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U.S. Inventory Depletion And Supply Disruptions Lower Oil Prices

Skylar Williams

Feb 08, 2023 14:25

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Oil prices declined on Wednesday, following a remarkable gain in the previous session, as traders digested conflicting data on U.S. oil inventories and anticipated further information on supply disruptions caused by the Turkish earthquake.


In the week ending February 3, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported that U.S. oil stockpiles unexpectedly decreased by 2.1 million barrels. The estimate foreshadows a similar trend in government data expected to be released later in the day, which is expected to show an inventory increase of 2,457,000 barrels.


The API data also revealed that gasoline and distillate inventories increased over the last week, indicating that retail fuel use remained under pressure. Retail fuel consumption is a primary driver of U.S. demand.


Inventories of crude oil in the United States have increased over the past six weeks, prompting some concerns about demand in the world's largest oil user, which is struggling with high inflation and rising interest rates.


By 20:51 ET, Brent oil prices decreased 0.5% to $83.68 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures decreased 0.3% to $77.28 per barrel (01:51 GMT). On Tuesday, both contracts rose more than 4 percent.


This week, oil prices rose dramatically due to supply interruptions caused by a huge earthquake in Turkey. Recent media reports suggested that a pipeline from Iraq to the Turkish oil export center of Ceyhan has restarted operations.


However, exports of Azerbaijani crude remained blocked, since it was unsure when supplies would resume following a series of earthquakes that struck Turkey earlier this week.


Mild dollar weakening aided petroleum prices this week, as the currency retreated from recent highs in response to mixed monetary policy signals from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday. While Powell cautioned that interest rates could rise further as a result of the robust labor market, he noted that the economy was experiencing some disinflation following a series of strong rate hikes through 2022.


Fears of rising interest rates have been a significant source of unease for petroleum markets this year, with traders anticipating that a resulting slowdown in economic development might reduce global crude demand.


After the world's top crude importer relaxed the majority of anti-COVID rules this year, concerns over a decline in Chinese demand were tempered by newfound optimism. The International Energy Agency anticipates that global crude demand will reach record highs this year due to China's economic growth.