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① Iran 1. Iranian lawmakers say the US attack on Iran again is actually a form of pressure. 2. Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that Iran is now stronger and better prepared than ever before, and is "ready to act" at any time against any act of aggression. ② United States 1. US media: Officials from multiple countries called to persuade Trump to postpone military action. 2. US officials stated that the US military shot down two Iranian one-way attack drones. 3. Trump: The terms leaked by Iran to "fake news" have nothing to do with the terms of the written agreement. 4. According to CNN, citing defense officials, the US shot down two Iranian attack drones last night. 5. US officials: The Strait of Hormuz will be open under the agreement. Iran will not receive any funds until it fulfills its obligations. 6. According to Reuters: An informed source revealed that the US military shot down several Iranian one-way attack drones flying towards the Strait of Hormuz. The source said that Iranian drones pose a threat to commercial shipping. 7. US Vice President Vance: There is a lot of misinformation surrounding the potential agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end Irans nuclear weapons program. Iranians have not received any cash, nor will their funds be unfrozen simply because they signed an agreement or attended a meeting. ③ Israel 1. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: As long as I am Prime Minister of Israel—Iran will not possess nuclear weapons. President Trump and I are completely aligned on this issue. 2. Israeli Defense Minister: He and Prime Minister Netanyahu have instructed the Israeli military to prepare to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Israel will not withdraw from the safe zones in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian Foreign Minister: Services related to the Strait of Hormuz will be charged. The management model of the Strait of Hormuz will not be restored to the pre-war state. 2. The US military claims to have diverted 136 ships during the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz; it has rendered 9 ships incapable of navigation to ensure compliance with the blockade. 3. According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA): Iran will not restore the state of the Strait of Hormuz to the pre-war level. According to the memorandum of understanding with the United States, Iran made no commitments regarding the transfer of control over the Strait of Hormuz. The future management of the strait will be resolved as a regional matter through dialogue and joint decision-making between Iran and Oman. 4. According to Iranian reports, 50 ships are awaiting passage permission from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy after the suspension of passage in the Strait of Hormuz due to US hostile actions. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Iranian media released new details of the Iran-US memorandum of understanding, stating that final confirmation from relevant departments is still required. 2. Reports indicate that the UAE has agreed to unfreeze billions of dollars in funds for Iran, which the UAE Foreign Ministry denied. 3. According to Al Arabiya: Iran is demanding an agreement with the US in a European country to give the agreement international legitimacy. 4. According to CNN, citing sources, Israel is pressuring to prevent the unfreezing of Iranian assets in the ceasefire agreement. 5. Iranian Foreign Minister: The Iran-US memorandum of understanding may be signed within days; the draft includes provisions for a ceasefire on the Lebanese front. The US pledged not to wage war in the memorandum. The only preferred solution for disposing of highly enriched uranium stockpiles is to de-enrich and dilute the relevant materials. 6. G7 official: The US-Iran memorandum of understanding could be signed as early as Sunday in Geneva; Iran subsequently denied the claim that an agreement would be signed in Geneva on Sunday. 7. According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA): Iran seeks war reparations within a "realistic framework." The current memorandum does not reach any agreement on the nuclear issue. Nuclear negotiations will take place within 60 days of the agreements signing. 8. According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA): A spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that both sides have reached consensus on most issues in the negotiations, and we are currently in the final stages of the internal decision-making process. 9. US official: The US and Iran are close to reaching an agreement, which will be signed in the coming days. The terms of the memorandum of understanding include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the lifting of the US blockade of Iranian ports. Irans highly enriched uranium will also be destroyed on-site and subsequently shipped out of the country. Under the agreement, the US will acquire Irans enriched nuclear materials. ⑥ Other situations: 1. Egypt urges the US and Iran to seize the "current opportunity" to end the war. 2. Lebanese President: The state of hostilities will only end when conditions such as Israels withdrawal are met. 3. The Indian Ministry of External Affairs has conveyed to US diplomats that it will ensure that US forces operating in the region take necessary measures to prevent civilian casualties.US President Trump: Before I returned to the Oval Office, Joe Biden opened our southern border to millions of criminals, allowing this foreign army to rape, mutilate, and murder American citizens with complete impunity.Anthropic: Our understanding is that the US government believes it has learned of a way to bypass or "jailbreak" Fable 5. We doubt that any current model provider can achieve a perfect jailbreak defense.Anthropic: We received instructions from the U.S. government at 5:21 p.m. today. The letter did not specify details of its national security concerns.Anthropic: The U.S. government has issued an export control order suspending access to the artificial intelligence models FABLE 5 and Mythos 5 for all foreign nationals.

US Dollar Index reaffirms 20-year high on Ukraine-related news

Alina Haynes

Sep 26, 2022 14:32

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While risk aversion rises on Monday morning, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is still bullish over 113.80. It recently reclaimed the 20-year high above 114.70. In addition to bad attitude, Fed members' hawkish views also assist the US currency.

 

The head of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, said, "We are committed to deploying our tools," on Friday. Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard then added that low-income people are feeling the effects of "hard" inflation. Despite the economy's continuing speed, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic told CBS' "Face the Nation" over the weekend that he still believes the central bank can cut inflation without substantial job losses.

 

Recent US S&P Global PMIs for August, issued on Friday, showed an increase in the Manufacturing index to 51.8 from 51.5, and an increase in the Services index to 49.0 from 44.6.

 

The president of Ukraine, Zelenskiy, was recently mentioned on a different page of a CBS article as saying, "Putin's nuclear threats may have been a bluff, but now it may be a reality." While Russia's foreign minister said annexing territory hosting widely criticized referendums would be met with complete protection from Moscow, the United States warned of "catastrophic ramifications" if Moscow utilized nuclear weapons in Ukraine.

 

Despite the Fed's hawkish attitude and rate increase, risk aversion gripped Wall Street, and rates helped the US currency stay higher. Although this occurs, S&P 500 Futures only fall by a few points as 10-year US Treasury yields climb by four basis points to 3.74 percent.

 

The US dollar index's future strength against major currencies may be aided by investors' reluctance to take on additional risk. Still, comments from Fed Chair Powell and US Durable Goods Orders are major triggers to keep an eye on for clues about the market's future course.

 

A daily close above 114.00, which coincides with a higher-trending resistance line from May, is needed for the DXY bulls to keep control. Dollar investors, however, should be wary of the indicator's current overbought reading of 14.


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