questions at the 62nd Munich Security Conference. When discussing China-EU relations, Wang Yi stated that China and the EU are partners, not adversaries. He quoted Confuciuss famous saying, "A gentleman seeks harmony but not uniformity," expressing his hope that both China and the EU would act and follow the path of gentlemanly conduct. Wang Yi said that China and the EU should join hands to practice multilateralism, uphold the authority of the United Nations, oppose unilateral bullying, and resist bloc confrontation.

US open: Caution ahead of FOMC minutes

Alice Wang

Jul 08, 2022 15:14

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US futures

Dow futures -0.2% at 30617

S&P futures -0.85% at 3822

Nasdaq futures -0.3% at 11731

In Europe

FTSE +1.7% at 7140

Dax +1.6% at 12597

Euro Stoxx +1.55% at 3418

Stocks are declining

As caution reigns in advance of the publication of the minutes from the June Federal Reserve meeting, US markets are indicating a somewhat worse opening.


As investors worry about the effect of central bank action on growth, fears of aggressive monetary policy tightening have led markets down in recent weeks. The bond market's 10-year yield dropped below the 2-year yield, which is a classic recession indicator.


The minutes from the most recent Fed meeting will be released today, and they might provide more insight into the direction that short-term interest rates will go. The market will be watching for signs that the Fed will increase interest rates by 50 or 75 basis points in July. Watch out for any indications that the Fed would lower the rate of rises if symptoms of a declining inflation trend appear.

 

The FedWatch tool indicates that the markets are factoring in an 86 percent chance of a 75 basis point rate rise. Hawkish minutes might drive the stock market down, strengthen the dollar, and push gold back near $1722.


The ISM service PMI is forthcoming and is anticipated to decrease to 55.4 from 55.9 before to the minutes.


In business news, Apple stock will be in the limelight after Goldman Sachs lowered its price target and warned that, in the event of a longer recession, the stock might drop as low as $82. The share price would have dropped by 42% from present levels as a result.

What will the Nasdaq do next?

After regaining the 20 sna and resistance at 11700, the Nasdaq has once again encountered resistance at the multi-month declining trendline. At a neutral level, the RSI is not providing many hints. If the declining trendline is not retaken, the 20 sma may be challenged at 11600 before the June 30 bottom of 11300. Here, a break allows access to 11050, the 2022 low. However, a break above the declining trendline reveals the 50 sna at 12150 and resistance at 12225, the high from last week. A move higher than this results in a higher high.

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